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Jockey profile

Matthew Lloyd Slater

169 rides in the last 5 seasons · 94 individual horses
As at 12 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride 5 days ago 100% of rides on the flat
from 1 Jan 2022
13–169
Wins / Runs
7.7%
Strike rate
n=169
40 (24%)
Placed
0.77
n=169 · 0.66 incl. margin
−70.95
£1 level stake
n=169 at SP · −42.0%
£108k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
5.7%
KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 30 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 8% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.77). Rides mostly for Tony Carroll — 66% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 169 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 12 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Tony Carroll: 10.7% from 112 Claiming: 8.6%
The read

First rides on a horse have been a poor signal at 3.2% (n=94, Fair A/E 0.34). Tony Carroll supplies 66% of the rides and edges the rider's average (10.7% vs 7.7%, A/E 1.04) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also reads well on Good to Firm going (21.2%, n=33) and at trips under 6f (18.8%, n=32). The record reads poorly off a 8-14-day break — 2.7% over 37 rides, 5pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider on Standard (AW) going: Fair A/E 0.43 across 89 rides (3.4% strike, −61.62 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.7% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
3.2%−4.5
n=94 · A/E 0.34 · £1 −67.50
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
19%+11.3
n=21 · A/E 0.85 · £1 −12.45
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
8.3%+0.6
n=24 · A/E 1.89 · £1 +12.00
When favourite
45.5%
n=11 · A/E 1.31 · £1 +1.55
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
8.6%+0.9
n=151 · A/E 0.92 · £1 −52.95
Big fields · 14+ runners
28.6%+20.9
n=7 · A/E 4.99 · £1 +14.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On Good to Firm going 21.2% vs 7.7% · n=33
At trips under 6f 18.8% vs 7.7% · n=32
On first rides for the horse 3.2% vs 7.7% · n=94
With C&D winners 13.2% vs 7.7% · n=38
On Standard (AW) going 3.4% vs 7.7% · n=89
Off a 8-14-day break 2.7% vs 7.7% · n=37
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 89 3 3.4% −61.62
Good to Firm 33 7 21.2% +23.17
Good 30 1 3.3% −24.50
Soft 7 2 28.6% +2.00
Good to Soft 4 0 0% −4.00
Firm 3 0 0% −3.00
Heavy 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Wolverhampton (AW) 37 2 5.4% −15.12
Lingfield (AW) 15 0 0% −15.00
Kempton (AW) 15 0 0% −15.00
Brighton 14 1 7.1% −7.50
Southwell (AW) 11 1 9.1% −5.50
Windsor 10 4 40% +14.67
Bath 9 2 22.2% +13.50
Leicester 7 1 14.3% +1.00
Newcastle (AW) 7 0 0% −7.00
Chepstow 5 0 0% −5.00
Chelmsford City (AW) 4 0 0% −4.00
Salisbury 4 0 0% −4.00
Nottingham 4 0 0% −4.00
Pontefract 3 0 0% −3.00
Haydock 3 0 0% −3.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 122 10 8.2% −50.05
Class 5 38 3 7.9% −11.90
Class 4 9 0 0% −9.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 14 5 35.7% 1.12 −1.45
2nd–3rd fav 35 3 8.6% 0.48 −17.00
4th–6th fav 52 2 3.8% 0.48 −37.50
7th+ in betting 68 3 4.4% 1.62 −15.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Lequinto (IRE) 13 4 7 5 Jun 26
Midnight Call (IRE) 9 2 4 23 Mar 26
Second Collection (GB) 6 0 1 9 Feb 26
Sonic Si (GB) 5 1 2 17 Jun 26
Poetic Force (IRE) 5 1 2 10 Jan 26
Port Hedland (GB) 4 1 1 6 Aug 26
Pride Of Nepal (GB) 4 1 2 23 May 26
Snow Boots (GB) 4 0 0 4 Mar 26
Youarenotforgiven (GB) 4 0 0 27 Feb 26
Abstract (IRE) 4 0 0 3 Dec 25
Honrado (GB) 4 1 1 4 Aug 25
River Wharfe (GB) 3 0 0 7 Jul 26
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 94 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 3
Only 3 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
1300061846140130
A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardTony Carroll
66% of all rides
10.7% SR · A/E 1.04
TrainerRWSR£1
Tony Carroll 112 12 10.7% −19.45
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2022→
13
Archived wins
£108k
Prize money
2025
Best season · 8 wins
Arlington (GB) — Make The Move To Midnite Handicap Southwell (AW) · Jan 2026 · Class 6
£5,234
Lequinto (IRE) — Carling Handicap Sandown · Sep 2025 · Class 5
£4,449
Lequinto (IRE) — Weekend Winners On Sky Sports Racing Handicap Windsor · Jun 2025 · Class 5
£4,397

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Requinto (IRE) 28.6% · 4–14
Progeny have won 9.2% of 2,459 runs since 2016 (162 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 13.5% from 223.
Lope De Vega (IRE) 16.7% · 2–12
Progeny have won 13.8% of 12,241 runs since 2014 (1,110 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 9.4% from 961.
Caravaggio (USA) 22.2% · 2–9
Progeny have won 11.8% of 1,779 runs since 2021 (201 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 16.3% from 166.
Dark Angel (IRE) 0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,957 runs since 2011 (1,596 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.
Delegator (GB) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 10.8% of 1,873 runs since 2016 (109 horses). Weakest on Good going: 7.7% from 260. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 14.4% from 180.
Advertise (GB) 20% · 1–5
Progeny have won 9.8% of 1,568 runs since 2023 (153 horses).
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 12 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 169 · newest first

The latest 50 of 169 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 24 October 2022 to 7 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
25 Jul 26 Newcastle (AW) Broadstone (GB)T: John Norton John Duncan Brack Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 6 · 10f · Standard / Slow · 13 ran 12th 125/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Matthew Lloyd Slater's strike rate?
Matthew Lloyd Slater has won 13 of 169 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 7.7% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Matthew Lloyd Slater do best at?
Wolverhampton (AW) by strike rate: 2 wins from 37 rides (5.4%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Matthew Lloyd Slater ride most for?
Tony Carroll, with 112 rides since 2022 — 66% of the total. That pairing has won 12 (10.7%).
Is Matthew Lloyd Slater in form?
Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 3 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Matthew Lloyd Slater's Fair A/E?
0.77, from 169 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 12 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).