What is James Turner's strike rate?

James Turner has won 29 of 417 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 7% (as at 15 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does James Turner do best at?

Worcester by strike rate: 2 wins from 38 rides (5.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does James Turner ride most for?

Nigel Twiston-Davies, with 141 rides since 2008 — 34% of the total. That pairing has won 16 (11.3%).

Is James Turner in form?

Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 2 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is James Turner's Fair A/E?

0.82, from 417 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

James Turner

417 rides in the lifetime window · 202 individual horses

As at 15 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride 3 days ago 97% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2019→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

29–417

Wins / Runs

Strike rate

n=417

85 (20%)

Placed

0.82

Fair A/E

n=417 · 0.71 incl. margin

−128.14

£1 level stake

n=417 at SP · −30.7%

£389k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

4.4%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 20 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 7% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.82). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 14% (44 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 417 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 15 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Oct–Dec Nigel Twiston-Davies: 11.3% from 141 LTO winners: 13.6% Claiming: 7.2%

The read

Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 13.6% (n=44, Fair A/E 0.83), but horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 3% (n=99, Fair A/E 0.56). The market has consistently overbet first rides on a horse: 5.9% strike, Fair A/E 0.79 and −141.67 to a £1 stake over 202 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. Nigel Twiston-Davies supplies 34% of the rides and edges the rider's average (11.3% vs 7%, A/E 0.87). The rider also reads well on Soft going (15.7%, n=70) and in Class 3 (15.8%, n=38). Seasonally, the rider fires Oct–Dec.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

5.9%−1.1

n=202 · A/E 0.79 · £1 −141.67

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

13.6%+6.6

n=44 · A/E 0.83 · £1 −13.72

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

3%−4.0

n=99 · A/E 0.56 · £1 +10.50

When favourite

29.2%

n=24 · A/E 0.99 · £1 −4.22

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

7.2%+0.2

n=389 · A/E 0.84 · £1 −103.39

Big fields · 14+ runners

3.9%−3.1

n=51 · A/E 1.01 · £1 −34.00

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−7.0

n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On Soft going 15.7% vs 7% · n=70

In Class 3 15.8% vs 7% · n=38

On last-time-out winners 13.6% vs 7% · n=44

With new recruits 0% vs 7% · n=30

With Nigel Twiston-Davies 11.3% vs 7% · n=141

In NH Flat races 11.4% vs 7% · n=44

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 271 20 7.4% −124.97

Chase 89 4 4.5% +24.00

NH Flat 44 5 11.4% −14.17

Flat 13 0 0% −13.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 197 11 5.6% −124.97

Good to Soft 105 6 5.7% −50.75

Soft 70 11 15.7% +88.08

Heavy 27 1 3.7% −22.50

Good to Firm 12 0 0% −12.00

Standard (AW) 6 0 0% −6.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Worcester 38 2 5.3% −25.00

Hereford 24 3 12.5% −1.50

Uttoxeter 23 0 0% −23.00

Ludlow 22 1 4.5% +12.00

Warwick 21 1 4.8% −8.00

Southwell 21 2 9.5% +86.00

Cheltenham 18 0 0% −18.00

Stratford 18 0 0% −18.00

Ffos Las 17 0 0% −17.00

Chepstow 17 1 5.9% −12.50

Newton Abbot 15 1 6.7% −9.50

Doncaster 14 3 21.4% +1.03

Huntingdon 14 2 14.3% −5.00

Fontwell 13 2 15.4% −4.75

Bangor-on-Dee 12 3 25% −0.17

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 209 16 7.7% −15.67

Class 4 115 6 5.2% −50.00

Class 3 38 6 15.8% −10.97

Class 2 34 1 2.9% −30.50

Class 1 11 0 0% −11.00

Class 6 10 0 0% −10.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 29 8 27.6% 0.97 −4.72

2nd–3rd fav 79 13 16.5% 0.98 −2.42

4th–6th fav 129 6 4.7% 0.66 −53.00

7th+ in betting 180 2 1.1% 0.44 −68.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

72.5% completed · 360 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 89 58.4% 2 1 34 0 0

Hurdle 271 77.1% 3 2 54 1 2

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Norman Fletcher (GB) 13 1 4 20 May 26

Hillsin (IRE) 11 2 4 22 Aug 26

Jewel Eyed Judy (GB) 11 0 0 19 Apr 26

Fantomas (FR) 11 1 4 21 Apr 25

No Guarantee (GB) 9 2 2 12 Apr 26

Awesome Foursome (GB) 9 0 6 19 Jan 25

Uncle Bert (GB) 8 3 3 14 Mar 25

Chance A Tune (FR) 8 2 4 16 Sep 24

Moroval (IRE) 8 1 1 18 Mar 24

My Lovely Horse (FR) 7 0 0 12 Jul 26

Hunsbury (GB) 7 0 0 11 Feb 23

Babychino (IRE) 5 0 1 28 Mar 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 202 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 2 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 2

Only 2 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

671034300912911

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardNigel Twiston-Davies

34% of all rides
11.3% SR · A/E 0.87

TrainerRWSR£1

Nigel Twiston-Davies 141 16 11.3% −42.64

Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies 50 3 6% −35.25

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2019→

Archived wins

£389k

Prize money

2024

Best season · 13 wins

Uncle Bert (GB) — Sky Bet Cheltenham Non-Runner No Bet Handicap Hurdle Haydock · Jan 2025 · Class 3

£26,405

Uncle Bert (GB) — DragonBet Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Bangor-on-Dee · Mar 2024 · Class 2

£15,609

Equinus (IRE) — Jewson Click And Collect Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle Aintree · Oct 2023 · Class 3

£10,562

Notable horses

Uncle Bert (GB) Hillsin (IRE) No Guarantee (GB) Chance A Tune (FR) Norman Fletcher (GB) Fantomas (FR)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Pether's Moon (IRE) 24% · 6–25

Progeny have won 13% of 921 runs since 2020 (107 horses).

Mount Nelson (GB) 11.1% · 2–18

Progeny have won 9.9% of 6,292 runs since 2012 (538 horses).

Blue Bresil (FR) 0% · 0–17

Progeny have won 12.1% of 3,574 runs since 2013 (472 horses).

Getaway (GER) 12.5% · 2–16

Progeny have won 11.3% of 11,049 runs since 2016 (1,035 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.1% from 134.

Hillstar (GB) 23.1% · 3–13

Progeny have won 7.2% of 760 runs since 2021 (89 horses).

No Risk At All (FR) 7.7% · 1–13

Progeny have won 14.5% of 3,184 runs since 2016 (440 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 17.6% from 960.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 417 · newest first

The latest 50 of 417 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 6 March 2019 to 12 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

12 Nov 26 Market Rasen Bits Ballou (GB)T: Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies PricedUp Boosts And BOG Mares' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 23f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 7th 14/1

04 Nov 26 Chepstow Roe And Co (IRE)T: Shaun Lycett Lords Taverners Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 23.5f · Good · 5 ran 2nd 9/2

25 Oct 26 Market Rasen Lightning Flash (IRE)T: Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies £27 Race & Roast Package Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 1st 7/4F

19 Oct 26 Plumpton Kadex (FR)T: Alan Jones Back British Farming Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 20f · Good · 4 ran PU 20/1

17 Oct 26 Stratford Most Wanted (IRE)T: David Bridgwater Invades Novices' Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 17f · Good · 4 ran 3rd 11/2

17 Oct 26 Stratford Emerald West (GB)T: Ryan Hatch Keogh & Hows Maiden Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 4 · 22f · Good · 7 ran PU 200/1

12 Oct 26 Worcester Most Wanted (IRE)T: David Bridgwater CopyBet Follow Us On X Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 9th 25/1

25 Sep 26 Worcester Emerald West (GB)T: Ryan Hatch Fbc Manby Bowdler Maiden Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 4 · 20f · Good · 9 ran PU 50/1

06 Sep 26 Fontwell Kings Order (IRE)T: Mrs C Williams Download The At The Races App Conditional Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 21.5f · Good · 6 ran PU 16/1

29 Aug 26 Cartmel Al Mootamarid (IRE)T: Ryan Hatch Molson Coors Cartmel Cup Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 3 · 17f · Good · 11 ran 7th 14/1

22 Aug 26 Newton Abbot Hillsin (IRE)T: Alan Jones Torbay Weekly Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 18.5f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 9th 28/1

22 Jul 26 Worcester Galeforcechopper (GB)T: David Brace Colin Jones Memorial Maiden Hurdle Race (ARC Summer Novices' Brush Hurdle Series Qualifier) (GBB Race) (Div I)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 9 ran 9th 125/1

19 Jul 26 Stratford Ghost Pepper (IRE)T: David Brace Dave Shrader Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 18.5f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 6th 18/1

15 Jul 26 Uttoxeter Emerald West (GB)T: Dom Elsworth & Ryan Hatch QuinnBet Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16f · Good · 11 ran 7th 16/1

13 Jul 26 Newton Abbot Miss Denver (GB)T: Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies Racing To School Reaches 250,000 Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good To Firm · 3 ran 2nd 5/1

12 Jul 26 Stratford My Lovely Horse (FR)T: David Bridgwater Gary Hubball's 60th Celebration Year Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 22.5f · Good To Firm · 8 ran PU 22/1

01 Jul 26 Worcester Touchwoodexpress (IRE)T: Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies Britannia Dynamic Logistics Promises Delivered Conditional Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 23f · Good · 10 ran 6th 28/1

01 Jul 26 Worcester Miss Denver (GB)T: Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies Worcestershire Ambassadors Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good · 10 ran 2nd 22/1

17 Jun 26 Worcester Galeforcechopper (GB)T: David Brace CopyBet Daily World Cup Profit Boost Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) (Div 2)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 8 ran 6th 125/1

13 Jun 26 Uttoxeter My Lovely Horse (FR)T: David Bridgwater Noble Minds Counselling Services Mares' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 23.5f · Good · 7 ran 6th 25/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 19 Oct 2026: top-rated on KTB Rating in 1 run (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 1 run (won 0) · to 4 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is James Turner's strike rate?: James Turner has won 29 of 417 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 7% (as at 15 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does James Turner do best at?: Worcester by strike rate: 2 wins from 38 rides (5.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does James Turner ride most for?: Nigel Twiston-Davies, with 141 rides since 2008 — 34% of the total. That pairing has won 16 (11.3%).
Is James Turner in form?: Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 2 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is James Turner's Fair A/E?: 0.82, from 417 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.