What is Paddy Pilley's strike rate?

Paddy Pilley has won 54 of 705 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 7.7% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Paddy Pilley do best at?

Brighton by strike rate: 7 wins from 44 rides (15.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Paddy Pilley ride most for?

Mick Channon, with 103 rides since 2008 — 15% of the total. That pairing has won 7 (6.8%).

What is Paddy Pilley's Fair A/E?

0.85, from 703 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Paddy Pilley

705 rides in the lifetime window · 386 individual horses

As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Sep 2020 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2013→)

No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

54–705

Wins / Runs

7.7%

Strike rate

n=705

184 (26%)

Placed

0.85

Fair A/E

n=703 · 0.74 incl. margin

−178.13

£1 level stake

n=705 at SP · −25.3%

£387k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 90 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 8% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.85). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 19% (68 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 705 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fired May–Jun 15.7% when favourite Mick Channon: 6.8% from 103 LTO winners: 19.1% Claiming: 7.8% Rode the favourite in 7% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Brighton (15.9%, n=44), clear of the rider's 7.7% baseline. It is weakest at Bath (2.2% over 45 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 19.1% (n=68, Fair A/E 1.14), but horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 3.3% (n=92, Fair A/E 0.55). The market has consistently overbet first rides on a horse: 6.5% strike, Fair A/E 0.82 and −82.09 to a £1 stake over 386 rides — those runners underperformed what the price implied. Mick Channon supplied 15% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (6.8%, A/E 0.55). The rider also read well in Class 3 (17.1%, n=41). Seasonally, the rider fired May–Jun.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.7% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

6.5%−1.2

n=386 · A/E 0.82 · £1 −82.09

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

19.1%+11.4

n=68 · A/E 1.14 · £1 +12.29

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

3.3%−4.4

n=92 · A/E 0.55 · £1 −68.00

When favourite

15.7%

n=51 · A/E 0.54 · £1 −23.54

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

7.8%+0.1

n=630 · A/E 0.87 · £1 −141.88

Big fields · 14+ runners

6.5%−1.2

n=92 · A/E 1.24 · £1 −22.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 19.1% vs 7.7% · n=68

In Class 3 17.1% vs 7.7% · n=41

At Brighton 15.9% vs 7.7% · n=44

At Bath 2.2% vs 7.7% · n=45

With C&D winners 11.9% vs 7.7% · n=134

With Tom Dascombe 12.3% vs 7.7% · n=81

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 249 18 7.2% +10.75

Good to Firm 151 13 8.6% −59.34

Good 128 10 7.8% −49.37

Good to Soft 94 6 6.4% −44.50

Soft 57 5 8.8% −20.50

Firm 20 1 5% −18.17

Heavy 6 1 16.7% +3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Wolverhampton (AW) 75 5 6.7% +59.50

Kempton (AW) 53 4 7.5% −11.00

Lingfield (AW) 45 4 8.9% −18.25

Bath 45 1 2.2% −43.17

Brighton 44 7 15.9% +8.00

Chelmsford (AW) 39 3 7.7% −9.50

Nottingham 30 3 10% +12.33

Leicester 27 6 22.2% +9.25

Southwell (AW) 26 2 7.7% +1.00

Chester 26 1 3.8% −19.50

Salisbury 26 3 11.5% −3.50

Lingfield 25 2 8% −10.00

Windsor 23 2 8.7% −13.50

Newbury 21 1 4.8% −12.00

Chepstow 20 2 10% −10.17

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 289 25 8.7% −45.92

Class 5 225 13 5.8% −49.67

Class 4 118 6 5.1% −76.37

Class 3 41 7 17.1% +8.50

Class 2 24 2 8.3% −13.67

Class 7 7 1 14.3% +0.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 58 10 17.2% 0.63 −21.04

2nd–3rd fav 120 20 16.7% 1.06 −13.09

4th–6th fav 222 14 6.3% 0.75 −95.00

7th+ in betting 305 10 3.3% 0.98 −49.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Archie Stevens (GB) 15 1 7 30 Jul 18

Give Us A Belle (IRE) 15 1 4 28 Sep 16

Subtle Knife (GB) 12 3 5 16 Apr 16

Sir Geoffrey (IRE) 9 2 5 1 Jun 18

Prigsnov Dancer (IRE) 9 2 3 12 Oct 16

Tyrsal (IRE) 8 3 3 18 Sep 18

Highlife Dancer (GB) 8 2 3 28 Jul 16

Roger Thorpe (GB) 7 0 4 19 Aug 17

My Meteor (GB) 7 0 0 26 Jun 17

Perfect Rhythm (GB) 7 2 3 3 Jun 16

Roly Tricks (GB) 7 3 3 13 May 16

Essaka (IRE) 6 0 5 11 Aug 17

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 386 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 3 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

411461098571146

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardMick Channon

15% of all rides
6.8% SR · A/E 0.55

TrainerRWSR£1

Mick Channon 103 7 6.8% −70.17

Tom Dascombe 81 10 12.3% +63.96

Scott Dixon 42 4 9.5% −17.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2013→

Archived wins

£387k

Prize money

2015

Best season · 25 wins

She Can Boogie (IRE) — British EBF Nursery Nottingham · Oct 2018 · Class 2

£10,350

Three Gracez (GB) — 32red/ebf Stallions Breeding Fillies' Handicap Kempton (AW) · Mar 2016 · Class 3

£10,271

Blyton (GB) — J W Lees Bitter 1828 Nursery Haydock · Sep 2018 · Class 2

£9,704

Notable horses

Subtle Knife (GB) Tyrsal (IRE) Roly Tricks (GB) Prigsnov Dancer (IRE) Sir Geoffrey (IRE) Highlife Dancer (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Sixties Icon (GB) 12.9% · 4–31

Progeny have won 9.9% of 5,682 runs since 2012 (338 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 13.3% from 264. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.4% from 1,337.

Pastoral Pursuits (GB) 13.3% · 4–30

Progeny have won 9.5% of 7,219 runs since 2009 (437 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 17.4% from 109. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 1.5% from 133.

Kheleyf (USA) 4.2% · 1–24

Progeny have won 8.7% of 10,549 runs since 2008 (676 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 12.2% from 131. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.6% from 880.

Dark Angel (IRE) 10% · 2–20

Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,941 runs since 2011 (1,596 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.

Bushranger (IRE) 0% · 0–19

Progeny have won 7.7% of 4,449 runs since 2013 (300 horses).

Clodovil (IRE) 5.3% · 1–19

Progeny have won 9.7% of 6,513 runs since 2008 (415 horses). Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 13.5% from 155.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 705 · newest first

The latest 50 of 705 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 20 November 2013 to 2 September 2020.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

02 Sep 20 Lingfield Kraka (IRE)T: Christine Dunnett Betway Apprentice Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 7f · Good · 13 ran 4th 7/2F

20 Aug 20 Chester Comin' Through (AUS)T: George Scott Storyhouse HandicapClass 3 · 16f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 8th 50/1

01 Nov 18 Wolverhampton (AW) Angel Alexander (IRE)T: Tom Dascombe Ladbrokes Home Of The Odds Boost Novice StakesClass 5 · 6f · Standard · 7 ran 2nd 9/4

31 Oct 18 Nottingham She Can Boogie (IRE)T: Tom Dascombe British EBF NurseryClass 2 · 5f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 1st 10/3

22 Oct 18 Pontefract Hediddodinthe (IRE)T: Peter Winks Are You The Placepot VIP Jamaican Flight HandicapClass 5 · 18f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 7th 100/1

18 Oct 18 Wolverhampton (AW) No I'm Easy (IRE)T: Tom Dascombe attheraces.com HandicapClass 4 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 2nd 10/1

17 Oct 18 Newcastle (AW) Andies Armies (GB)T: Lisa Williamson Download The App At 188Bet/British EBF Novice StakesClass 5 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 10th 250/1

17 Oct 18 Newcastle (AW) Campion (GB)T: Philip Kirby Bet & Watch At 188bet.co.uk Apprentice HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 14 ran 8th 40/1

13 Oct 18 Newmarket Barristan The Bold (GB)T: Tom Dascombe Mydubai NurseryClass 2 · 7f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 6th 5/2F

10 Oct 18 Nottingham Crimson Skies (IRE)T: Tom Dascombe Racing UK HD On Sky 426 Apprentice HandicapClass 5 · 10f · Good · 13 ran 10th 10/1

09 Oct 18 Catterick Mr Sundowner (USA)T: Wilf Storey Wise Betting At racinguk.com HandicapClass 5 · 12f · Good · 15 ran 8th 22/1

08 Oct 18 Pontefract Hediddodinthe (IRE)T: Peter Winks Try A Trifecta On The Bluff Cove HandicapClass 5 · 18f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 11th 40/1

08 Oct 18 Pontefract Dragons Tail (IRE)T: Tom Dascombe Leslie Burton (Fisher) HandicapClass 3 · 8f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 8th 16/1

01 Oct 18 Catterick Swift Justice (GB)T: Tom Dascombe Racing UK Extra On racinguk.com NurseryClass 5 · 7f · Good To Firm · 11 ran 10th 16/1

29 Sep 18 Haydock Finniston Farm (GB)T: Tom Dascombe Bet On The Premier League With Smarkets HandicapClass 3 · 12f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 1st 9/2

29 Sep 18 Haydock Calder Prince (IRE)T: Tom Dascombe Smarkets.com HandicapClass 3 · 6f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 9th 10/1

29 Sep 18 Haydock Drogon (IRE)T: Tom Dascombe Smarkets British EBF Novice Stakes (Plus 10)Class 4 · 8f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 9th 5/1

29 Sep 18 Haydock Katiesheidinlisa (GB)T: Tom Dascombe Smarkets British EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (Plus 10)Class 5 · 8f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 4th 25/1

28 Sep 18 Haydock Blyton (GB)T: Tom Dascombe J W Lees Bitter 1828 NurseryClass 2 · 5f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 1st 5/1

26 Sep 18 Wolverhampton (AW) Andies Armies (GB)T: Lisa Williamson sportnation.bet Rewards Program Novice StakesClass 5 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 12th 200/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Paddy Pilley's strike rate?: Paddy Pilley has won 54 of 705 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 7.7% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Paddy Pilley do best at?: Brighton by strike rate: 7 wins from 44 rides (15.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Paddy Pilley ride most for?: Mick Channon, with 103 rides since 2008 — 15% of the total. That pairing has won 7 (6.8%).
What is Paddy Pilley's Fair A/E?: 0.85, from 703 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.