What is Tom Buckley's strike rate?

Tom Buckley has won 69 of 648 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 10.6% (as at 15 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Tom Buckley do best at?

Huntingdon by strike rate: 6 wins from 35 rides (17.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Tom Buckley ride most for?

Nigel Hawke, with 378 rides since 2008 — 58% of the total. That pairing has won 36 (9.5%).

What is Tom Buckley's Fair A/E?

1.02, from 647 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Tom Buckley

648 rides in the lifetime window · 261 individual horses

As at 15 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride 31 days ago 94% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2018→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

69–648

Wins / Runs

10.6%

Strike rate

n=648

189 (29%)

Placed

1.02

Fair A/E

n=647 · 0.87 incl. margin

−263.64

£1 level stake

n=648 at SP · −40.7%

£581k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 30 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 11% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.02). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 33% (69 rides). Rides mostly for Nigel Hawke — 58% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 648 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 15 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Mar–May 40.3% when favourite Nigel Hawke: 9.5% from 378 LTO winners: 33.3% Claiming: 11.8% Rides the favourite in 11% of races

The read

Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 33.3% (n=69, Fair A/E 1.34), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 5.6% (n=125, Fair A/E 0.85). The market has consistently overbet first rides on a horse: 6.1% strike, Fair A/E 0.76 and −121.50 to a £1 stake over 261 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. Nigel Hawke supplies 58% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (9.5%, A/E 0.96). The rider also reads well in Class 3 (24%, n=50). The record reads poorly in Flat races — 0% over 37 rides, 10.6pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider off a 61-180-day break: Fair A/E 0.20 across 66 rides (1.5% strike, −64.20 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. The standout partner of the record: The Imposter (FR) — 9 wins from 13 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires Mar–May.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10.6% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

6.1%−4.5

n=261 · A/E 0.76 · £1 −121.50

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

33.3%+22.7

n=69 · A/E 1.34 · £1 +9.11

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

5.7%−4.9

n=122 · A/E 0.78 · £1 −63.70

When favourite

40.3%

n=72 · A/E 1.31 · £1 +12.81

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

11.8%+1.2

n=550 · A/E 1.11 · £1 −178.64

Big fields · 14+ runners

5.6%−5.0

n=125 · A/E 0.85 · £1 −89.25

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−10.6

n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 33.3% vs 10.6% · n=69

In Class 3 24% vs 10.6% · n=50

With Charlie Longsdon 21.1% vs 10.6% · n=71

In Flat races 0% vs 10.6% · n=37

Off a 61-180-day break 1.5% vs 10.6% · n=66

With C&D winners 19.6% vs 10.6% · n=51

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 452 59 13.1% −128.44

Chase 120 9 7.5% −62.70

NH Flat 39 1 2.6% −35.50

Flat 37 0 0% −37.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 255 29 11.4% −117.30

Good to Soft 146 11 7.5% −105.25

Soft 139 21 15.1% +16.78

Heavy 54 6 11.1% −16.37

Good to Firm 34 2 5.9% −21.50

Standard (AW) 20 0 0% −20.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Taunton 53 3 5.7% −35.50

Newton Abbot 46 6 13% −22.20

Exeter 37 4 10.8% −14.75

Uttoxeter 36 4 11.1% −19.28

Huntingdon 35 6 17.1% +9.73

Chepstow 31 2 6.5% −17.75

Market Rasen 30 3 10% −14.75

Worcester 30 2 6.7% −15.00

Wincanton 25 1 4% −21.25

Ffos Las 23 2 8.7% −12.50

Plumpton 22 4 18.2% +4.12

Hereford 21 3 14.3% −8.00

Fontwell 19 4 21.1% −5.40

Ludlow 16 3 18.8% +10.75

Doncaster 14 2 14.3% −5.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 326 34 10.4% −149.97

Class 4 201 22 10.9% −54.10

Class 3 50 12 24% +6.43

Class 2 22 1 4.5% −17.00

Class 6 13 0 0% −13.00

Class 1 7 0 0% −7.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 81 33 40.7% 1.37 +18.68

2nd–3rd fav 135 19 14.1% 0.85 −39.32

4th–6th fav 182 16 8.8% 1.10 −8.00

7th+ in betting 250 1 0.4% 0.15 −235.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

83.4% completed · 572 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 120 76.7% 2 12 14 0 0

Hurdle 452 85.2% 12 14 38 2 1

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

The Boola Bee (IRE) 17 4 6 15 Mar 21

Inferno Sacree (FR) 14 4 5 11 Mar 25

Nachi Falls (GB) 14 0 1 25 Nov 21

The Imposter (FR) 13 9 11 21 Dec 24

Poker Master (IRE) 13 5 7 12 Nov 24

Ballymagroarty Boy (IRE) 12 1 9 11 Apr 23

Some Detail (IRE) 12 1 3 2 Dec 22

Wavecrest (IRE) 12 1 4 24 Jul 22

Lamh Ar Lamh (IRE) 12 2 5 30 Jul 20

Point N Shoot (IRE) 12 3 4 14 Nov 19

Bert Wilson (IRE) 10 2 3 11 Mar 24

Sindabella (FR) 10 0 3 6 Apr 23

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 261 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 3 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

861813138105104179

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardNigel Hawke

58% of all rides
9.5% SR · A/E 0.96

TrainerRWSR£1

Nigel Hawke 378 36 9.5% −163.40

Charlie Longsdon 71 15 21.1% +16.75

Paul Nicholls 35 6 17.1% −23.35

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2018→

Archived wins

£581k

Prize money

2022

Best season · 18 wins

Always Resolute (GB) — BetVictor Seniors' Handicap Hurdle Newbury · Mar 2021 · Class 3

£9,747

Storm Goddess (IRE) — Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle Kempton · Nov 2020 · Class 2

£9,509

Loose Chips (GB) — Sky Sports Racing Conditional Jockeys' Veterans' Handicap Chase Plumpton · Jan 2020 · Class 3

£8,058

Notable horses

The Imposter (FR) Poker Master (IRE) The Boola Bee (IRE) Inferno Sacree (FR) Breffniboy (FR) Point N Shoot (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Arcadio (GER) 17.4% · 4–23

Progeny have won 9.2% of 3,981 runs since 2011 (375 horses).

Saint Des Saints (FR) 27.3% · 6–22

Progeny have won 15% of 5,370 runs since 2008 (645 horses).

Getaway (GER) 4.8% · 1–21

Progeny have won 11.3% of 11,049 runs since 2016 (1,035 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.1% from 134.

Midnight Legend (GB) 20% · 4–20

Progeny have won 14.2% of 8,312 runs since 2008 (494 horses).

Milan (GB) 15% · 3–20

Progeny have won 11.3% of 16,893 runs since 2008 (1,465 horses).

Doyen (IRE) 5.9% · 1–17

Progeny have won 11.6% of 7,399 runs since 2009 (607 horses).

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 648 · newest first

The latest 50 of 648 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 26 March 2018 to 15 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

15 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Medadthebookie (GB)T: Edward Buckley Isuzu Ireland Handicap14f · Yielding To Soft · 21 ran 16th 80/1

21 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) Medadthebookie (GB)T: Edward Buckley Gerard Lynch Memorial Handicap14f · Yielding · 15 ran 6th 125/1

19 Sep 26 Navan (IRE) Kalico Leader (IRE)T: Edward Buckley Meath Farm Machinery Maiden Hurdle21f · Good · 15 ran F 40/1

26 Aug 26 Bellewstown (IRE) Alfinthesea (IRE)T: Edward Buckley Bet With Tote On Racing & Sports Maiden Hurdle20.5f · Good · 14 ran 10th 300/1

26 Aug 26 Bellewstown (IRE) Malbas (GB)T: Edward Buckley Tote Guarantee, Never Beaten By SP Claiming Hurdle20.5f · Good · 13 ran PU 40/1

14 Jul 26 Killarney (IRE) Medadthebookie (GB)T: Edward Buckley Hotel Killarney Maiden8f · Good · 7 ran 6th 125/1

12 Jul 26 Sligo Tellmemamema (IRE)T: Edward Buckley Kilcawley Construction Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 2)20f · Good · 15 ran 7th 14/1

12 Jul 26 Sligo (IRE) Las Brisas Boy (IRE)T: Edward Buckley Kilcawley Construction Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 1)20.5f · Good · 14 ran 2nd 10/1

30 Jun 26 Wexford Malbas (GB)T: Edward Buckley Support The Irish Injured Jockeys Fund Beginners Chase19.5f · Good · 14 ran 9th 125/1

20 Jun 26 Down Royal Medadthebookie (GB)T: Edward Buckley Event Co Marquees Maiden13f · Soft · 9 ran 6th 80/1

14 Jun 26 Downpatrick Allroadsleadtorome (GB)T: John C McConnell Randox Maiden Hurdle19f · Good · 14 ran 9th 80/1

30 May 26 Tramore Las Brisas Boy (IRE)T: Edward Buckley Get A Free Month Trial Of Racing TV Now racingtv.com/freetrial Handicap Hurdle (0-100)16f · Good · 15 ran 9th 8/1

24 May 26 Curragh Banner Beauty (IRE)T: Edward Buckley Velo Coffee Handicap8f · Good · 19 ran 10th 66/1

04 May 26 Down Royal Tellmemamema (IRE)T: Edward Buckley Club Lemon Handicap Hurdle (0-100)17.5f · Good · 20 ran 4th 80/1

16 Apr 26 Limerick Mudslide Molly (GB)T: Edward Buckley Big Boss Group Handicap Hurdle (0-100)16f · Soft To Heavy · 14 ran 11th 50/1

06 Apr 26 Cork Ranting And Raven (IRE)T: Gavin Cromwell Finbarr Quaid Electrical Handicap Hurdle (0-100)16f · Yielding · 20 ran 10th 33/1

05 Apr 26 Cork Thepoetslodge (IRE)T: Gavin Cromwell Dermot Casey Tree Care Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Yielding · 15 ran 12th 125/1

20 Mar 26 Dundalk (AW) Artsman (IRE)T: Edward Buckley Irish Stallion Farms EBF Median Auction Maiden7f · Standard · 14 ran 12th 100/1

17 Mar 26 Down Royal Fool Me Once (IRE)T: Gavin Cromwell Bluegrass Respire Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 2)20.5f · Yielding · 18 ran 14th 12/1

10 Feb 26 Limerick Mudslide Molly (GB)T: Edward Buckley Cheltenham Raceday Limerick On 12th March Handicap Hurdle (0-100)15.5f · Heavy · 12 ran 6th 125/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Tom Buckley's strike rate?: Tom Buckley has won 69 of 648 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 10.6% (as at 15 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Tom Buckley do best at?: Huntingdon by strike rate: 6 wins from 35 rides (17.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Tom Buckley ride most for?: Nigel Hawke, with 378 rides since 2008 — 58% of the total. That pairing has won 36 (9.5%).
What is Tom Buckley's Fair A/E?: 1.02, from 647 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.