Skip to content
Trainer profile

Adrian McAllister

64 runners in the lifetime window · 13 individual horses
As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Oct 2018
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2017→)
No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
5–64
Wins / Runs
7.8%
Strike rate
n=64
13 (20%)
Placed
1.59
Fair A/E
n=64 · 1.24 incl. margin
−11.50
£1 level stake
n=64 at SP · −18.0%
£49,555
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
6.9%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.8% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−7.8
n=10 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −10.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
11.1%+3.3
n=9 · A/E 3.04 · £1 +2.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−7.8
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−7.8
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−7.8
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
When favourite
0%
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
0%−7.8
n=19 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −19.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−7.8
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With a new jockey booking 0% vs 7.8% · n=31
In Flat races 11.6% vs 7.8% · n=43
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 43 5 11.6% +9.50
Chase 7 0 0% −7.00
Hurdle 7 0 0% −7.00
NH Flat 7 0 0% −7.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 15 2 13.3% +9.00
Standard (AW) 15 1 6.7% −8.50
Good 13 1 7.7% −2.00
Heavy 10 1 10% +1.00
Good to Firm 7 0 0% −7.00
Good to Soft 4 0 0% −4.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Dundalk (AW) 14 1 7.1% −7.50
Fairyhouse 8 1 12.5% +3.00
Down Royal 7 0 0% −7.00
Leopardstown 6 0 0% −6.00
Killarney 3 0 0% −3.00
Roscommon 3 1 33.3% +8.00
Gowran Park 3 1 33.3% +8.00
Curragh 3 0 0% −3.00
Galway 2 0 0% −2.00
Clonmel 2 0 0% −2.00
Navan 2 1 50% +11.00
Kilbeggan 2 0 0% −2.00
Downpatrick 1 0 0% −1.00
Cork 1 0 0% −1.00
Laytown (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 3 0 0% −3.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 2 0 0% 0.00 −2.00
2nd–3rd fav 7 1 14.3% 1.21 −0.50
4th–6th fav 13 3 23.1% 3.72 +22.00
7th+ in betting 42 1 2.4% 0.87 −31.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Bien Chase (IRE)from Lady Jane Gillespie 18 2 6 30 May 18
Elzaa (GB)from Lady Jane Gillespie · then Anthony McCann 10 0 1 14 Feb 18
Well Why Not (IRE)from Lady Jane Gillespie 9 2 2 4 Aug 18
Dasheen (GB)from Lady Jane Gillespie · then Karen Tutty 6 1 1 28 Oct 17
Willwams (IRE)from Richard Hannon · then R K Watson 4 0 0 9 Jun 18
Gerrys Gem (IRE)then Patrick J McKenna 3 0 0 13 Oct 18
Questionation (IRE)from S R B Crawford · then Paul Henderson 3 0 0 19 Apr 18
Keephimbachwilliam (IRE)from Lady Jane Gillespie 3 0 0 21 Jul 17
Go Forty Go (IRE)from Lady Jane Gillespie 3 0 2 18 Jul 17
Spud's Trouble (IRE)from Lorcan D'Arcy 2 0 1 4 Jun 18
Don'tbesillysally (IRE) 1 0 0 20 Oct 18
Accordingtojohnny (IRE) 1 0 0 25 May 18
All 13 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 13 horses listed, 9 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Lady Jane Gillespie (6); 4 had their first archived run for this yard.

5 have since run for another yard; 8 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
0002020011330000
Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
W J Lee 15 3 20% +13.50
Chris Hayes 11 2 18.2% +13.00
Adam Short 4 0 0% −4.00
Mr S Cavanagh 4 0 0% −4.00
Tom Madden 3 0 0% −3.00
Conor Maxwell 3 0 0% −3.00
Seamie Heffernan 3 0 0% −3.00
Mr M J O'Hare 2 0 0% −2.00
Leigh Roche 2 0 0% −2.00
Jody McGarvey 2 0 0% −2.00
Mr N McParlan 2 0 0% −2.00
Nathan Crosse 1 0 0% −1.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2017→
5
Archived wins
£49,555
Prize money
2017
Best season · 3 wins
Well Why Not (IRE) — Vincent Ward Memorial Handicap Navan · Apr 2018
£8,008
Well Why Not (IRE) — Roscommon Handicap Roscommon · May 2018
£7,392
Dasheen (GB) — Paulstown Handicap Gowran Park · May 2017
£6,776
Notable horses
Bien Chase (IRE) Well Why Not (IRE) Dasheen (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Bienamado (USA) 11.1% · 2–18
Progeny have won 7.8% of 523 runs since 2008 (51 horses).
Elzaam (AUS) 0% · 0–10
Progeny have won 9.2% of 4,520 runs since 2008 (373 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 4.6% from 324.
Frozen Power (IRE) 22.2% · 2–9
Progeny have won 8.4% of 1,887 runs since 2008 (132 horses).
Bahamian Bounty (GB) 16.7% · 1–6
Progeny have won 9.6% of 9,353 runs since 2008 (598 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 1% from 202.
Duke Of Marmalade (IRE) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 10.5% of 3,539 runs since 2008 (307 horses).
Bach (IRE) 0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 7.8% of 2,289 runs since 2008 (240 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 12.7% from 244.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 64 · newest first

The latest 50 of 64 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 23 May 2017 to 20 October 2018.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
20 Oct 18 Leopardstown Don'tbesillysally (IRE)J: Ben Coen Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden (Plus 10)8f · Good To Yielding · 20 ran 20th 100/1
13 Oct 18 Fairyhouse Gerrys Gem (IRE)J: Mr H D Dunne Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Flat Race16f · Good · 11 ran 10th 66/1
04 Aug 18 Galway Well Why Not (IRE)J: Chris Hayes Mcdonogh Capital Investments Handicap (50-80)12f · Yielding To Soft · 17 ran 17th 33/1
30 Jul 18 Galway Well Why Not (IRE)J: Chris Hayes Eventus Handicap (60-90)12.5f · Yielding · 15 ran 15th 16/1
23 Jun 18 Down Royal Well Why Not (IRE)J: Chris Hayes Magners Ulster Derby (Premier Handicap)12.5f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 6th 10/1
09 Jun 18 Curragh Willwams (IRE)J: W J Lee Treacy Group Supporting Newbridge Parish Handicap (45-70)6.5f · Good To Firm · 27 ran 26th 33/1
04 Jun 18 Listowel Spud's Trouble (IRE)J: Mr S Cavanagh Join The Listowel Races Supporters Club Hunters Chase24f · Good · 10 ran 6th 20/1
30 May 18 Gowran Park Bien Chase (IRE)J: W J Lee Helmet Day June 4th Handicap (45-70)7f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 11th 11/2F
25 May 18 Leopardstown Bien Chase (IRE)J: W J Lee Microsoft Ireland Handicap (50-70)8f · Good To Firm · 20 ran 5th 10/1
25 May 18 Down Royal Accordingtojohnny (IRE)J: Jody McGarvey Proparamedics Maiden Hurdle16f · Good · 18 ran 17th 66/1
18 May 18 Downpatrick Spud's Trouble (IRE)J: Mr S E O'Rourke King & Boyd Solicitors, Downpatrick Hunters Chase23.5f · Good · 9 ran 3rd 33/1
11 May 18 Curragh Willwams (IRE)J: Declan McDonogh Curragh 'Where Champions Are Made' Handicap8f · Heavy · 12 ran 10th 50/1
08 May 18 Roscommon Well Why Not (IRE)J: Chris Hayes Roscommon Handicap10f · Heavy · 8 ran 1st 10/1
07 May 18 Down Royal Gerrys Gem (IRE)J: Daire McConville Bet With The Tote Flat Race16f · Good · 14 ran 14th 66/1
06 May 18 Dundalk (AW) Bien Chase (IRE)J: Chris Hayes Sean Judge Memorial Handicap (45-70)8f · Standard · 14 ran 5th 22/1
22 Apr 18 Navan Well Why Not (IRE)J: Chris Hayes Vincent Ward Memorial Handicap10f · Yielding To Soft · 6 ran 1st 12/1
19 Apr 18 Fairyhouse Gerrys Gem (IRE)J: Mr S Cavanagh Irish Stallion Farms Ebf Mares Flat Race20f · Soft · 12 ran 12th 25/1
19 Apr 18 Fairyhouse Questionation (IRE)J: Mr M J O'Hare Irish Stallion Farms Ebf Mares Flat Race20f · Soft · 12 ran 10th 20/1
17 Apr 18 Fairyhouse Questionation (IRE)J: Mr N McParlan Lauro At Hayes Stud Irish Ebf Total Enjoyment Mares Flat Race (listed)16f · Soft · 11 ran 9th 66/1
16 Apr 18 Leopardstown Well Why Not (IRE)J: Chris Hayes Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden (Plus 10)10f · Heavy · 8 ran 6th 100/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Adrian McAllister's strike rate?
Adrian McAllister has won 5 of 64 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.8% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Adrian McAllister's Fair A/E?
1.59, from 64 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 22 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).