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Trainer profile

Darren Collins

182 runners in the lifetime window · 23 individual horses
As at 7 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 4 days ago 100% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2023→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
8–182
Wins / Runs
4.4%
Strike rate
n=182
31 (17%)
Placed
0.98
Fair A/E
n=182 · 0.78 incl. margin
−55.00
£1 level stake
n=182 at SP · −30.2%
£101k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
2.7%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 4% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.98).

Deterministic profile computed from 182 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 7 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Claiming riders: 5.2%
The read

Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 0% (n=32, Fair A/E 0.00). The yard also reads well on Good to Soft going (10.8%, n=37) and off a 8-14-day break (8.1%, n=37). The record reads poorly on Good going — 1.4% over 71 runners, 3pts below the baseline.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4.4% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−4.4
n=32 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −32.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−4.4
n=12 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −12.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−4.4
n=11 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −11.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−4.4
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
When favourite
33.3%
n=3 · A/E 1.94 · £1 +2.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
5.2%+0.8
n=115 · A/E 1.13 · £1 −48.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−4.4
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On Good to Soft going 10.8% vs 4.4% · n=37
With horses switching code 0% vs 4.4% · n=34
With Philip Donovan 8.6% vs 4.4% · n=35
Off a 8-14-day break 8.1% vs 4.4% · n=37
On Good going 1.4% vs 4.4% · n=71
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 135 6 4.4% −33.50
Chase 41 2 4.9% −15.50
NH Flat 6 0 0% −6.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 71 1 1.4% −45.00
Soft 62 3 4.8% −18.50
Good to Soft 37 4 10.8% +20.50
Heavy 12 0 0% −12.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Ballinrobe 22 0 0% −22.00
Kilbeggan 18 1 5.6% −8.00
Limerick 18 0 0% −18.00
Sligo 17 1 5.9% −8.50
Cork 16 0 0% −16.00
Thurles 11 0 0% −11.00
Galway 10 0 0% −10.00
Fairyhouse 9 1 11.1% −1.50
Roscommon 9 1 11.1% +10.00
Tramore 8 1 12.5% +9.00
Punchestown 7 0 0% −7.00
Listowel 6 0 0% −6.00
Clonmel 6 0 0% −6.00
Wexford 5 1 20% +21.00
Naas 4 0 0% −4.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 4 1 25% 1.44 +1.00
2nd–3rd fav 11 0 0% 0.00 −11.00
4th–6th fav 38 2 5.3% 0.70 −22.00
7th+ in betting 129 5 3.9% 1.53 −23.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
89.2% completed · 176 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 41 87.8% 1 0 4 0 0
Hurdle 135 89.6% 0 0 14 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Sayitfirst (IRE)from Eoin Christopher McCarthy 38 3 13 30 Oct 26
Dontdooddson (FR)from Eoin Christopher McCarthy 33 1 8 22 Jul 26
Sea Road Fill (IRE)from E J O'Grady 17 0 3 5 Oct 25
Lost Features (IRE) 12 1 1 30 Oct 26
Ask Cillian (IRE) 12 1 2 29 Nov 24
Saynothinatall (IRE) 9 0 0 23 Aug 24
Celtic Crossing (IRE) 8 0 0 15 Jun 26
No Demand (IRE) 8 0 0 20 Nov 25
Leva Deva (IRE) 7 0 0 3 Nov 26
Pakens Rock (IRE)from Barry T Murphy · then Donncha Duggan 6 1 3 25 Jul 25
Island Mccoo (IRE)from Barry T Murphy · then Donncha Duggan 6 1 1 22 May 25
Lexenna (IRE) 4 0 0 11 Sep 26
All 23 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 23 horses listed, 12 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Eoin Christopher McCarthy (4) and Barry T Murphy (2); 11 had their first archived run for this yard.

5 have since run for another yard, most often for Donncha Duggan (2) and E McNamara (2); 18 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
1 from 3
Only 3 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
0·015005441300
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderJack G Gilligan
20% of all rides
2.7% SR · A/E 0.73
RiderRWSR£1
Jack G Gilligan 37 1 2.7% −32.00
Philip Donovan 35 3 8.6% +26.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2023→
8
Archived wins
£101k
Prize money
2025
Best season · 4 wins
Sayitfirst (IRE) — Eddie McAllister Memorial Novice Handicap Chase Sligo · Oct 2025
£11,800
Ask Cillian (IRE) — Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Hurdle (80-102) (Div 2) Killarney · Aug 2024
£7,375
Pakens Rock (IRE) — KilbegganRaces.com Handicap Hurdle Kilbeggan · Apr 2025
£6,785
Notable horses
Sayitfirst (IRE) Dontdooddson (FR) Lost Features (IRE) Ask Cillian (IRE) Pakens Rock (IRE) Island Mccoo (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Sageburg (IRE) 7.9% · 3–38
Progeny have won 10% of 3,488 runs since 2012 (416 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 13.4% from 389. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 2.7% from 295. Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 13.2% from 355.
Irish Wells (FR) 3% · 1–33
Progeny have won 9.3% of 886 runs since 2011 (124 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 12.3% from 122. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 5.6% from 108.
Mahler (GB) 0% · 0–17
Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,880 runs since 2014 (789 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.1% from 119.
Ask (GB) 8.3% · 1–12
Progeny have won 10.6% of 3,219 runs since 2014 (283 horses).
Elusive Pimpernel (USA) 8.3% · 1–12
Progeny have won 7.7% of 3,147 runs since 2015 (317 horses). Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 10.7% from 383.
Ribchester (IRE) 0% · 0–9
Progeny have won 9% of 2,774 runs since 2021 (261 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 15.1% from 119. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 14% from 215.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 7 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 182 · newest first

The latest 50 of 182 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 9 June 2023 to 3 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
03 Nov 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Leva Deva (IRE)J: Philip Donovan William Hill Challenge Series Handicap Hurdle (Div I)20f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran 8th 100/1
30 Oct 26 Down Royal (IRE) Sayitfirst (IRE)J: Tom Kelly Metcollect Handicap Steeplechase16.5f · Good To Yielding · 9 ran 9th 22/1
30 Oct 26 Down Royal (IRE) Lost Features (IRE)J: Philip Donovan Eventsec Handicap Hurdle24.5f · Good To Yielding · 20 ran 1st 33/1
22 Oct 26 Clonmel (IRE) Sayitfirst (IRE)J: Tom Kelly Suir Blueway Mares Steeplechase18.5f · Good · 5 ran 5th 40/1
17 Oct 26 Limerick (IRE) Middlethird Marvel (GB)J: Philip Byrnes Greenpark Limerick Handicap Hurdle (Div II)21.5f · Good To Yielding · 18 ran PU 150/1
17 Oct 26 Limerick (IRE) Leva Deva (IRE)J: Philip Donovan Greenpark Limerick Handicap Hurdle (Div I)21.5f · Good To Yielding · 16 ran PU 80/1
08 Oct 26 Tramore (IRE) Sayitfirst (IRE)J: Danny Gilligan Pickardstown Handicap Steeplechase15.5f · Yielding · 6 ran 3rd 12/1
08 Oct 26 Tramore (IRE) Lost Features (IRE)J: Sean Cleary-Farrell Tramore Racecourse On Instagram Handicap Hurdle20.5f · Yielding · 7 ran 3rd 10/1
04 Oct 26 Killarney (IRE) No Mon No Fun (IRE)J: Carl Millar Charlie Foley's Rated Novice Hurdle17f · Good To Yielding · 7 ran 6th 28/1
24 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) Sayitfirst (IRE)J: Mr E M Nugent Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Hurdle16f · Good · 13 ran 8th 33/1
11 Sep 26 Ballinrobe (IRE) Sayitfirst (IRE)J: Michael Kenneally Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Steeplechase17f · Yielding · 16 ran 10th 11/1
11 Sep 26 Ballinrobe (IRE) Lexenna (IRE)J: Philip Donovan Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Maiden Hurdle18f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran 15th 250/1
07 Sep 26 Galway (IRE) Middlethird Marvel (GB)J: Philip Donovan Kenny Developments Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Yielding · 20 ran 19th 250/1
07 Sep 26 Galway (IRE) Leva Deva (IRE)J: Shane Fitzgerald Kenny Developments Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Yielding · 20 ran 16th 250/1
24 Aug 26 Ballinrobe (IRE) Leva Deva (IRE)J: Calum Hogan Adare Manor Opportunity Maiden Hurdle18.5f · Good · 15 ran 9th 300/1
10 Aug 26 Ballinrobe (IRE) Lost Features (IRE)J: G B Noonan Tim Kelly Group Handicap Hurdle22.5f · Good · 16 ran 15th 22/1
10 Aug 26 Ballinrobe (IRE) Sayitfirst (IRE)J: Danny Gilligan Broderick's Electric Handicap Hurdle16.5f · Good · 15 ran 8th 22/1
10 Aug 26 Ballinrobe (IRE) Leva Deva (IRE)J: Phillip Enright Bank Of Ireland Brendan Maloney Memorial Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Good · 15 ran 10th 250/1
10 Aug 26 Ballinrobe (IRE) Lexenna (IRE)J: J J Slevin Bank Of Ireland Brendan Maloney Memorial Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Good · 15 ran 6th 250/1
22 Jul 26 Wexford (IRE) Dontdooddson (FR)J: Philip Donovan Support The Irish Injured Jockeys Handicap Steeplechase15.5f · Good · 13 ran PU 20/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Darren Collins's strike rate?
Darren Collins has won 8 of 182 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 4.4% (as at 7 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Is Darren Collins in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 3 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Darren Collins's Fair A/E?
0.98, from 182 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 7 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).