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Trainer profile

J Motherway

137 runners in the last 5 seasons · 19 individual horses
As at 2 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 102 days ago
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2022
9–137
Wins / Runs
6.6%
Strike rate
n=137
32 (23%)
Placed
0.86
Fair A/E
n=137 · 0.70 incl. margin
−57.77
£1 level stake
n=137 at SP · −42.2%
£168k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
7.7%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 30 runners a season, winning with 7% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.86). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 13% off breaks of two months or more (32 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 137 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 2 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 12.5%
The read

Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a positive signal at 12.5% (n=32, Fair A/E 1.79). The yard also reads well in Chase races (12.7%, n=55) and on Soft going (10.5%, n=57). The record reads poorly on Good going — 2.9% over 35 runners, 3.7pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard in Hurdle races: Fair A/E 0.48 across 63 runners (3.2% strike, −39.50 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. 4 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Powers Whiskey Irish Grand National Chase at Fairyhouse (Apr 2010, £141,000). The stable star of the record: Na Trachtalai Abu (IRE) — 5 wins from 46 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.6% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
12.5%+5.9
n=32 · A/E 1.79 · £1 +17.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−6.6
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−6.6
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−6.6
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−6.6
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00
When favourite
16.7%
n=6 · A/E 0.70 · £1 −4.27
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
6%−0.6
n=67 · A/E 0.80 · £1 −32.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
14.3%+7.7
n=14 · A/E 1.35 · £1 +6.73

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
In Chase races 12.7% vs 6.6% · n=55
On Soft going 10.5% vs 6.6% · n=57
In Hurdle races 3.2% vs 6.6% · n=63
On Good going 2.9% vs 6.6% · n=35
Off a 15-30-day break 4.2% vs 6.6% · n=48
Over 2m5f – 3m 4.5% vs 6.6% · n=44
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 63 2 3.2% −39.50
Chase 55 7 12.7% +0.73
Flat 16 0 0% −16.00
NH Flat 3 0 0% −3.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 57 6 10.5% −3.50
Good 35 1 2.9% −24.00
Good to Soft 22 1 4.5% −9.00
Heavy 21 1 4.8% −19.27
Good to Firm 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Limerick 15 3 20% +10.23
Punchestown 12 0 0% −12.00
Cork 11 2 18.2% +0.00
Wexford 11 2 18.2% +11.50
Killarney 11 0 0% −11.00
Fairyhouse 10 0 0% −10.00
Thurles 9 0 0% −9.00
Tipperary 8 1 12.5% +1.50
Naas 8 0 0% −8.00
Kilbeggan 7 0 0% −7.00
Clonmel 7 0 0% −7.00
Listowel 4 0 0% −4.00
Gowran Park 3 0 0% −3.00
Galway 3 0 0% −3.00
Downpatrick 3 0 0% −3.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 14 2 14.3% +6.73
Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 7 1 14.3% 0.65 −5.27
2nd–3rd fav 27 1 3.7% 0.29 −22.00
4th–6th fav 45 5 11.1% 1.31 +3.50
7th+ in betting 58 2 3.4% 1.23 −34.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
81.4% completed · 118 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 55 76.4% 3 4 6 0 0
Hurdle 63 85.7% 2 0 7 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Time Marches On (IRE) 24 2 6 21 Aug 25
Goodnightngodbless (IRE) 22 2 8 23 Aug 24
Uhavemeinstitches (IRE) 11 3 5 2 May 26
Amron Diamond (IRE)then James M Barcoe 11 0 2 2 Oct 25
Rebel Ivy (IRE) 9 1 3 27 Apr 23
Dinny Lacey (IRE) 8 1 2 28 Apr 23
Empire Walk (IRE) 7 0 2 23 Jul 26
Walkmethroughit (IRE)then Kieran Callaghan 7 0 0 12 Mar 26
Halcyon Spirit (GB)from John C McConnell 6 0 0 9 Aug 24
Onemorestar (IRE) 5 0 0 13 Aug 25
Rebel Ruler (IRE)from David Kenneth Budds 4 0 0 4 Jul 24
Whatdoyouknow (IRE) 4 0 0 16 Jan 23
All 19 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 19 horses listed, 4 arrived from another yard in our archive; 15 had their first archived run for this yard.

6 have since run for another yard, most often for Donald McCain (2); 13 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
008719000023013
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Simon Torrens 19 1 5.3% −14.50
Abbie Murphy 14 0 0% −14.00
Denis O'Regan 13 0 0% −13.00
Charlie O'Dwyer 11 2 18.2% +9.50
Mark Walsh 8 2 25% +6.73
Darragh O'Keeffe 6 0 0% −6.00
Conor Stone-Walsh 5 1 20% +4.50
Danny Gilligan 3 0 0% −3.00
James Ryan 3 0 0% −3.00
Mr R W Barron 3 0 0% −3.00
Shane Fitzgerald 3 0 0% −3.00
Shane O'Callaghan 3 0 0% −3.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
48
Archived wins
4
Pattern / graded wins
£913k
Prize money
2011
Best season · 4 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Bluesea Cracker (IRE) — Powers Whiskey Irish Grand National Chase (Grade A Handicap Chase) Fairyhouse · Apr 2010 · Grade A
£141,000
Na Trachtalai Abu (IRE) — AXA Smart Farm Insurance Midlands National Handicap Chase Kilbeggan · Jul 2019
£59,000
Bluesea Cracker (IRE) — Hugh Mcmahon Memorial Novice Chase (grade 2) Limerick · Apr 2009 · Grade 2
£28,319
Notable horses
Na Trachtalai Abu (IRE) Goodnightngodbless (IRE) Bluesea Cracker (IRE) Irish Soul (IRE) Define (IRE) Dinny Lacey (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Walk In The Park (IRE) 10% · 3–30
Progeny have won 13.3% of 7,012 runs since 2011 (702 horses).
Scorpion (IRE) 8.3% · 2–24
Progeny have won 9.1% of 6,318 runs since 2011 (609 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 14.1% from 142.
Yeats (IRE) 9.1% · 2–22
Progeny have won 11.9% of 9,833 runs since 2013 (707 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.9% from 204. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.3% from 818.
Presenting (GB) 8.3% · 1–12
Progeny have won 11% of 20,052 runs since 2008 (1,686 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 24.3% from 136.
Diamond Boy (FR) 0% · 0–11
Progeny have won 12% of 2,285 runs since 2016 (287 horses).
Fame And Glory (GB) 11.1% · 1–9
Progeny have won 12.5% of 6,211 runs since 2016 (504 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 2 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 654 · newest first

The latest 50 of 654 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 27 January 2005 to 23 July 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
23 Jul 26 Wexford (IRE) Empire Walk (IRE)J: Miss J Townend Wexford Racecourse Ladies Handicap Hurdle20f · Good · 14 ran 4th 3/1F
12 Jun 26 Fairyhouse Spa Rose (IRE)J: Wesley Joyce Irish Stallion Farms EBF Median Auction Maiden12f · Good · 17 ran 16th 200/1
26 May 26 Ballinrobe Empire Walk (IRE)J: Patrick M O'Brien FBD Handicap Hurdle22f · Good · 15 ran 4th 5/1F
10 May 26 Cork Empire Walk (IRE)J: Michael Kenneally Bet With Tote.ie On Racing & Sports Handicap Hurdle (0-100)24.5f · Good · 21 ran 3rd 8/1
03 May 26 Cork Spa Rose (IRE)J: Abbie Murphy Irish Stallion Farms EBF Median Auction Fillies Maiden (Smullen Series)10.5f · Soft · 10 ran 10th 150/1
02 May 26 Punchestown Uhavemeinstitches (IRE)J: Mark Walsh Palmerstown House Estate Pat Taaffe Handicap Chase (0-150) (Listed)24.5f · Yielding · 21 ran PU 9/1
22 Mar 26 Limerick Uhavemeinstitches (IRE)J: Mark Walsh Hugh McMahon Memorial Novice Chase (Grade 3)24.5f · Soft To Heavy · 4 ran 1st 8/11F
12 Mar 26 Limerick Walkmethroughit (IRE)J: Abbie Murphy William Hill Each Way Extra Challenge Series Handicap Hurdle (0-100)23f · Heavy · 15 ran PU 50/1
08 Mar 26 Naas Uhavemeinstitches (IRE)J: Simon Torrens BAR 1 Betting Leinster National Handicap Chase (Listed)25f · Soft To Heavy · 15 ran UR 11/2
18 Feb 26 Punchestown Walkmethroughit (IRE)J: Abbie Murphy Matchbook Betting Exchange Handicap Hurdle (0-100)20f · Soft · 16 ran PU 33/1
07 Feb 26 Naas Uhavemeinstitches (IRE)J: Simon Torrens BBA Ireland Limited Opera Hat Mares Chase (Listed)16f · Heavy · 4 ran 3rd 10/1
05 Feb 26 Thurles Empire Walk (IRE)J: Eoin Staples William Hill Each Way Extra Challenge Series Handicap Hurdle (0-100)23f · Soft · 17 ran PU 7/1
05 Feb 26 Thurles Walkmethroughit (IRE)J: Abbie Murphy William Hill Each Way Extra Challenge Series Handicap Hurdle (0-100)23f · Soft · 17 ran 7th 40/1
29 Dec 25 Limerick Walkmethroughit (IRE)J: Abbie Murphy Limerick Racecourse Vets Maiden Hurdle (In Memory Of Andrew McNamara)19f · Soft To Heavy · 15 ran 7th 33/1
27 Dec 25 Limerick Uhavemeinstitches (IRE)J: Simon Torrens McMahons Builders Providers Irish EBF Dawn Run Mares Novice Chase (Grade 2)22.5f · Soft To Heavy · 7 ran 3rd 12/1
15 Dec 25 Naas Empire Walk (IRE)J: Eoin Staples BAR 1 Casino Maiden Hurdle19f · Soft To Heavy · 16 ran 2nd 7/1
29 Nov 25 Fairyhouse Uhavemeinstitches (IRE)J: Simon Torrens Race And Stay Irish EBF Mares Handicap Chase20.5f · Yielding To Soft · 10 ran 2nd 7/1
23 Nov 25 Cork Walkmethroughit (IRE)J: Abbie Murphy Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden Hurdle16f · Yielding To Soft · 15 ran 8th 200/1
20 Nov 25 Thurles Empire Walk (IRE)J: Mr E P O'Brien Sign Up To GavinLynchRacing.com (Q.R.) Maiden Hurdle16f · Yielding To Soft · 16 ran 5th 66/1
26 Oct 25 Wexford Empire Walk (IRE)J: Shane Fitzgerald William Hill Each Way Extra Challenge Series Maiden Hurdle20f · Good To Yielding · 12 ran 7th 20/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 18 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 1 run (won 0, 1 did not run) · to 18 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is J Motherway's strike rate?
J Motherway has won 9 of 137 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 6.6% (as at 2 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is J Motherway's Fair A/E?
0.86, from 137 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 2 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).