A Wohler
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 20 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 16% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.33). Debutants are a strength: 18% on first career starts (153 runs).
It is weakest at Saint-Cloud (FR) (6.1% over 49 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 8% (n=112, Fair A/E 0.80). Debutants are the standout value angle: 18.3% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.61 and +99.25 to a £1 stake over 153 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Eduardo Pedroza rides 18% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (16.1%, A/E 1.21) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well on Soft going (25.3%, n=95) and off a 15-30-day break (23.9%, n=46). The record reads poorly off a 61-180-day break — 7.4% over 54 runners, 8.7pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard off a break of 180+ days: Fair A/E 0.72 across 58 runners (8.6% strike, −12.60 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. 20 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the King George VI And Queen Elizabeth Stakes at Ascot (Jul 2013, £603,962). Seasonally, the yard fires Aug–Oct.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 16.1% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 16.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 363 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 363 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 2 August 2005 to 5 July 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is A Wohler's strike rate?
- A Wohler has won 56 of 347 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 16.1% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does A Wohler do best at?
- Deauville (FR) by strike rate: 19 wins from 92 runners (20.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for A Wohler?
- Eduardo Pedroza, with 62 runners since 2008 — 18% of the total. That pairing has won 10 (16.1%).
- What is A Wohler's Fair A/E?
- 1.33, from 315 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.