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Trainer profile

Alan Donoghue

112 runners in the lifetime window · 20 individual horses
As at 8 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 365 days ago 98% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2020→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
1–112
Wins / Runs
0.9%
Strike rate
n=112
13 (12%)
Placed
0.26
Fair A/E
n=112 · 0.20 incl. margin
−97.00
£1 level stake
n=112 at SP · −86.6%
£21,250
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 1% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.26).

Deterministic profile computed from 112 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 8 Nov 2026

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 0.9% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−0.9
n=28 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −28.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−0.9
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−0.9
n=17 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −17.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−0.9
n=8 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −8.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−0.9
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
When favourite
0%
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
0%−0.9
n=43 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −43.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 0.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With a new jockey booking 0% vs 0.9% · n=68 · A/E 0.00
On Soft going 0% vs 0.9% · n=54 · A/E 0.00
In Hurdle races 1% vs 0.9% · n=101 · A/E 0.27
This filter uses derived form angles computed for 2.4% of the archive so far (as at 8 Nov 2026); the sample will grow as sequencing completes.
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 101 1 1% −86.00
NH Flat 9 0 0% −9.00
Flat 2 0 0% −2.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 54 0 0% −54.00
Heavy 22 0 0% −22.00
Good 19 1 5.3% −4.00
Good to Soft 17 0 0% −17.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Punchestown 15 0 0% −15.00
Fairyhouse 14 0 0% −14.00
Navan 12 0 0% −12.00
Naas 11 0 0% −11.00
Clonmel 8 1 12.5% +7.00
Wexford 6 0 0% −6.00
Gowran Park 6 0 0% −6.00
Kilbeggan 5 0 0% −5.00
Tramore 5 0 0% −5.00
Tipperary 4 0 0% −4.00
Leopardstown 4 0 0% −4.00
Cork 4 0 0% −4.00
Sligo 4 0 0% −4.00
Thurles 3 0 0% −3.00
Limerick 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 3 0 0% 0.00 −3.00
2nd–3rd fav 9 0 0% 0.00 −9.00
4th–6th fav 13 1 7.7% 1.05 +2.00
7th+ in betting 87 0 0% 0.00 −87.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
90.1% completed · 101 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Hurdle 101 90.1% 0 2 8 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Rebelle Chaud (IRE) 23 0 5 8 Nov 25
Gaelic Des Chastys (FR)then E McNamara 19 0 3 15 Oct 23
We Will Rock You (FR) 9 0 0 9 Sep 24
Sky Tenor (GB) 8 1 1 13 May 21
Nanny Tess (IRE) 7 0 0 23 Sep 22
Ballykilmurray (IRE) 7 0 0 23 Nov 21
Tinas Glory (IRE) 6 0 0 9 Oct 20
Saddler's Cottage (GB) 5 0 1 18 Jan 21
Albedan (IRE) 4 0 0 20 Oct 22
Scarlet Leader (IRE) 4 0 0 9 Oct 20
Golden Symphony (IRE)from Ms M M Gannon · then Martin Paul Fitzgerald 3 0 1 3 Mar 22
High Path (FR) 3 0 0 27 Aug 21
All 20 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 20 horses listed, 3 arrived from another yard in our archive; 17 had their first archived run for this yard.

7 have since run for another yard, most often for John C McConnell (2); 13 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
0000200000000
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
J J Slevin 22 1 4.5% −7.00
L P Dempsey 13 0 0% −13.00
Jonathan Moore 8 0 0% −8.00
Sean O'Keeffe 7 0 0% −7.00
Liam McKenna 6 0 0% −6.00
Ian McCarthy 4 0 0% −4.00
Mike O'Connor 4 0 0% −4.00
Jordan Gainford 4 0 0% −4.00
Mr J Dunne 4 0 0% −4.00
Conor Orr 4 0 0% −4.00
Ryan Treacy 4 0 0% −4.00
Sean Flanagan 3 0 0% −3.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2020→
1
Archived wins
£21,250
Prize money
2021
Best season · 1 win
Sky Tenor (GB) — Sliabh Na mBan Handicap Hurdle (80-95) (Div 2) Clonmel · May 2021
£5,900
Notable horses
Sky Tenor (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Fame And Glory (GB) 0% · 0–30
Progeny have won 12.5% of 6,212 runs since 2016 (504 horses).
Tiger Groom (GB) 0% · 0–19
Progeny have won 10.4% of 682 runs since 2011 (82 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 13.8% from 123.
Great Pretender (IRE) 0% · 0–9
Progeny have won 13.1% of 3,556 runs since 2010 (410 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 16.5% from 728. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 6.6% from 152.
Geordieland (FR) 12.5% · 1–8
Progeny have won 11.9% of 717 runs since 2016 (71 horses).
Alkaadhem (GB) 0% · 0–7
Progeny have won 10% of 790 runs since 2010 (75 horses). Strongest on Good going: 13.7% from 307. Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 16.1% from 161.
Snow Sky (GB) 0% · 0–7
Progeny have won 11% of 420 runs since 2021 (54 horses). Strongest on Good going: 15.2% from 158. Weakest on Soft going: 6.9% from 130. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.7% from 183.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 8 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 112 · newest first

The latest 50 of 112 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 16 February 2020 to 8 November 2025.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
08 Nov 25 Gowran Park Rebelle Chaud (IRE)J: Shane O'Callaghan Pat Carroll's Pub Kilkenny Mares Handicap Hurdle (0-100)20f · Heavy · 19 ran 13th 9/1
04 Oct 25 Gowran Park Rebelle Chaud (IRE)J: Shane O'Callaghan Racing TV Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 2)20f · Yielding · 14 ran 3rd 13/2
20 Sep 25 Navan Rebelle Chaud (IRE)J: Shane O'Callaghan Balreask Bar, Restaurant & Guest Accommodation Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 1)19f · Yielding · 16 ran 10th 8/1
07 Jun 25 Punchestown Rebelle Chaud (IRE)J: Calum Hogan Ladbrokes 'Gaffer Of All Accas' Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 2)24f · Good To Yielding · 19 ran 11th 8/1
14 Apr 25 Tramore Rebelle Chaud (IRE)J: Sean O'Keeffe Anne Valley Walk Handicap Hurdle (0-100)21.5f · Yielding · 11 ran 7th 12/1
17 Jan 25 Cork Taktique Gagnante (FR)J: Mr O McGill Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares (Pro/Am) Flat Race16f · Yielding To Soft · 16 ran 3rd 80/1
16 Jan 25 Fairyhouse Rebelle Chaud (IRE)J: Sean O'Keeffe Fairyhouse Supporting Treo Eile Handicap Hurdle (0-100)20f · Soft · 15 ran 6th 8/1
21 Dec 24 Thurles Taktique Gagnante (FR)J: Mr T Walsh Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Flat Race16f · Good · 18 ran 8th 100/1
14 Dec 24 Fairyhouse Rebelle Chaud (IRE)J: Sean O'Keeffe Fairyhouse, Racecourse Of The Year 2024 Handicap Hurdle (80-102) (Div 1)20f · Yielding · 13 ran 3rd 12/1
09 Nov 24 Gowran Park Rebelle Chaud (IRE)J: Sean O'Keeffe Pat Carroll's Pub Kilkenny Mares Handicap Hurdle (80-95) (Div 2)20f · Yielding · 15 ran 2nd 66/1
09 Sep 24 Galway We Will Rock You (FR)J: Sean O'Keeffe Galway Handicap Hurdle (80-95) (Div 2)22.5f · Good To Yielding · 20 ran 13th 66/1
25 Jul 24 Wexford We Will Rock You (FR)J: Miss T Quail Neville Hotels Ladies Handicap Hurdle20.5f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 11th 40/1
17 Jun 24 Kilbeggan We Will Rock You (FR)J: Mr D Doyle www.kilbegganraces.com (Q.R.) Maiden Hurdle16f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 9th 13/2
25 Apr 24 Wexford We Will Rock You (FR)J: Jordan Gainford Wexford Mares Maiden Hurdle20.5f · Yielding · 14 ran 6th 200/1
16 Apr 24 Naas We Will Rock You (FR)J: Jordan Gainford Colm White Bookmakers Maiden Hurdle19.5f · Soft · 18 ran 13th 200/1
04 Apr 24 Naas Rebelle Chaud (IRE)J: Sean O'Keeffe Owners Insurance Included In AIRO Membership Handicap Hurdle (80-95)16f · Soft To Heavy · 25 ran PU 100/1
04 Apr 24 Naas We Will Rock You (FR)J: Sean O'Keeffe Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Maiden Hurdle16f · Soft To Heavy · 19 ran 12th 200/1
24 Jan 24 Fairyhouse We Will Rock You (FR)J: Conor Clarke HAY 'How Are Ya' Campaign Mares Maiden Hurdle20f · Heavy · 14 ran PU 250/1
15 Oct 23 Cork Gaelic Des Chastys (FR)J: Jordan Gainford Finbarr Galvin CUPRA Handicap Hurdle (80-95) (Div 2)19f · Yielding To Soft · 17 ran 6th 15/2
29 Sep 23 Gowran Park Gaelic Des Chastys (FR)J: Jordan Gainford Golf At Gowran Park Handicap Hurdle (80-95)16f · Soft To Heavy · 15 ran 5th 13/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Alan Donoghue's strike rate?
Alan Donoghue has won 1 of 112 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 0.9% (as at 8 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Alan Donoghue's Fair A/E?
0.26, from 112 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 8 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).