Stephen Mooney
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rode around 60 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 2% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.31).
The market has consistently overbet first rides on a horse: 0.8% strike, Fair A/E 0.17 and −116.00 to a £1 stake over 127 rides — those runners underperformed what the price implied. Adrian McGuinness supplied 37% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (0.9%, A/E 0.23). The rider also read well off a 31-60-day break (5.4%, n=37). The market has consistently overbet the rider on Soft going: Fair A/E 0.00 across 55 rides (0% strike, −55.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied. Seasonally, the rider fired Jun–Jul.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 1.7% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 1.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstBy month
strike by month, lifetimeRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2017→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 291 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 291 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 1 December 2017 to 25 November 2021.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Stephen Mooney's strike rate?
- Stephen Mooney has won 5 of 291 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 1.7% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Stephen Mooney do best at?
- Dundalk (AW) by strike rate: 1 wins from 101 rides (1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Stephen Mooney ride most for?
- Adrian McGuinness, with 109 rides since 2008 — 37% of the total. That pairing has won 1 (0.9%).
- What is Stephen Mooney's Fair A/E?
- 0.31, from 289 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.