Gearoid O'Loughlin
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 10 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 7% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.15). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 9% off breaks of two months or more (59 runs).
The yard also reads well on Good to Soft going (13.9%, n=36) and in Chase races (11.1%, n=72). The market has also underrated the yard over 2m1f – 2m4f: Fair A/E 1.60 across 74 runners (9.5% strike, +115.60 to a £1 stake). The record reads poorly off a break of 180+ days — 3.2% over 31 runners, 3.8pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard on Soft going: Fair A/E 0.81 across 67 runners (4.5% strike, −28.50 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. 2 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Randox Ulster National Handicap Chase at Downpatrick (Mar 2020, £29,500).
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 7% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as headerHorses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2018→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 214 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 214 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 10 July 2018 to 3 November 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Gearoid O'Loughlin's strike rate?
- Gearoid O'Loughlin has won 15 of 214 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7% (as at 13 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Is Gearoid O'Loughlin in form?
- Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 2 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is Gearoid O'Loughlin's Fair A/E?
- 1.15, from 214 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.