Skip to content
Trainer profile

Alex Fracas

769 runners in the lifetime window · 159 individual horses
As at 13 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 3 days ago 99% of runners on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
77–769
Wins / Runs
10%
Strike rate
n=769
194 (25%)
Placed
1.13
Fair A/E
n=704 · 0.97 incl. margin
+13.80
£1 level stake
n=712 at SP · +1.9%
£1.42m
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 40 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 10% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.13).

Deterministic profile computed from 769 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 13 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance 16% when favourite Williams Saraiva: 4.7% from 128 New recruits: 10.3% Sends off the favourite in 7% of races
The read

The record is strongest at Longchamp (FR) (19.7%, n=76), clear of the yard's 10% baseline. A horse in first-time headgear has been a poor signal at 3.8% (n=53, Fair A/E 0.69). Williams Saraiva rides 17% of the entries and sits below the yard's average (4.7% vs 10%, A/E 0.84). The yard also reads well on Heavy going (15.4%, n=52). The record reads poorly over 6f – 7f — 6.6% over 152 runners, 3.4pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record: Jack Junior (USA) — 5 wins from 20 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
9.2%−0.8
n=238 · A/E 1.08 · £1 −26.90
New recruits · first run for the yard
10.3%+0.3
n=68 · A/E 0.66 · £1 −41.00
Debutants · first career start
9.2%−0.8
n=87 · A/E 1.03 · £1 −12.80
First-time headgear · true-first definition
3.8%−6.2
n=53 · A/E 0.69 · £1 −36.40
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
11.8%+1.8
n=17 · A/E 2.24 · £1 +34.10
When favourite
16%
n=50 · A/E 0.80 · £1 −17.70
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
7.6%−2.4
n=92 · A/E 0.42 · £1 −58.40
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−10.0
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
At Longchamp (FR) 19.7% vs 10% · n=76
With Williams Saraiva 4.7% vs 10% · n=128
With first-time headgear 3.8% vs 10% · n=53
On Heavy going 15.4% vs 10% · n=52
With Sylvain Ruis 14.8% vs 10% · n=81
Over 6f – 7f 6.6% vs 10% · n=152
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 761 75 9.9% +9.00
Chase 4 1 25% +7.80
Hurdle 4 1 25% −3.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 388 29 7.5% −47.90
Good 139 17 12.2% +38.20
Soft 122 14 11.5% +22.80
Good to Soft 67 9 13.4% +2.60
Heavy 52 8 15.4% −1.90

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Deauville (FR) 306 23 7.5% −38.90
Chantilly (FR) 161 11 6.8% −53.40
Saint-Cloud (FR) 110 12 10.9% −11.20
Maisons-Laffitte (FR) 80 11 13.8% +45.30
Longchamp (FR) 76 15 19.7% +48.20
Clairefontaine (FR) 6 0 0% −6.00
Auteuil (FR) 6 2 33.3% +6.80
Compiegne 4 0 0% −3.00
Le Pin au Haras 3 1 33.3% —
Lisieux 2 0 0% —
Le Mans 2 0 0% −2.00
Saint-Malo 2 1 50% +10.00
Argentan (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00
Amiens (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00
Enghien (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 53 8 15.1% 0.76 −20.70
2nd–3rd fav 114 17 14.9% 1.08 +26.40
4th–6th fav 187 19 10.2% 1.26 +10.80
7th+ in betting 358 16 4.5% 1.34 −2.70
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Piccolo (GER)from C Von Der Recke 33 3 14 5 Jul 14
American Star (FR) 28 2 7 25 Sep 19
Auendon (GER)from Uwe Ostmann 28 2 8 15 Sep 15
Pentathlon (IRE)from C Von Der Recke 26 4 9 11 Sep 13
New Best (FR) 23 4 6 5 Jan 13
Jack Junior (USA)from David Nicholls 20 5 6 31 Jan 14
The Joe McArdle (GER)from Dalibor Torok 20 2 6 19 Sep 12
La Milva (FR) 18 4 7 23 Oct 18
La Giovanella (FR) 17 0 2 16 Jan 17
Willicat (FR) 16 0 4 4 Jan 18
Angelologie (FR)then J-L Dubord 15 1 3 16 May 16
Pan Di Stelle (FR)from C Lerner 15 2 3 2 Nov 15
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 159 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 4 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 29 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Ana Imaz Ceca (2) and C Von Der Recke (2); 31 had their first archived run for this yard.

15 have since run for another yard; 45 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 2
Only 2 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
70156151016816798
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderWilliams Saraiva
17% of all rides
4.7% SR · A/E 0.84
RiderRWSR£1
Williams Saraiva 128 6 4.7% −56.20
Karl Martin 83 9 10.8% +42.60
Sylvain Ruis 81 12 14.8% +51.30
Clement Lecoeuvre 31 2 6.5% −12.80
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
85
Archived wins
£1.53m
Prize money
2010
Best season · 15 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
La Milva (FR) — Prix le Parisien - Grand Handicap de la Rentree (Handicap) (4yo+) (Turf) Longchamp (FR) · Sep 2018
£30,973
The Joe McArdle (GER) — Grand Handicap De Maisons-Laffitte (Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf) Maisons-Laffitte (FR) · May 2010
£27,035
Il Cannone (FR) — Prix De Saint-Pair Du Mont (Handicap) (3yo) (Turf) Saint-Cloud (FR) · Sep 2011
£23,500
Notable horses
Jack Junior (USA) Ciboney Moon (FR) Pentathlon (IRE) New Best (FR) La Milva (FR) Piccolo (GER)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Mamool (IRE) 9.1% · 3–33
Progeny have won 12.5% of 606 runs since 2010 (61 horses). Strongest on Good going: 17.2% from 186. Weakest on Good to Soft going: 8.4% from 107. Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 17.6% from 165. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 8.6% from 139.
Linda's Lad (GB) 0% · 0–31
Progeny have won 8.2% of 1,323 runs since 2012 (186 horses). Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 11.6% from 215.
Doyen (IRE) 7.1% · 2–28
Progeny have won 11.6% of 7,391 runs since 2009 (607 horses).
Kendargent (FR) 7.1% · 2–28
Progeny have won 9.6% of 5,255 runs since 2011 (580 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.9% from 256.
Storming Home (GB) 15.4% · 4–26
Progeny have won 12.2% of 1,325 runs since 2008 (67 horses). Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 8.7% from 206.
Le Havre (IRE) 8.3% · 2–24
Progeny have won 12.4% of 5,892 runs since 2013 (750 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.5% from 296.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 13 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 802 · newest first

The latest 50 of 802 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 10 August 2005 to 10 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
10 Nov 26 Amiens (FR) La Marca (FR)J: Mael Grondin Prix Tony Clout (Prix du Petit Saint-Jean)11f · Very Soft · 9 ran 8th 33/1
07 Nov 26 Deauville (FR) Slalom (FR)J: Mme Frida Valle Skar Prix De Bricquebec-en-cotentin12.5f · Standard · 9 ran 8th 12/1
28 Oct 26 Le Mans (FR) La Marca (FR)J: Jerome Claudic Prix De La Sarthe9.5f · Heavy · 13 ran 13th 66/1
19 Sep 26 Senonnes-Pouance (FR) La Marca (FR)J: Julien Guillochon Prix Murphy Herbal (Prix De La Foret D'Araize)10.5f · Good · 9 ran 9th 50/1
29 Aug 26 Clairefontaine (FR) Slalom (FR)J: Mme Frida Valle Skar Prix de la Critique (Prix de Saint-Helier)11f · Heavy · 9 ran 7th 8/1
01 Sep 25 Chantilly (FR) Wrong Colour (FR)J: Eddy Hardouin Prix de l'Eglise Ruinee de Champlieu (Handicap) (3yo+) (Turf)5.5f · Soft · 16 ran 6th 76/10
10 Aug 25 Deauville (FR) Wrong Colour (FR)J: Eddy Hardouin Prix de Clarbec - Familia Menditeguy (Handicap) (4yo+) (Straight Course) (Turf)5.5f · Good · 16 ran 6th 20/1
13 Jun 25 Saint-Cloud (FR) Wrong Colour (FR)J: Jerome Claudic Prix des Etangs Saint-Quentin (Handicap) (4yo+) (Turf)6f · Good · 12 ran 7th 71/10
09 May 25 Saint-Cloud (FR) Wrong Colour (FR)J: Jerome Claudic Prix de l'Armorique (Handicap) (4yo+) (Turf)6f · Good · 15 ran 13th 57/1
14 Apr 25 Chantilly (FR) Wrong Colour (FR)J: Jerome Claudic Prix du Musee de l'Air et de l'Espace (Handicap) (4yo+) (Turf)6f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 12th 79/1
09 Apr 25 Argentan (FR) Gold Curtain (FR)J: Louis Nomis Prix Sica Boy (Handicap) (4yo+) (Turf)12.5f · Soft · 13 ran 12th 66/1
31 Jan 25 Deauville (FR) Anahera (FR)J: Jerome Claudic Prix de Balme (Maiden) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)7.5f · Standard · 13 ran 12th 70/1
16 Jan 25 Chantilly (FR) La Memoria (FR)J: Warren Levesque Prix Leon Flavien (Apprentice & Young Jockeys) (Claimer) (3yo) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)9.5f · Standard · 10 ran 7th 23/1
11 Jan 25 Chantilly (FR) Anahera (FR)J: Anthony Crastus Prix de la Route de la Vallee (Maiden) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)9.5f · Standard · 17 ran 17th 57/1
04 Jan 25 Deauville (FR) By Far (FR)J: Enzo Corallo Prix des Rouges Terres (Handicap) (4yo) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)9.5f · Standard · 13 ran 13th 21/1
27 Dec 24 Deauville (FR) La Memoria (FR)J: Cesar Belmont Prix Charles Bouillon (Claimer) (2yo) (Apprentice & Young Jockeys) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)9.5f · Standard · 11 ran 9th 21/1
20 Nov 24 Deauville (FR) By Far (FR)J: Guillaume Trolley De Prevaux Prix de Peronne (Conditions) (3yo) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)7.5f · Standard · 10 ran 5th 87/10
15 Nov 24 Saint-Cloud (FR) Il Patrono (FR)J: Cesar Belmont Prix de Juziers (Claimer) (4yo+) (Turf)12.5f · Heavy · 13 ran 13th 67/1
05 Sep 24 Longchamp (FR) Speed Of Motivator (IRE)J: Cesar Belmont Prix de l'Allee des Brouillards (Handicap) (4yo+) (Inner Course: 2nd Post) (Turf)12.5f · Very Soft · 16 ran 15th 43/1
15 Dec 23 Deauville (FR) La Madre (FR)J: Clement Guitraud Prix de Roiville (Maiden) (3yo) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)7.5f · Standard · 10 ran 9th 69/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Alex Fracas's strike rate?
Alex Fracas has won 77 of 769 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 10% (as at 13 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Alex Fracas do best at?
Longchamp (FR) by strike rate: 15 wins from 76 runners (19.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Alex Fracas?
Williams Saraiva, with 128 runners since 2008 — 17% of the total. That pairing has won 6 (4.7%).
Is Alex Fracas in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 2 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Alex Fracas's Fair A/E?
1.13, from 704 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 13 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).