Jake Dickson
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 60 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 11% of them — level with the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.97). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 22% (37 rides). Rides mostly for Tim Easterby — 59% of rides in the window.
It is weakest at Redcar (2.9% over 34 rides) — the largest sample in the record, and the widest gap. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 21.6% (n=37, Fair A/E 1.27), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 2.3% (n=44, Fair A/E 0.36). Tim Easterby supplies 59% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (12.3%, A/E 1.08) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also reads well at trips under 6f (16.2%, n=37). The record reads poorly on Standard (AW) going — 5.4% over 37 rides, 5.9pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider over 6f – 7f: Fair A/E 0.77 across 109 rides (7.3% strike, −52.75 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. Seasonally, the rider fires Jun–Sep.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 11.3% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 11.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleBy month
strike by month, 5 seasonsRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2024→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 275 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 275 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 25 March 2024 to 7 November 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
KTB’s figures
the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 10 Oct 2026: top-rated on KTB Rating in 2 runs (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 3 runs (won 0) · to 7 Nov 2026.
Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.
Quick answers
- What is Jake Dickson's strike rate?
- Jake Dickson has won 31 of 275 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 11.3% (as at 10 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Jake Dickson do best at?
- Redcar by strike rate: 1 wins from 34 rides (2.9%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Jake Dickson ride most for?
- Tim Easterby, with 162 rides since 2022 — 59% of the total. That pairing has won 20 (12.3%).
- Is Jake Dickson in form?
- Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 6 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is Jake Dickson's Fair A/E?
- 0.97, from 275 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.