What is Ricky Doyle's strike rate?

Ricky Doyle has won 147 of 2,370 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 6.2% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Ricky Doyle do best at?

Wexford by strike rate: 17 wins from 116 rides (14.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Ricky Doyle ride most for?

Conor O'Dwyer, with 312 rides since 2008 — 13% of the total. That pairing has won 16 (5.1%).

Is Ricky Doyle in form?

Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 7 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Ricky Doyle's Fair A/E?

1.02, from 2,368 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Ricky Doyle

2,370 rides in the lifetime window · 1,006 individual horses

As at 14 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride 6 days ago 95% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2011→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

147–2,370

Wins / Runs

6.2%

Strike rate

n=2,370

476 (20%)

Placed

1.02

Fair A/E

n=2,368 · 0.82 incl. margin

−703.73

£1 level stake

n=2,369 at SP · −29.7%

£2.57m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 120 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 6% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.02). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 11% (163 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 2,370 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 14 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance 25% when favourite Conor O'Dwyer: 5.1% from 312 LTO winners: 11% Group/Graded: 9.3% Rides the favourite in 4% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Wexford (14.7%, n=116), clear of the rider's 6.2% baseline. It is weakest at Down Royal (0% over 74 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 11% (n=163, Fair A/E 0.94). In Group and Graded company the record are the standout value angle: 9.3% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.53 and +132.08 to a £1 stake over 107 rides — a record the market has persistently underpriced. The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 4% strike, Fair A/E 0.83 and −211.83 to a £1 stake over 594 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. Conor O'Dwyer supplies 13% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (5.1%, A/E 0.82). 10 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the BoyleSports Irish Grand National Chase at Fairyhouse (Apr 2021, £216,000). The standout partner of the record: Desertmore House (IRE) — 5 wins from 20 rides together.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.2% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

5.4%−0.8

n=1,006 · A/E 1.17 · £1 −220.44

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

11%+4.8

n=163 · A/E 0.94 · £1 −55.31

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

4%−2.2

n=594 · A/E 0.83 · £1 −211.83

When favourite

25%

n=84 · A/E 0.99 · £1 −24.14

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

5.7%−0.5

n=932 · A/E 0.93 · £1 −421.63

Big fields · 14+ runners

4.6%−1.6

n=1,372 · A/E 1.04 · £1 −536.87

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

9.3%+3.1

n=107 · A/E 1.53 · £1 +132.08

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Wexford 14.7% vs 6.2% · n=116

With Colin Bowe 14% vs 6.2% · n=50

With W McCreery 13.9% vs 6.2% · n=36

With Mark Fahey 11.9% vs 6.2% · n=118

At Down Royal 0% vs 6.2% · n=74

With Martin Brassil 11.5% vs 6.2% · n=148

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 1,737 104 6% −765.57

Chase 498 38 7.6% +166.46

Flat 122 5 4.1% −92.62

NH Flat 12 0 0% −12.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 861 52 6% −285.82

Good 704 39 5.5% −240.82

Heavy 412 25 6.1% −224.24

Good to Soft 342 28 8.2% +80.77

Good to Firm 30 3 10% −13.62

Standard (AW) 20 0 0% −20.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Punchestown 249 14 5.6% −71.70

Fairyhouse 185 10 5.4% +64.00

Cork 165 12 7.3% −77.75

Limerick 144 7 4.9% −84.25

Kilbeggan 127 8 6.3% −53.50

Wexford 116 17 14.7% +111.75

Navan 115 3 2.6% −93.00

Clonmel 112 12 10.7% −22.74

Downpatrick 99 7 7.1% −3.75

Thurles 93 10 10.8% −23.70

Naas 91 4 4.4% −63.37

Tramore 84 8 9.5% −27.00

Ballinrobe 82 3 3.7% −70.37

Gowran Park 82 7 8.5% −33.12

Down Royal 74 0 0% −74.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 112 10 8.9% +127.08

Class 2 8 0 0% −8.00

Class 4 4 1 25% +4.00

Class 3 3 0 0% −3.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 111 29 26.1% 1.12 −16.56

2nd–3rd fav 294 50 17% 1.19 −2.17

4th–6th fav 603 42 7% 1.02 −144.00

7th+ in betting 1,361 26 1.9% 0.76 −541.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

2m1f – 2m4f 895 50 5.6% −147.47

1m5f – 2m 731 39 5.3% −409.23

2m5f – 3m 542 43 7.9% −200.91

Over 3m 95 10 10.5% +130.50

1m2f – 1m4f 34 2 5.9% −21.00

1m – 1m1f 34 0 0% −34.00

6f – 7f 23 0 0% −23.00

Under 6f 15 3 20% +1.38

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2011 42 3 7.1% −25.62

2012 57 2 3.5% −44.00

2013 15 0 0% −15.00

2014 20 3 15% +10.00

2015 53 1 1.9% −45.00

2016 106 5 4.7% −68.00

2017 159 11 6.9% −53.37

2018 163 10 6.1% −54.25

2019 291 20 6.9% −86.89

2020 176 9 5.1% −121.88

2021 237 14 5.9% +56.33

2022 230 12 5.2% −73.50

2023 231 13 5.6% −131.36

2024 216 17 7.9% +108.38

2025 173 11 6.4% −71.00

2026 201 16 8% −88.57

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 1,212 80 6.6% −268.58

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

14-16 runners 754 36 4.8% −354.62

17+ runners 618 27 4.4% −182.25

11-13 runners 519 37 7.1% +11.76

8-10 runners 334 31 9.3% −123.30

5-7 runners 125 14 11.2% −44.82

2-4 runners 19 2 10.5% −10.50

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

83.4% completed · 2,235 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 498 77.3% 23 20 68 0 2

Hurdle 1,737 85.1% 37 16 191 4 10

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Sunrise Lady (IRE) 26 1 3 1 Apr 22

Don't Let Go (IRE) 21 2 7 19 Sep 20

Desertmore House (IRE) 20 5 8 30 Apr 26

Jon Ess (IRE) 19 2 9 25 Aug 21

Good World (IRE) 18 2 4 24 Apr 26

Grandero Bello (FR) 16 3 5 6 Dec 25

I'm Not Alone (IRE) 16 0 1 23 Nov 21

Ol Man Dingle (IRE) 15 5 7 29 Jul 26

Lough Nigara (IRE) 15 2 9 29 Mar 26

Freewheelin Dylan (IRE) 15 3 6 23 Aug 24

Franciscan Rock (IRE) 15 1 7 1 Aug 24

Wishmoor (IRE) 15 2 8 19 Dec 22

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 1,006 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 7 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 7

Only 7 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

4658510564876

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardConor O'Dwyer

13% of all rides
5.1% SR · A/E 0.82

TrainerRWSR£1

Conor O'Dwyer 312 16 5.1% −204.13

Eoin Griffin 159 14 8.8% −48.75

Martin Brassil 148 17 11.5% +17.13

Mark Fahey 118 14 11.9% +0.67

Gerard Keane 80 4 5% −5.50

M F Morris 66 3 4.5% −50.62

Colin Bowe 50 7 14% +24.50

Eamon Courtney 47 1 2.1% −32.00

Gearoid O'Loughlin 46 4 8.7% +121.83

John Joseph Murphy 45 1 2.2% −40.50

Dermot A McLoughlin 42 4 9.5% +142.00

P J Rothwell 38 2 5.3% −10.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2011→

147

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£2.57m

Prize money

2019

Best season · 20 wins

Freewheelin Dylan (IRE) — BoyleSports Irish Grand National Chase (Extended Handicap Chase) (Grade A) Fairyhouse · Apr 2021 · Grade A

£216,000

Desertmore House (IRE) — Guinness Kerry National Handicap Chase (grade 3) Listowel · Sep 2023 · Grade 3

£118,000

Gevrey (FR) — JT McNamara Ladbrokes Munster National Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Limerick · Oct 2023 · Grade 3

£59,000

Notable horses

Desertmore House (IRE) Ol Man Dingle (IRE) Well Set Up (IRE) Grandero Bello (FR) Freewheelin Dylan (IRE) Queeny (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Milan (GB) 10.3% · 7–68

Progeny have won 11.3% of 16,892 runs since 2008 (1,465 horses).

Yeats (IRE) 7.6% · 5–66

Progeny have won 11.9% of 9,857 runs since 2013 (709 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.9% from 204. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.2% from 820.

Scorpion (IRE) 6.5% · 4–62

Progeny have won 9.1% of 6,329 runs since 2011 (609 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 14.1% from 142.

Court Cave (IRE) 11.5% · 7–61

Progeny have won 10.1% of 7,970 runs since 2008 (553 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.8% from 937.

Shantou (USA) 3.5% · 2–57

Progeny have won 13.6% of 7,845 runs since 2008 (539 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 20.3% from 158.

Ask (GB) 4.7% · 2–43

Progeny have won 10.5% of 3,223 runs since 2014 (283 horses).

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 14 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,370 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,370 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 23 April 2011 to 8 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

08 Nov 26 Naas (IRE) Bartholomew (GB)T: Martin Brassil Overlander Fishery Lane Novice Hurdle16f · Good To Yielding · 4 ran 2nd 9/2

07 Nov 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Quinlan (IRE)T: Ross O'Sullivan PRL Group Maiden Hurdle16f · Good To Yielding · 12 ran UR 40/1

05 Nov 26 Clonmel (IRE) Old Kenmare (IRE)T: Eamon Courtney Prior Park Service Station Clonmel Handicap Steeplechase17f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran 10th 18/1

04 Nov 26 Wexford (IRE) Oaks Soldier (IRE)T: Eamon Courtney racingtv.com/freetrial Beginners Chase15.5f · Yielding · 9 ran 7th 33/1

03 Nov 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Ozark Daze (GB)T: Gearoid O'Loughlin Sign Up To GavinLynchRacing.com Maiden Hurdle16f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran 7th 125/1

01 Nov 26 Cork (IRE) Arion Soldier (IRE)T: Eamon Courtney Paddy Power 'I Still Call It Twitter' Handicap Hurdle20f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 7th 66/1

01 Nov 26 Cork (IRE) Alwaysgoinhome (IRE)T: Brian Francis Cawley Paddy Power From The Horse's Mouth Podcast Maiden Hurdle16f · Good To Yielding · 10 ran PU 200/1

31 Oct 26 Down Royal (IRE) Ringdufferin (IRE)T: A L T Moore Start Your Racing TV Free Trial Now Handicap Steeplechase24f · Good · 12 ran 5th 14/1

30 Oct 26 Down Royal (IRE) Brosna Queen (IRE)T: S G Carey Irish Stallion Farms EBF Feathard Lady Mares Novice Hurdle (Grade 3)Class 1 · 17f · Good To Yielding · 7 ran 5th 40/1

26 Oct 26 Galway (IRE) Stay Gold (IRE)T: C A Murphy W.b. Gavin & Co. Handicap Hurdle22f · Heavy · 12 ran 8th 12/1

25 Oct 26 Wexford (IRE) Jumbos Jet (IRE)T: W J Martin Download The Tote App Handicap Hurdle17f · Soft · 13 ran 4th 5/1

25 Oct 26 Wexford (IRE) Grey Balls Of Fire (IRE)T: C A Murphy William Hill Challenge Series Maiden Hurdle17f · Soft · 13 ran 5th 28/1

23 Oct 26 Sligo (IRE) Solar Generation (IRE)T: Martin Brassil Callan Tansey Handicap Hurdle (Div I)17.5f · Yielding · 12 ran 7th 15/2

23 Oct 26 Sligo (IRE) Idomything (IRE)T: Thomas Cleary Sligo Fillies Maiden Hurdle17.5f · Yielding · 13 ran PU 150/1

22 Oct 26 Clonmel (IRE) Kings Jet (IRE)T: C. W. J. Farrell William Hill Challenge Series Handicap Steeplechase21f · Good · 10 ran 1st 9/2

22 Oct 26 Clonmel (IRE) Ozark Daze (GB)T: Gearoid O'Loughlin Crottys Lake Maiden Hurdle17f · Good To Yielding · 12 ran 9th 100/1

17 Oct 26 Limerick (IRE) Rumble Demosa (IRE)T: Eoin Griffin #Thisisracing Maiden Hurdle19f · Good To Yielding · 18 ran 3rd 8/1

11 Oct 26 Cork (IRE) Chairmanforlife (FR)T: Mrs J. Harrington Co-Op Superstores 3-Y-O Maiden Hurdle15.5f · Good · 10 ran 5th 6/1

10 Oct 26 Hexham The Gloves Are Off (IRE)T: C. W. J. Farrell Clubs Of Northumberland Open National Hunt Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 6 ran 2nd 10/11F

08 Oct 26 Tramore (IRE) Sycamore Cove (IRE)T: Eamon Courtney www.tramoreraces.ie Maiden Hurdle16f · Yielding · 8 ran 8th 80/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Ricky Doyle's strike rate?: Ricky Doyle has won 147 of 2,370 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 6.2% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Ricky Doyle do best at?: Wexford by strike rate: 17 wins from 116 rides (14.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Ricky Doyle ride most for?: Conor O'Dwyer, with 312 rides since 2008 — 13% of the total. That pairing has won 16 (5.1%).
Is Ricky Doyle in form?: Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 7 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Ricky Doyle's Fair A/E?: 1.02, from 2,368 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.