E Libaud
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 90 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 11% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.95). In Group and Graded company the record reads 17% (116 runs).
In Group and Graded company the record reads well at 17.2% (n=116, Fair A/E 1.41), but runners with a claiming rider up have been a poor signal at 5.3% (n=132, Fair A/E 0.61). The market has consistently overbet a horse in first-time headgear: 8% strike, Fair A/E 0.80 and −35.50 to a £1 stake over 150 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Maxime Guyon rides 14% of the entries and beats the yard's average (16.1% vs 10.7%, A/E 1.26) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well over 1m5f – 2m (20%, n=130) and in Class 1 (17.1%, n=117). 23 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Prix du Jockey Club at Chantilly (FR) (Jun 2008, £630,221). The stable star of the record: Fly With Me (FR) — 9 wins from 27 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Feb–Apr.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 10.7% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
SteadyWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 1,821 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 1,821 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 10 April 2005 to 20 October 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is E Libaud's strike rate?
- E Libaud has won 184 of 1,717 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 10.7% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does E Libaud do best at?
- Chantilly (AW) by strike rate: 49 wins from 393 runners (12.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for E Libaud?
- Maxime Guyon, with 242 runners since 2008 — 14% of the total. That pairing has won 39 (16.1%).
- Is E Libaud in form?
- In the last 14 days: 15 runners, 2 winners, a strike rate of 13.3%. That is in line with the baseline of 10.7% since 2008.
- What is E Libaud's Fair A/E?
- 0.95, from 1,569 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.