What is Robbie Downey's strike rate?

Robbie Downey has won 130 of 1,514 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 8.6% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Robbie Downey do best at?

Down Royal by strike rate: 9 wins from 31 rides (29%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Robbie Downey ride most for?

Edward Lynam, with 238 rides since 2008 — 16% of the total. That pairing has won 30 (12.6%).

What is Robbie Downey's Fair A/E?

1.05, from 1,507 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Robbie Downey

1,514 rides in the lifetime window · 782 individual horses

As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride 32 days ago 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2013→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

130–1,514

Wins / Runs

8.6%

Strike rate

n=1,514

366 (24%)

Placed

1.05

Fair A/E

n=1,507 · 0.86 incl. margin

−391.48

£1 level stake

n=1,514 at SP · −25.9%

£1.42m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

12.8%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 80 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 9% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.05). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 19% (126 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,514 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 20 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Jan–Mar 29.1% when favourite Edward Lynam: 12.6% from 238 LTO winners: 19% Rides the favourite in 7% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Down Royal (29%, n=31), clear of the rider's 8.6% baseline. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 19% (n=126, Fair A/E 1.26), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 5% (n=662, Fair A/E 0.83). Edward Lynam supplies 16% of the rides and edges the rider's average (12.6% vs 8.6%, A/E 1.07) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also reads well at trips under 6f (16.9%, n=172). The standout partner of the record: Poitin (GB) — 6 wins from 27 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires Jan–Mar.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.6% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

7.2%−1.4

n=782 · A/E 1.07 · £1 −138.84

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

19%+10.4

n=126 · A/E 1.26 · £1 −15.38

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

5.8%−2.8

n=226 · A/E 1.00 · £1 −73.67

When favourite

29.1%

n=110 · A/E 1.13 · £1 −13.69

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

8.6%+0.0

n=847 · A/E 1.04 · £1 −206.20

Big fields · 14+ runners

5%−3.6

n=662 · A/E 0.83 · £1 −297.50

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−8.6

n=22 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −22.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Down Royal 29% vs 8.6% · n=31

On last-time-out winners 19% vs 8.6% · n=126

At trips under 6f 16.9% vs 8.6% · n=172

With first-time headgear 1.3% vs 8.6% · n=75

With debutants 2.7% vs 8.6% · n=112

With Edward Lynam 12.6% vs 8.6% · n=238

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 551 55 10% −87.48

Soft 273 17 6.2% −105.24

Good 261 18 6.9% −100.14

Good to Firm 254 31 12.2% −38.70

Good to Soft 104 6 5.8% −28.42

Heavy 70 3 4.3% −30.50

Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Dundalk 444 47 10.6% −95.28

Curragh 104 5 4.8% −38.50

Leopardstown 90 6 6.7% −26.75

Naas 69 4 5.8% −27.50

Navan 64 5 7.8% −28.50

Gowran Park 54 2 3.7% −39.50

Cork 44 3 6.8% −22.50

Tipperary 42 4 9.5% −19.62

Fairyhouse 41 2 4.9% −34.75

Wolverhampton (AW) 37 4 10.8% −7.70

Bellewstown 32 2 6.3% −17.50

Roscommon 31 4 12.9% +17.50

Down Royal 31 9 29% +62.98

Thirsk 28 2 7.1% +29.00

Kempton (AW) 23 3 13% −4.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 127 7 5.5% −63.83

Class 6 100 13 13% +0.68

Class 4 73 5 6.8% +14.53

Class 2 29 1 3.4% −25.00

Class 3 26 4 15.4% +13.43

Class 1 22 0 0% −22.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 142 39 27.5% 1.15 −15.86

2nd–3rd fav 240 39 16.3% 1.13 −20.62

4th–6th fav 416 31 7.5% 0.94 −132.00

7th+ in betting 716 21 2.9% 0.93 −223.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Poitin (GB) 27 6 11 15 Mar 19

Captain Power (IRE) 27 5 15 3 Oct 18

Poetic Choice (GB) 26 3 10 7 Oct 19

Sister Slew (IRE) 22 3 8 17 Jun 17

Doc Holliday (IRE) 18 3 8 28 Oct 15

Rose Angel (IRE) 17 3 10 18 Sep 16

Lady Mega (IRE) 16 5 8 4 Sep 16

Plough Boy (IRE) 11 3 4 28 Oct 16

The Dancing Lord (GB) 10 4 6 17 Feb 17

Asian Wing (IRE) 10 1 4 10 Feb 17

Solar Benny (IRE) 10 1 1 23 Dec 16

Venturous (IRE) 9 1 2 3 Oct 20

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 782 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 4 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

11141176981265149

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardEdward Lynam

16% of all rides
12.6% SR · A/E 1.07

TrainerRWSR£1

Edward Lynam 238 30 12.6% −41.39

Keith Henry Clarke 136 13 9.6% +18.46

David Barron 105 10 9.5% −27.92

John C McConnell 77 3 3.9% −37.00

Adrian McGuinness 54 7 13% +5.98

Garvan Donnelly 51 5 9.8% −15.75

David O'Meara 50 4 8% −25.33

Peter Casey 46 6 13% +1.00

Shane Nolan 41 3 7.3% −16.00

John James Feane 39 4 10.3% −12.09

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2013→

130

Archived wins

£1.42m

Prize money

2015

Best season · 25 wins

Shrill (GB) — Irish Stallion Farms E.B.F. Premier Nursery Handicap (Plus 10) Navan · Sep 2015

£26,000

Jeremys Joy (IRE) — Irish Stallion Farms Ebf Connacht Oaks Fillies Handicap Roscommon · Aug 2017

£18,450

Moviesta (USA) — Racing Post Handicap Dundalk (AW) · Jul 2017

£15,990

Notable horses

Poitin (GB) Captain Power (IRE) Lady Mega (IRE) The Dancing Lord (GB) Poetic Choice (GB) Sister Slew (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Kheleyf (USA) 16.4% · 9–55

Progeny have won 8.7% of 10,542 runs since 2008 (676 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 12.2% from 131. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.6% from 880.

Lawman (FR) 9.5% · 4–42

Progeny have won 8.9% of 9,418 runs since 2008 (730 horses).

Kodiac (GB) 14.6% · 6–41

Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,535 runs since 2008 (1,665 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 252.

Dandy Man (IRE) 11.4% · 4–35

Progeny have won 9.1% of 14,920 runs since 2008 (930 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 170.

Captain Rio (GB) 16.1% · 5–31

Progeny have won 9.5% of 6,912 runs since 2008 (423 horses).

Dark Angel (IRE) 16.7% · 5–30

Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,876 runs since 2008 (1,594 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,514 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,514 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 18 January 2013 to 18 September 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

18 Sep 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Yaajooz (IRE)T: Michael & David Easterby Pertemps Network Handicap StakesClass 5 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 6th 17/2

12 Sep 26 Chester Dublin Bay (IRE)T: Ollie Sangster Lee Martin 60th Birthday Celebration Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 4 · 7.5f · Soft · 9 ran 4th 17/2

06 Sep 26 York Bobby Bennu (IRE)T: Roger Varian Eboracum Security Handicap StakesClass 3 · 7f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 15th 9/1

05 Sep 26 Newcastle (AW) Yaajooz (IRE)T: Michael & David Easterby Free Tips On attheraces.com Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 5 · 7f · Standard · 8 ran 3rd 9/2

05 Sep 26 Newcastle (AW) Geometry (GB)T: Roger Varian Christmas Parties At Newcastle Racecourse Novice Stakes (gbb Race)Class 3 · 7f · Standard · 7 ran 3rd 11/8F

04 Sep 26 Kempton (AW) Starlight Time (GB)T: Roger Varian Try Unibet's New Smartview Racecards Handicap StakesClass 4 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 7 ran 7th 4/1

26 Aug 26 Newbury Kingdom Of Kush (IRE)T: Roger Varian Bricklayers Arms Newbury Ebf Maiden Stakes (Div II) (gbb Race)Class 4 · 6.5f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 2nd 85/40F

26 Aug 26 Newbury Golden Oasis (GB)T: Robert Edwards Pump Technology Nursery Handicap StakesClass 5 · 7f · Good To Firm · 14 ran UR 20/1

21 Aug 26 Ffos Las Kaleidoscope Eyes (IRE)T: Bernard Llewellyn Ascona Ladies Chic Fashion Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7.5f · Good · 7 ran 5th 5/1

21 Aug 26 Ffos Las Pull The Rug (IRE)T: Grace Harris Ascona Ladies Fuelled By Fashion Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Good · 6 ran 4th 13/2

19 Aug 26 Kempton (AW) Starlight Time (GB)T: Roger Varian Unibet 40,000+ Live Streamed Events Handicap Stakes (London Mile Series Qualifier) (Div II)Class 4 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 9 ran 1st 13/2

18 Aug 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Brazilian Blitz (GB)T: Ivan Furtado Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 11th 250/1

14 Aug 26 Newbury Sockdolager (IRE)T: Roger Varian TPT Fire Supports St Michaels Hospice EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 8f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 5th 6/1

11 Aug 26 Lingfield (AW) Distant Shore (GB)T: Roger Varian British Stallion Studs EBF Fillies' Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 10f · Standard · 9 ran 6th 9/4F

08 Aug 26 Newmarket (July) Watch Party (IRE)T: Roger Varian Tattersalls £40,000 EBF Newcomers' "Confined" Maiden Fillies' Stakes (For Horses Which Have Never Run) (GBB Race)Class 2 · 7f · Good To Firm · 6 ran 3rd 13/8F

04 Aug 26 Ffos Las Kaleidoscope Eyes (IRE)T: Bernard Llewellyn Ken Meredith Memorial Race Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 7.5f · Good · 8 ran 1st 3/1

31 Jul 26 Newmarket (July) Hayate (IRE)T: Roger Varian Zyn In-The-Moment EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 6f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 3rd 13/2

29 Jul 26 Sandown Come On Eibhlin (IRE)T: Dylan Cunha Spillers Fillies' Handicap StakesClass 5 · 10f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 9th 12/1

28 Jul 26 Ffos Las Summerson (GB)T: Roger Varian Christian Holland/Ken Howell Sports Betting Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 12f · Good · 4 ran 1st 11/10F

25 Jul 26 York Evening Blues (IRE)T: Stephen Hanlon Sky Bet Dash (Class 2 Heritage Handicap)Class 2 · 6f · Good To Firm · 21 ran 18th 10/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Robbie Downey's strike rate?: Robbie Downey has won 130 of 1,514 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 8.6% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Robbie Downey do best at?: Down Royal by strike rate: 9 wins from 31 rides (29%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Robbie Downey ride most for?: Edward Lynam, with 238 rides since 2008 — 16% of the total. That pairing has won 30 (12.6%).
What is Robbie Downey's Fair A/E?: 1.05, from 1,507 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.