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Jockey profile

Jay Tidball

351 rides in the lifetime window · 149 individual horses
As at 14 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Rides today 100% of rides over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2021→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
43–351
Wins / Runs
12.3%
Strike rate
n=351
97 (28%)
Placed
1.11
Fair A/E
n=350 · 0.97 incl. margin
−56.76
£1 level stake
n=351 at SP · −16.2%
£553k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
12.8%
KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 20 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 12% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.11). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 28% (43 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 351 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 14 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance 34.4% when favourite Alastair Ralph: 13.1% from 130 LTO winners: 27.9% Claiming: 12.5% Rides the favourite in 9% of races
The read

Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 27.9% (n=43, Fair A/E 1.21), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 0% (n=43, Fair A/E 0.00). Alastair Ralph supplies 37% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (13.1%, A/E 1.13) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also reads well in Chase races (20.5%, n=88) and on Good going (19.3%, n=140). The record reads poorly over 2m5f – 3m — 5.1% over 78 rides, 7.2pts below the baseline. The standout partner of the record: Magical Maggie (GB) — 5 wins from 11 rides together.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 12.3% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
10.1%−2.2
n=149 · A/E 1.10 · £1 −18.31
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
27.9%+15.6
n=43 · A/E 1.21 · £1 +2.96
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
10.5%−1.8
n=95 · A/E 1.13 · £1 −10.25
When favourite
34.4%
n=32 · A/E 1.03 · £1 −5.67
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
12.5%+0.2
n=328 · A/E 1.12 · £1 −56.26
Big fields · 14+ runners
0%−12.3
n=43 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −43.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−12.3
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 12.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On last-time-out winners 27.9% vs 12.3% · n=43
With Paul Nicholls 21.7% vs 12.3% · n=83
In Chase races 20.5% vs 12.3% · n=88
On Good going 19.3% vs 12.3% · n=140
Over 2m5f – 3m 5.1% vs 12.3% · n=78
With horses switching code 4.9% vs 12.3% · n=41
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 231 20 8.7% −83.12
Chase 88 18 20.5% +20.03
NH Flat 32 5 15.6% +6.33

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 140 27 19.3% +33.74
Good to Soft 122 11 9% −25.25
Soft 57 5 8.8% −33.25
Heavy 21 0 0% −21.00
Good to Firm 9 0 0% −9.00
Standard (AW) 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Ludlow 33 6 18.2% −0.25
Uttoxeter 29 1 3.4% −25.00
Newton Abbot 21 8 38.1% +28.52
Bangor-on-Dee 19 3 15.8% +5.83
Hereford 18 1 5.6% −14.00
Plumpton 17 5 29.4% +3.56
Fontwell 17 3 17.6% +19.50
Taunton 15 0 0% −15.00
Stratford 14 1 7.1% −8.50
Warwick 14 2 14.3% −0.50
Chepstow 14 2 14.3% +14.00
Fakenham 13 1 7.7% −11.00
Worcester 13 1 7.7% −8.67
Newbury 12 0 0% −12.00
Wincanton 12 0 0% −12.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 4 139 19 13.7% +7.14
Class 5 130 10 7.7% −70.06
Class 3 53 8 15.1% −6.09
Class 2 24 6 25% +17.25
Class 1 5 0 0% −5.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 33 11 33.3% 1.01 −6.67
2nd–3rd fav 84 15 17.9% 0.97 −12.59
4th–6th fav 112 15 13.4% 1.69 +41.50
7th+ in betting 122 2 1.6% 0.57 −79.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
83.4% completed · 319 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 88 76.1% 2 2 17 0 0
Hurdle 231 86.1% 4 4 23 1 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Churchman (GB) 13 0 4 16 Apr 26
Billingsley (IRE) 13 2 6 15 Dec 23
Magical Maggie (GB) 11 5 6 15 Mar 24
Centara (IRE) 10 5 5 8 Nov 26
Glimpse Of Gold (GB) 10 1 3 4 Jun 23
Thankyourluckystar (GB) 9 1 3 20 Apr 24
Tap Tap Boom (GB) 9 2 3 25 Mar 23
Le Tueur (IRE) 7 1 3 21 Nov 23
Scherbobalob (GB) 7 1 1 26 Oct 23
Midnight Ginger (GB) 6 0 1 29 Jun 25
Youvebrokenmydream (GB) 6 0 2 11 Jun 21
Sans Bruit (FR) 5 1 2 7 Nov 26
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 149 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 2 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
1 from 5
Only 5 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
31051714262060913911
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardAlastair Ralph
37% of all rides
13.1% SR · A/E 1.13
TrainerRWSR£1
Alastair Ralph 130 17 13.1% −18.15
Paul Nicholls 83 18 21.7% +5.39
Sarah Humphrey 30 2 6.7% −22.50
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2021→
43
Archived wins
£553k
Prize money
2025
Best season · 14 wins
Sans Bruit (FR) — BetGoodwin Sussex Champion Chase Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Plumpton · Apr 2025 · Class 2
£52,810
Twinjets (IRE) — Hillhouse Quarry Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Ayr · Apr 2026 · Class 2
£25,720
Toothless (FR) — Fitzdares Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Windsor · Jan 2026 · Class 3
£15,843
Notable horses
Magical Maggie (GB) Centara (IRE) Billingsley (IRE) Tap Tap Boom (GB) Byzantium (FR) Toothless (FR)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Dunaden (FR) 4.2% · 1–24
Progeny have won 9.7% of 631 runs since 2018 (69 horses). Strongest on Soft going: 15.7% from 102.
Passing Glance (GB) 9.1% · 2–22
Progeny have won 12.4% of 3,585 runs since 2008 (296 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 15.8% from 222. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 7.2% from 290. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 8.8% from 171.
Geordieland (FR) 29.4% · 5–17
Progeny have won 11.9% of 717 runs since 2016 (71 horses).
Flemensfirth (USA) 14.3% · 2–14
Progeny have won 11.8% of 17,297 runs since 2008 (1,595 horses).
Millenary (GB) 15.4% · 2–13
Progeny have won 9.7% of 1,414 runs since 2011 (120 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 13.3% from 233.
Sageburg (IRE) 41.7% · 5–12
Progeny have won 10% of 3,490 runs since 2012 (415 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 13.4% from 389. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 2.7% from 295. Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 13.2% from 356.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 14 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 351 · newest first

The latest 50 of 351 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 14 January 2021 to 14 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
14 Nov 26 Uttoxeter Tao Enki (FR)T: Alastair Ralph QuinnBet Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 20f · Good · 8 ran 7th 7/2
13 Nov 26 Cheltenham Razzle Dazzle Boy (IRE)T: Tim Vaughan AIS Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle Race (Challenger Stayers' Hurdle Series Qualifier)Class 3 · 21f · Good · 18 ran 12th 66/1
08 Nov 26 Ffos Las Centara (IRE)T: Paul Nicholls 3A's Leisure Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 4 ran PU 3/1
07 Nov 26 Aintree Sans Bruit (FR)T: Paul Nicholls William Hill Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 16f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 2nd 5/2
05 Nov 26 Plumpton Bond Broker (IRE)T: Paul Nicholls Download The Star Sports App Novices' Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17f · Good · 3 ran 1st 6/4
29 Oct 26 Ffos Las Toothless (FR)T: Paul Nicholls Dai Walters Trophy Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 19.5f · Good · 6 ran 1st 10/1
28 Oct 26 Newton Abbot Centara (IRE)T: Paul Nicholls Persimmon Homes Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 5 ran 4th 9/4F
15 Oct 26 Fontwell Inca De Lafayette (FR)T: Paul Nicholls BETTING.BET New Betting Sites Novices' Limited Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race)Class 3 · 21.5f · Good To Soft · 4 ran 2nd 7/2
24 Apr 26 Fontwell It's A Breeze (IRE)T: Paul Nicholls A.W. Jefferys (Southampton) Ltd Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 19.5f · Good · 12 ran F 8/1
23 Apr 26 Perth A King Of Magic (FR)T: Paul Nicholls Download The Free Racing TV App Now Handicap Hurdle (Div 1)Class 4 · 20f · Good · 8 ran 1st 11/4F
22 Apr 26 Ludlow Whiting Ash (GB)T: Alastair Ralph Powell & Company Construction Agricultural Buildings Mares' Open Maiden NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 14 ran 6th 28/1
19 Apr 26 Stratford Bond Broker (IRE)T: Paul Nicholls Geely Leamington Spa Novices' Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17f · Good · 4 ran 3rd 2/1
17 Apr 26 Ayr Twinjets (IRE)T: Paul Nicholls Hillhouse Quarry Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 2 · 20.5f · Soft · 9 ran 1st 6/1
16 Apr 26 Hereford Churchman (GB)T: Alastair Ralph Acre Accountancy Conditional Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 19.5f · Good · 8 ran 3rd 4/1
11 Apr 26 Chepstow Cornish Storm (GB)T: Zoe Hawkins Tiptop Clean Convenience Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 16f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 5th 12/1
10 Apr 26 Aintree Afadil (FR)T: Paul Nicholls Debenhams Handicap Hurdle (Conditional Jockeys/Amateur Riders) (GBB Race)Class 2 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 21 ran 5th 40/1
06 Apr 26 Plumpton Largy Poet (IRE)T: Paul Nicholls BetGoodwin Sussex National Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 2 · 28.5f · Good · 10 ran PU 12/1
06 Apr 26 Plumpton Matterhorn (FR)T: Paul Nicholls BetGoodwin Sussex Champion Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 2 · 17f · Good · 5 ran 2nd 5/1
05 Apr 26 Plumpton Inca De Lafayette (FR)T: Paul Nicholls BetGoodwin Top Online Bookie Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20f · Good · 4 ran 1st 13/8F
04 Apr 26 Newton Abbot Tahmuras (FR)T: Paul Nicholls Happy 45th Birthday Andy Hurtley Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 21f · Good · 6 ran PU 7/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 28 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 1 run (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 1 run (won 0) · to 8 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Jay Tidball's strike rate?
Jay Tidball has won 43 of 351 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 12.3% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Jay Tidball do best at?
Ludlow by strike rate: 6 wins from 33 rides (18.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Jay Tidball ride most for?
Alastair Ralph, with 130 rides since 2008 — 37% of the total. That pairing has won 17 (13.1%).
Is Jay Tidball in form?
Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 5 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Jay Tidball's Fair A/E?
1.11, from 350 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 14 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).