Skip to content
Jockey profile

Patrick M O'Brien

661 rides in the lifetime window · 305 individual horses
As at 12 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Rides today 100% of rides over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2021→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
46–661
Wins / Runs
7%
Strike rate
n=661
149 (23%)
Placed
1.10
Fair A/E
n=661 · 0.88 incl. margin
−126.30
£1 level stake
n=661 at SP · −19.1%
£836k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
7.1%
KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 30 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 7% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.10). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 15% (39 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 661 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 12 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Dermot A McLoughlin: 5% from 161 First rides: 8.5% LTO winners: 15.4%
The read

The record is strongest at Downpatrick (13.2%, n=38), clear of the rider's 7% baseline. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 15.4% (n=39, Fair A/E 1.27). First rides on a horse are the standout value angle: 8.5% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.41 and +48.75 to a £1 stake over 305 rides — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Dermot A McLoughlin supplies 24% of the rides and sits below the rider's average (5% vs 7%, A/E 0.80). The record reads poorly off a 61-180-day break — 3.4% over 88 rides, 3.6pts below the baseline. 2 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the BOYLE Sports JT McNamara Munster National Handicap Chase at Limerick (Oct 2025, £59,000).

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
8.5%+1.5
n=305 · A/E 1.41 · £1 +48.75
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
15.4%+8.4
n=39 · A/E 1.27 · £1 +11.25
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
5.2%−1.8
n=134 · A/E 1.01 · £1 −54.00
When favourite
30.8%
n=26 · A/E 1.31 · £1 +0.45
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
6.6%−0.4
n=639 · A/E 1.05 · £1 −154.30
Big fields · 14+ runners
4.6%−2.4
n=371 · A/E 0.94 · £1 −75.75
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
5%−2.0
n=40 · A/E 1.33 · £1 −14.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On last-time-out winners 15.4% vs 7% · n=39
With E McNamara 15% vs 7% · n=40
At Downpatrick 13.2% vs 7% · n=38
With Gavin Cromwell 3.2% vs 7% · n=95
Off a 61-180-day break 3.4% vs 7% · n=88
With C&D winners 11.4% vs 7% · n=35
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 468 29 6.2% −121.00
Chase 183 17 9.3% +4.70
NH Flat 8 0 0% −8.00
Flat 2 0 0% −2.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 227 14 6.2% −109.00
Good 217 19 8.8% −31.30
Good to Soft 121 7 5.8% +54.00
Heavy 96 6 6.3% −40.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Fairyhouse 73 4 5.5% −33.00
Punchestown 59 2 3.4% −20.00
Down Royal 43 3 7% −30.55
Wexford 38 4 10.5% −7.50
Downpatrick 38 5 13.2% −1.75
Limerick 36 4 11.1% +14.50
Kilbeggan 33 1 3% −26.00
Navan 28 1 3.6% +73.00
Thurles 26 0 0% −26.00
Sligo 26 3 11.5% −7.50
Naas 25 2 8% −7.50
Galway 24 4 16.7% +14.00
Clonmel 22 2 9.1% −12.00
Cork 22 0 0% −22.00
Leopardstown 21 1 4.8% −11.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 46 2 4.3% −20.50
Class 2 8 2 25% +24.00
Class 3 4 1 25% +19.00
Class 4 3 0 0% −3.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 39 10 25.6% 1.19 −3.30
2nd–3rd fav 89 10 11.2% 0.81 −29.50
4th–6th fav 160 16 10% 1.35 +6.50
7th+ in betting 373 10 2.7% 1.08 −100.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
78% completed · 651 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 183 72.1% 7 5 38 1 0
Hurdle 468 80.3% 17 9 63 0 3
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Malton Groove (IRE) 16 0 3 9 Nov 26
Digby (IRE) 15 2 3 17 Mar 26
Penny Jar (IRE) 12 1 3 16 Jul 26
Finnians Row (IRE) 12 2 5 17 Mar 26
My Policy (IRE) 11 0 3 24 Jul 26
Jerk (FR) 11 1 2 21 Feb 26
Papa Barns (IRE) 10 0 6 12 Jan 25
Hey Babbs (IRE) 9 0 1 5 Mar 26
Bocelli's Voice (IRE) 9 0 2 31 Dec 25
Katie's Casper (IRE) 8 0 0 30 Oct 26
Small Bucks (IRE) 8 2 3 14 Aug 26
Baltic Bird (GB) 8 1 2 31 Jul 26
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 305 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 3 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 12
Only 12 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
0108811741061743
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardDermot A McLoughlin
24% of all rides
5% SR · A/E 0.80
TrainerRWSR£1
Dermot A McLoughlin 161 8 5% −73.50
Gavin Cromwell 95 3 3.2% −76.75
E McNamara 40 6 15% −3.00
William Durkan 37 3 8.1% −4.30
Patrick Downey 33 2 6.1% −18.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2021→
46
Archived wins
2
Pattern / graded wins
£836k
Prize money
2025
Best season · 23 wins
French Dynamite (FR) — BOYLE Sports JT McNamara Munster National Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Limerick · Oct 2025 · Grade 3
£59,000
Air Of Entitlement (IRE) — Martin Pipe Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Cheltenham · Mar 2026 · Class 2
£38,580
Me Wee Bonnie Lass (IRE) — BOYLE Sports Mares Handicap Chase (Listed) Fairyhouse · Apr 2026 · Listed
£26,505
Notable horses
Digby (IRE) Finnians Row (IRE) Highstreetfashion (IRE) Small Bucks (IRE) Goodie Girl (IRE) Fr Gilligansvoyge (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Califet (FR) 3.7% · 1–27
Progeny have won 11.8% of 3,809 runs since 2008 (399 horses).
Court Cave (IRE) 9.5% · 2–21
Progeny have won 10.1% of 7,969 runs since 2008 (553 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.8% from 937.
Kalanisi (IRE) 9.5% · 2–21
Progeny have won 10.5% of 6,753 runs since 2008 (648 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 16.1% from 355.
Walk In The Park (IRE) 0% · 0–20
Progeny have won 13.4% of 7,087 runs since 2011 (711 horses).
Policy Maker (IRE) 0% · 0–19
Progeny have won 9% of 1,253 runs since 2010 (145 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 4.5% from 202. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 4.7% from 127.
Getaway (GER) 0% · 0–18
Progeny have won 11.3% of 11,030 runs since 2016 (1,034 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.1% from 134.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 12 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 661 · newest first

The latest 50 of 661 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 4 April 2021 to 12 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
12 Nov 26 Thurles (IRE) Slea Head (IRE)T: Peter Maher Two-Mile Borris Handicap Hurdle (Div II)16f · Good · 17 ran PU 100/1
12 Nov 26 Thurles (IRE) Jaadil (IRE)T: E McNamara Two-Mile Borris Handicap Hurdle (Div I)16f · Good · 16 ran UR 15/2
09 Nov 26 Punchestown (IRE) Gaelic Des Chastys (FR)T: E McNamara Matchbook Betting Exchange Handicap Hurdle20.5f · Good To Yielding · 22 ran 9th 11/1
09 Nov 26 Punchestown (IRE) Malton Groove (IRE)T: Dermot A McLoughlin Matchbook Betting Exchange Handicap Steeplechase24.5f · Good To Yielding · 12 ran 6th 16/1
08 Nov 26 Naas (IRE) Golden Handshake (GB)T: William Durkan Overlander Fishery Lane Novice Hurdle16f · Good To Yielding · 4 ran 3rd 14/1
07 Nov 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Maidenstreetprince (IRE)T: C Byrnes Noreside Catering Handicap Steeplechase16f · Good · 7 ran 6th 4/1
03 Nov 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Miss Bella Vista (IRE)T: Dermot A McLoughlin William Hill Challenge Series Handicap Hurdle (Div II)20f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran 6th 22/1
03 Nov 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Hit The Frame (GB)T: J P Flavin Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Steeplechase24.5f · Good To Yielding · 7 ran 5th 13/2
01 Nov 26 Cork (IRE) Weveallbeencaught (IRE)T: E McNamara Paddy Power Cork Grand National Handicap Steeplechase28f · Good To Yielding · 9 ran 6th 12/1
01 Nov 26 Cork (IRE) Buddy Holly (IRE)T: E McNamara Paddy Power 'I Still Call It Twitter' Handicap Hurdle20f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran PU 20/1
31 Oct 26 Down Royal (IRE) Hopes Are High (IRE)T: William Durkan Kildress Plumbing Handicap Hurdle17f · Good · 12 ran 7th 15/2
30 Oct 26 Down Royal (IRE) Katie's Casper (IRE)T: Dermot A McLoughlin Eventsec Handicap Hurdle24.5f · Good To Yielding · 20 ran 15th 25/1
25 Oct 26 Galway (IRE) Illtakehimmyself (IRE)T: E McNamara COLM QUINN BMW Handicap Steeplechase22.5f · Soft To Heavy · 9 ran 1st 7/2
21 Aug 26 Kilbeggan (IRE) Fr Gilligansvoyge (GB)T: John G Carr New Forest Estate & Golf Club Handicap Steeplechase26f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 1st 6/1
21 Aug 26 Kilbeggan (IRE) Cocovic (IRE)T: E McNamara Tom Lynam Memorial Handicap Hurdle19f · Good · 15 ran UR 9/1
20 Aug 26 Killarney (IRE) Gaelic Des Chastys (FR)T: E McNamara Brehon Hotel & Spa Handicap Steeplechase21f · Good · 11 ran UR 12/1
20 Aug 26 Killarney (IRE) Malton Groove (IRE)T: Dermot A McLoughlin Easyfix Equine Handicap Steeplechase23.5f · Good · 12 ran F 14/1
19 Aug 26 Sligo (IRE) Fremantle Doctor (IRE)T: John C McConnell Aidan Moffitt Memorial Handicap Hurdle17.5f · Good · 13 ran 2nd 100/30
14 Aug 26 Tramore (IRE) Small Bucks (IRE)T: P E Collins John Fairbrother Memorial Mares Handicap Hurdle16.5f · Good · 9 ran 1st 17/2
14 Aug 26 Tramore (IRE) Fr Gilligansvoyge (GB)T: John G Carr I.P.R.S. Handicap Steeplechase22f · Good · 13 ran 1st 14/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 25 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 2 runs (won 1) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 1 run (won 0) · to 9 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Patrick M O'Brien's strike rate?
Patrick M O'Brien has won 46 of 661 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 7% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Patrick M O'Brien do best at?
Downpatrick by strike rate: 5 wins from 38 rides (13.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Patrick M O'Brien ride most for?
Dermot A McLoughlin, with 161 rides since 2008 — 24% of the total. That pairing has won 8 (5%).
Is Patrick M O'Brien in form?
Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 12 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Patrick M O'Brien's Fair A/E?
1.10, from 661 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 12 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).