4:05 Ripon
This Class 6 handicap division at Ripon over six furlongs on good ground brings together an ordinary field of eleven where the KTB Fit scores are tightly bunched between 54 and 41. Sole Spirit tops the KTB rankings and is the selection, though the likes of Jet Warrior, Run This Way, King's Road Dandy and Good Karma sit close behind on the numbers. Several runners are dropping in class while others return to a trip or surface that suits them on paper, yet the overall standard remains modest and the race looks open.
How the race shapes up
A strong pace is anticipated with at least two habitual front-runners present in Eldeyaar, Oh So Perfect and Golden Mabel all inclined to go forward. Triple P is likely to race prominently as well, ensuring an honest gallop that could leave the leaders vulnerable late on. This shape favours the hold-up performers, of which there are several including the selection Sole Spirit, Jet Warrior, Run This Way, King's Road Dandy, Good Karma, Big Apple Jack and Showtime Mahomes. The key question is whether any of the prominent runners can dictate matters and hold on, or if the race will collapse in the final furlong to suit those delivered from off the pace.
The KTB Fit ranking
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1Sole Spirit KTB Selection54/100
Sole Spirit is a modest performer who has won three times over this trip from six attempts and showed useful consistency last season. He drops in class here, which should help, though this is his first run at Ripon and he has only one previous start on good ground, leaving both the track and conditions as unknowns. The trainer holds an 8% strike rate at Ripon from 252 runs while the jockey operates at 12% from 605 rides. Usually held up and producing his effort late with high confidence, Sole Spirit is expected to be seen to best effect if the strong pace materialises as forecast. Recent form of 1161-7 underlines his ability to win at this level when things fall right.
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2Jet Warrior52/100
Jet Warrior is another modest performer who has already won over this trip and on good ground. He scored at this track on his only previous visit, which adds notable appeal, and the drop back from 7f looks a sensible move after two modest efforts. The trainer's modest record here of 6% strike rate from 32 runs is offset by the jockey's solid 14% strike rate from 339 rides at Ripon. Usually held up and producing his effort late with medium confidence, he should be suited by the anticipated strong pace. Recent form of 113400 shows he is capable on his day and his course success cannot be ignored.
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3Run This Way51/100
Run This Way is a limited horse who has been busy and remains competitive at this level, with recent form of 114336 showing a mix of wins and placed efforts. He has won twice from three runs at Ripon and has scored at this trip, though his record on good ground is only modest with two wins from 11 starts. The trainer has a solid 10% strike rate here from 454 runs while the jockey posts a 12% rate at the track from 317 rides. Usually held up and producing his effort late with high confidence, he will be well suited if the race falls apart late as the pace shape suggests. At the age of eight he knows his way around this level.
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4King's Road Dandy49/100
King's Road Dandy is a modest performer who has shown some ability at this trip, finishing placed on debut before three lesser efforts. He is dropping in class which could help, yet he is drawn wide in stall 11 and is yet to prove himself fully at this track. The trainer and jockey both have modest records here with strike rates of 11% and 10% respectively. Usually held up and producing his effort late with medium confidence, he should appreciate the strong pace on offer. At three he remains relatively unexposed and could improve for the drop in grade.
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5Good Karma44/100
Good Karma is a modest performer who arrives in solid nick with four placed efforts from his last six starts. He has shown ability at this trip without winning and handles good ground, though his record on it is modest overall with one win from 12 starts. The trainer has only a tiny sample at Ripon with a 0% strike rate from two runs while the jockey has a fair 10% strike-rate here from 20 rides. Usually held up and producing his effort late with medium confidence, he will hope the strong pace collapses in the closing stages. Recent form of 123433 confirms he is competitive at this level.
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6Big Apple Jack44/100
Big Apple Jack is a modest performer who has been in and out of form this year and showed his best side when winning at this trip earlier in the season. He has run respectably in both starts at Ripon without threatening to win and has been competitive on good ground without scoring. The Easterby stable posts a 10% strike-rate here while Tom Eaves is operating at just 5%.
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7Triple P44/100
Triple P is a modest performer who has shown steady progress in three starts, finishing placed on both attempts at this trip. He is dropping in class and remains open to some improvement as a lightly raced three-year-old. The yard has a modest record at Ripon and the jockey is operating below his usual level here too.
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8Oh So Perfect42/100
Oh So Perfect is a limited horse who has shown bits and pieces in a busy 13-run career, including two wins this year. He drops back to 6f today having been placed at the trip without winning, though the switch to good ground brings very little evidence to go on. The trainer holds a solid 11% record here from 81 runs while the jockey is operating at a modest 7%.
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9Golden Mabel42/100
Golden Mabel is a limited performer who has shown just one win from nine starts and looks vulnerable in this company. She drops back to an untried 6f today having last run over 7½f, which asks a fresh question. The trainer has a modest 4% strike rate at Ripon from 27 runs while the jockey is 12% from 94 rides here.
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10Showtime Mahomes41/100
Showtime Mahomes is a limited performer who has been on the go a long time and rarely wins. He has shown bits of form at Ripon without ever looking like taking a race, and the drop back to 6f is at least returning him to a trip where he has won three times. The trainer and jockey both have modest records at the track.
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11Eldeyaar41/100
Eldeyaar is a limited performer who has run 50 times in the last year yet still shows consistency at this level with recent form figures of 133852. He has won twice from five starts at Ripon and holds a solid record on good ground with two wins and four places from five runs. The yard's modest 6% strike rate at the track and the jockey's 2% record from 243 rides here are both negatives.
KTB verdict
Sole Spirit tops the KTB Fit scores and is taken as the selection. A modest performer with three wins over this trip from six attempts and useful consistency last season, he drops in class and his hold-up style with high confidence should be perfectly suited to the strong pace that is forecast. First time at Ripon and with only one run on good ground he does have unknowns to overcome, yet the combination of his ability at this level and the shape of the race make him the one to beat. Jet Warrior, with a previous course win, and the busy but competitive Run This Way head the dangers, while King's Road Dandy and Good Karma could improve for the drop in grade if the race develops as expected.
KTB Selection Sole Spirit
Morning odds
Best available price per runner, captured 00:10 UTC, 26 Sep. These are a morning snapshot and will have moved — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Morning price | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Sole Spirit | 11/1 | Bet365 |
| Jet Warrior | 12/1 | William Hill |
| Run This Way | 9/1 | Midnite |
| King's Road Dandy | 12/1 | William Hill |
| Good Karma | 4/1 | 7Bet |
| Big Apple Jack | 4/1 | Bet365 |
| Triple P | 17/2 | Bet365 |
| Oh So Perfect | 17/2 | Midnite |
| Golden Mabel | 16/1 | 7Bet |
| Showtime Mahomes | 8/1 | Bet365 |
| Eldeyaar | 10/1 | 7Bet |
This is the narrative read of the 4:05 Ripon. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Ripon racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Ripon results & records page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horses are likely to set the strong pace?
Eldeyaar, Oh So Perfect and Golden Mabel are all front-runners with high confidence, while Triple P is prominent with medium confidence.
How many runners are dropping in class?
Sole Spirit, King's Road Dandy, Good Karma and Triple P are all dropping in class.
Which horse has the best recent course record at Ripon?
Run This Way has won twice from three runs at Ripon, while Eldeyaar has won twice from five starts here.
Which jockey has the strongest strike rate at Ripon in this field?
Jason Hart has a 14% strike rate at Ripon from 339 rides on Jet Warrior.
How does the pace shape influence the hold-up horses?
A strong pace that could collapse late favours hold-up horses, of which there are several including the selection Sole Spirit.
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