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Trainer profile

F M Hanley

133 runners in the lifetime window · 27 individual horses
As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Jul 2017
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
6–133
Wins / Runs
4.5%
Strike rate
n=133
14 (11%)
Placed
0.98
Fair A/E
n=133 · 0.75 incl. margin
−84.00
£1 level stake
n=133 at SP · −63.2%
£78,175
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 10 runners a season, winning with 5% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.98).

Deterministic profile computed from 133 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 22 Oct 2026
The read

Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 0% (n=32, Fair A/E 0.00). The yard also read well in Hurdle races (10%, n=50) and off a 8-14-day break (9.7%, n=31). The stable star of the record was The Black Russian (IRE) — 5 wins from 36 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4.5% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−4.5
n=32 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −32.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−4.5
n=11 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −11.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−4.5
n=14 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −14.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−4.5
n=9 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −9.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−4.5
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
When favourite
50%
n=2 · A/E 2.89 · £1 +1.50
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
2.5%−2.0
n=80 · A/E 0.68 · £1 −51.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−4.5
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
In Hurdle races 10% vs 4.5% · n=50
Off a 8-14-day break 9.7% vs 4.5% · n=31
On Good going 8.6% vs 4.5% · n=35
Over 1m5f – 2m 7.8% vs 4.5% · n=51
With claiming riders up 2.5% vs 4.5% · n=80
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 50 5 10% −5.50
Chase 37 1 2.7% −32.50
Flat 25 0 0% −25.00
NH Flat 21 0 0% −21.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 35 3 8.6% −24.00
Soft 34 2 5.9% −17.00
Heavy 29 1 3.4% −8.00
Good to Firm 16 0 0% −16.00
Good to Soft 11 0 0% −11.00
Standard (AW) 6 0 0% −6.00
Firm 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Galway 21 0 0% −21.00
Ballinrobe 12 2 16.7% +0.50
Sligo 10 1 10% −1.00
Roscommon 10 0 0% −10.00
Kilbeggan 8 2 25% −1.50
Limerick 8 0 0% −8.00
Cork 6 0 0% −6.00
Tipperary 6 1 16.7% +15.00
Tramore 6 0 0% −6.00
Killarney 5 0 0% −5.00
Dundalk (AW) 5 0 0% −5.00
Fairyhouse 4 0 0% −4.00
Thurles 4 0 0% −4.00
Navan 3 0 0% −3.00
Naas 3 0 0% −3.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 4 0 0% −4.00
Class 5 2 0 0% −2.00
Class 4 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 2 1 50% 2.89 +1.50
2nd–3rd fav 10 2 20% 1.32 −2.50
4th–6th fav 25 2 8% 1.27 −8.00
7th+ in betting 96 1 1% 0.37 −75.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
75.9% completed · 87 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 37 70.3% 1 1 9 0 0
Hurdle 50 80% 1 0 8 1 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
The Black Russian (IRE)from David Marnane 36 5 9 25 Jul 17
Grange Poppy (IRE)from Peter Grayson 11 0 0 5 Dec 10
Lucas Eile (GB) 10 0 0 13 Sep 12
Lots Of Shots (IRE)from Martin Higgins 9 0 3 23 May 10
Genuine Easy (IRE)from Ms Joanna Morgan 9 1 1 14 Aug 09
One Shot Sheehan (IRE)from V T O'Brien 7 0 0 20 Jul 10
Manthatwasclose (IRE) 6 0 0 19 Jun 11
Nightsinwhitesatin (IRE)from P Delaney 5 0 0 1 Oct 10
Canyara (IRE) 5 0 0 17 Mar 10
Slaney Wood (IRE) 4 0 0 1 Aug 12
Moonshaft (USA)from G T Lynch 4 0 0 11 Aug 08
Shanlin (IRE)from V T O'Brien 3 0 0 30 Sep 08
All 27 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 27 horses listed, 11 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from V T O'Brien (2); 16 had their first archived run for this yard.

5 have since run for another yard; 22 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
00000031010600
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Robbie Geoghegan 24 0 0% −24.00
Stephen Gray 16 0 0% −16.00
A E Lynch 11 3 27.3% +5.50
T G M Ryan 8 0 0% −8.00
Tony Kelly 6 0 0% −6.00
Keagan Latham 5 0 0% −5.00
Ian McCarthy 3 0 0% −3.00
Davy Condon 3 0 0% −3.00
Rachael Blackmore 3 1 33.3% +5.00
M P Fahy 3 0 0% −3.00
Barry Geraghty 3 1 33.3% +0.50
Davy Russell 3 0 0% −3.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2006→
7
Archived wins
£88,868
Prize money
2014
Best season · 2 wins
This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Genuine Easy (IRE) — Woodlands Hotel Adare 25 Yrs Handicap Hurdle (81-123) Tipperary · Oct 2008
£13,671
The Black Russian (IRE) — John Mulhern Handicap Hurdle (81-123) Ballinrobe · Sep 2016
£13,530
The Black Russian (IRE) — Dunbia Handicap Hurdle (80-109) Kilbeggan · Aug 2013
£7,600
Notable horses
The Black Russian (IRE) Genuine Easy (IRE) Charliesella (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
One Cool Cat (USA) 13.9% · 5–36
Progeny have won 9.4% of 3,592 runs since 2008 (254 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13.4% from 605.
Anshan (GB) 8.3% · 1–12
Progeny have won 9.6% of 4,216 runs since 2008 (387 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 14.2% from 520.
Choisir (AUS) 0% · 0–11
Progeny have won 10.7% of 5,779 runs since 2008 (392 horses).
Fantastic Light (USA) 0% · 0–10
Progeny have won 9.9% of 3,570 runs since 2008 (223 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 5.8% from 377.
Presenting (GB) 0% · 0–10
Progeny have won 11% of 20,049 runs since 2008 (1,686 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 24.3% from 136.
Lord Americo (IRE) 0% · 0–7
Progeny have won 7.8% of 2,189 runs since 2008 (237 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 164 · newest first

The latest 50 of 164 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 15 November 2006 to 25 July 2017.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
25 Jul 17 Ballinrobe The Black Russian (IRE)J: A E Lynch Mcgrath Limestone Works Ltd. Handicap Hurdle22f · Good · 10 ran 8th 12/1
14 Jul 17 Cork The Black Russian (IRE)J: A E Lynch 20 Year Celebration Dowling Security Hurdle20f · Good · 6 ran 4th 33/1
31 Oct 16 Galway The Black Russian (IRE)J: Phillip Enright Ennis Lifts Handicap Chase22.5f · Yielding · 11 ran 3rd 11/1
11 Oct 16 Galway The Black Russian (IRE)J: Rachael Blackmore Guinness Handicap Chase18f · Good · 13 ran 6th 7/1
28 Sep 16 Sligo The Black Russian (IRE)J: Rachael Blackmore Joe Henry Memorial Handicap Chase17.5f · Heavy · 6 ran 3rd 11/4
20 Sep 16 Ballinrobe The Black Russian (IRE)J: Rachael Blackmore John Mulhern Handicap Hurdle (81-123)16f · Soft · 11 ran 1st 7/1
02 Sep 16 Kilbeggan The Black Russian (IRE)J: Stephen Gray Like Kilbeggan Races On Facebook Handicap Hurdle (80-109)16f · Good · 14 ran 2nd 8/1
06 Aug 16 Kilbeggan (IRE) The Black Russian (IRE)J: Stephen Gray Follow @KilbegganRaces On Twitter Handicap Chase20f · Good · 12 ran 5th 16/1
31 Jul 16 Galway The Black Russian (IRE)J: Stephen Gray Martinstown Opportunity Handicap Hurdle (81-116)16.5f · Good · 20 ran 5th 25/1
25 Jul 16 Galway The Black Russian (IRE)J: Stephen Gray Easyfix Handicap Hurdle (88-109)16.5f · Good · 19 ran 11th 50/1
15 Jul 16 Kilbeggan The Black Russian (IRE)J: Stephen Gray Best Dressed Lady Competition At Kilbeggan Races On 6th August Handicap Hurdle (80-123)16f · Yielding · 12 ran 9th 25/1
09 Sep 15 Galway The Black Russian (IRE)J: A E Lynch Guinness Handicap Chase18f · Good · 10 ran 10th 25/1
25 Aug 15 Ballinrobe The Black Russian (IRE)J: A E Lynch Treacy's Pharmacy Chase17f · Soft To Heavy · 7 ran F 25/1
12 May 15 Limerick The Black Russian (IRE)J: Davy Russell Like Limerick Racecourse On Facebook Handicap Chase17f · Yielding To Soft · 11 ran 9th 8/1
19 Oct 14 Cork The Black Russian (IRE)J: A E Lynch Cork Racecourse Kinsale Handicap Chase (grade B)16f · Yielding · 11 ran 8th 8/1
05 Oct 14 Tipperary The Black Russian (IRE)J: A E Lynch Like A Butterfly Novice Chase (Grade 3)20f · Good To Yielding · 7 ran 4th 8/1
29 Sep 14 Roscommon The Black Russian (IRE)J: A E Lynch At The Races E.B.F. Kilbegnet Novice Chase (grade 3)16f · Good · 6 ran 3rd 11/2
23 Sep 14 Ballinrobe The Black Russian (IRE)J: A E Lynch Follow Ballinrobe On Facebook Beginners Chase17.5f · Good · 7 ran 1st 7/2
10 Sep 14 Galway The Black Russian (IRE)J: Barry Geraghty Galway City & Salthill Publicans Handicap Hurdle16f · Good · 10 ran 8th 13/2
30 Jul 14 Galway The Black Russian (IRE)J: Barry Geraghty 40,000 Tote Jackpot Guarantee Handicap Hurdle (81-123)20.5f · Good · 20 ran 9th 10/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is F M Hanley's strike rate?
F M Hanley has won 6 of 133 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 4.5% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is F M Hanley's Fair A/E?
0.98, from 133 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 22 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).