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Jockey profile

Joe Bradnam

183 rides in the last 5 seasons · 122 individual horses
As at 12 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride 5 days ago 99% of rides on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2019→)
from 1 Jan 2022
9–183
Wins / Runs
4.9%
Strike rate
n=183
49 (27%)
Placed
0.52
Fair A/E
n=182 · 0.45 incl. margin
−138.13
£1 level stake
n=183 at SP · −75.5%
£130k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
7%
KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 40 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.52).

Deterministic profile computed from 183 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 12 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Michael Bell: 8.7% from 69
The read

The market has consistently overbet first rides on a horse: 2.5% strike, Fair A/E 0.28 and −105.63 to a £1 stake over 120 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. Michael Bell supplies 38% of the rides and edges the rider's average (8.7% vs 4.9%, A/E 0.71). The rider also reads well over 1m2f – 1m4f (10%, n=60). The record reads poorly over 6f – 7f — 1.6% over 64 rides, 3.3pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider in Class 5: Fair A/E 0.71 across 64 rides (7.8% strike, −38.75 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4.9% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
2.5%−2.4
n=120 · A/E 0.28 · £1 −105.63
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
0%−4.9
n=16 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −16.00
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
0%−4.9
n=24 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −24.00
When favourite
30.8%
n=13 · A/E 1.07 · £1 +1.00
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
4.3%−0.6
n=161 · A/E 0.47 · £1 −121.25
Big fields · 14+ runners
0%−4.9
n=9 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −9.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Over 1m2f – 1m4f 10% vs 4.9% · n=60
With Michael Bell 8.7% vs 4.9% · n=69
Over 6f – 7f 1.6% vs 4.9% · n=64
In Class 5 7.8% vs 4.9% · n=64
On first rides for the horse 2.5% vs 4.9% · n=120
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 182 9 4.9% −137.13
Chase 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 92 5 5.4% −59.25
Good to Firm 37 2 5.4% −30.75
Good 30 1 3.3% −26.75
Soft 14 1 7.1% −11.38
Good to Soft 10 0 0% −10.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Southwell (AW) 21 2 9.5% −9.25
Wolverhampton (AW) 19 1 5.3% −14.00
Lingfield (AW) 17 1 5.9% −5.00
Kempton (AW) 15 1 6.7% −11.00
Yarmouth 15 3 20% −6.63
Salisbury 11 0 0% −11.00
Nottingham 11 0 0% −11.00
Newcastle (AW) 10 0 0% −10.00
Chelmsford City (AW) 10 0 0% −10.00
Doncaster 6 0 0% −6.00
Windsor 6 0 0% −6.00
Haydock 4 0 0% −4.00
Chepstow 4 0 0% −4.00
Newmarket 3 0 0% −3.00
Ripon 3 0 0% −3.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 100 4 4% −80.38
Class 5 64 5 7.8% −38.75
Class 4 16 0 0% −16.00
Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00
Class 3 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 13 4 30.8% 1.07 +1.00
2nd–3rd fav 45 4 8.9% 0.53 −22.13
4th–6th fav 51 1 2% 0.23 −43.00
7th+ in betting 74 0 0% 0.00 −74.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Miss Harmony (GB) 11 1 3 10 Sep 24
Spaceage Love Song (IRE) 6 1 3 26 Aug 26
The Bay Warrior (IRE) 5 0 3 7 Nov 24
Blueflagflyinghigh (IRE) 5 1 3 4 Sep 24
At Liberty (IRE) 5 1 2 2 Sep 23
The Ubermensch (GER) 4 1 2 2 Jul 26
Doves Of Peace (IRE) 4 0 2 15 Nov 24
Stone Circle (IRE) 4 0 1 6 Jul 23
Tilsworth Jade (GB) 4 0 0 15 Jun 23
Tilsworth Lorraine (GB) 4 0 0 29 Aug 22
Mammy (GB) 3 0 1 6 Jun 25
True Courage (GB) 3 0 1 3 Jan 25
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 122 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 2
Only 2 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
72033004800900
A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardMichael Bell
38% of all rides
8.7% SR · A/E 0.71
TrainerRWSR£1
Michael Bell 69 6 8.7% −34.50
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2019→
10
Archived wins
£143k
Prize money
2026
Best season · 3 wins
Miss Harmony (GB) — talkSPORT Download The App Fillies' Handicap Lingfield (AW) · Mar 2023 · Class 5
£6,281
Forest Spirit (IRE) — Free Bets With BetUK Bet Club Apprentice Handicap Southwell (AW) · Mar 2025 · Class 6
£4,711
The Ubermensch (GER) — Seadell Shops & Holiday Chalets 'Hands And Heels' Apprentice Handicap Yarmouth · Jul 2026 · Class 5
£4,397
Notable horses
Miss Harmony (GB) Spaceage Love Song (IRE) Blueflagflyinghigh (IRE) At Liberty (IRE) The Ubermensch (GER) Rusheen Boy (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Tamayuz (GB) 8.3% · 1–12
Progeny have won 10.4% of 5,189 runs since 2012 (401 horses).
Bated Breath (GB) 10% · 1–10
Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,180 runs since 2016 (670 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 7.6% from 857.
Arizona (IRE) 16.7% · 1–6
Progeny have won 6.4% of 500 runs since 2024 (75 horses).
Heeraat (IRE) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 8% of 3,001 runs since 2018 (194 horses).
Muhaarar (GB) 33.3% · 2–6
Progeny have won 11.5% of 4,835 runs since 2019 (415 horses).
No Nay Never (USA) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 12.1% of 6,381 runs since 2018 (710 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 9.1% from 618. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.5% from 187.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 12 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 213 · newest first

The latest 50 of 213 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 2 February 2019 to 7 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
07 Nov 26 Doncaster Bowood (GB)T: Lawrence Mullaney Virgin Bet Training Series Final Apprentice Handicap Stakes (Part Of The Racing Excellence Series) (Div II)Class 4 · 7f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 10th 100/1
07 Nov 26 Doncaster King's Call (IRE)T: Lawrence Mullaney Virgin Bet Training Series Final Apprentice Handicap Stakes (Part Of The Racing Excellence Series) (Div I)Class 4 · 7f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 12th 22/1
27 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Venturing (IRE)T: Tony Carroll All Weather Championship Is Back "Hands And Heels" Apprentice Handicap Stakes (Part Of The Racing Excellence Series)Class 6 · 8.5f · Standard · 10 ran 10th 33/1
06 Oct 26 Brighton Itsonlyrockandroll (GB)T: Adam Kirby Matchbook Signup - Get 20% Back On Losses Apprentice Handicap Stakes (Hands And Heels Race) (Part Of The Racing Excellence Series)Class 6 · 10f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 9th 40/1
05 Oct 26 Yarmouth Koffee And Kale (GB)T: Michael Bell White Swan Fish & Seafood Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 2nd 11/2
26 Sep 26 Southwell (AW) Ballybunion (IRE)T: Michael Bell Book The Bistro In Seasons Restaurant Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 14 ran 3rd 7/1
25 Sep 26 Haydock Pleasant Man (GB)T: Joey Ramsden Eitc Training Series Final Apprentice Handicap Stakes (Haydock Training Race) (Part Of The Racing Excellence Series)Class 5 · 10f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 5th 20/1
21 Sep 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Harbour Vision (GB)T: Scott Dixon attheraces.com/market Movers Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 6 · 9.5f · Standard · 11 ran 11th 40/1
17 Sep 26 Pontefract Good Karma (GB)T: John David Riches Go Racing In Yorkshire Future Stars Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Good · 12 ran 3rd 4/1
13 Sep 26 Doncaster Shazani (FR)T: Roy Bowring Duncan Pearce Memorial Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 4 · 6f · Good · 16 ran 4th 17/2
03 Sep 26 Salisbury Special Ghaiyyath (IRE)T: P Charalambous & J Clutterbuck Al Basti Equiworld, Dubai Apprentice Handicap Stakes (Whips To Be Carried But Not Used - A Racing Excellence Series)Class 5 · 8f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 7th 28/1
26 Aug 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Victoria (A)T: Mrs W Hassall Spillers ULCA Power Cubes Handicap Stakes (0-60) - Arab Race8.5f · Standard · 8 ran 6th 9/4F
26 Aug 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Spaceage Love Song (IRE)T: Michael Bell Free Bets On Attheraces.com Classified StakesClass 6 · 12f · Standard · 11 ran 3rd 11/2
18 Aug 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Without Fail (IRE)T: Michael Bell Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 10th 150/1
16 Aug 26 Southwell (AW) Toptime (GB)T: Roy Bowring Gb Civil Engineering Apprentice Handicap Stakes (Apprentice Training Race - Part Of The Racing Excellence Series)Class 6 · 6f · Standard · 14 ran 2nd 12/1
13 Aug 26 Salisbury Sydney Rock (GB)T: Oliver Cole Al Basti Equiworld, Dubai Apprentice Handicap Stakes (Whips To Be Carried, But Not Used) (Part Of Racing Excellence)Class 5 · 8f · Good · 6 ran 2nd 11/8F
11 Aug 26 Hamilton Cotai Starlight (IRE)T: Katie Scott Hamilton Park "Hands And Heels" Apprentice Handicap Stakes (Part Of The Racing Excellence Series)Class 6 · 5f · Good · 7 ran 5th 9/1
21 Jul 26 Nottingham Spaceage Love Song (IRE)T: Michael Bell £9 Racedays At Nottingham Racecourse "Hands And Heels" Apprentice Classified Stakes (Part Of Racing Excellence)Class 6 · 10f · Good To Firm · 6 ran 6th 100/30
18 Jul 26 Nottingham No Knee Never (IRE)T: James Owen Follow @Racingtv On X Haydock Park Training Series Apprentice Handicap Stakes (Part Of The Racing Excellence Series)Class 5 · 8.5f · Good To Firm · 6 ran 3rd 7/2
17 Jul 26 Pontefract Muhib (GB)T: Olly Williams Babs Woolford Memorial Apprentice Classified StakesClass 6 · 12f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 2nd 4/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Joe Bradnam's strike rate?
Joe Bradnam has won 9 of 183 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 4.9% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which yard does Joe Bradnam ride most for?
Michael Bell, with 69 rides since 2022 — 38% of the total. That pairing has won 6 (8.7%).
Is Joe Bradnam in form?
Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 2 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Joe Bradnam's Fair A/E?
0.52, from 182 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 12 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).