What is Hiroo Shimizu's strike rate?

Hiroo Shimizu has won 40 of 396 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 10.1% (as at 13 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Hiroo Shimizu do best at?

Saint-Cloud by strike rate: 9 wins from 77 runners (11.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Hiroo Shimizu?

Stephane Pasquier, with 59 runners since 2008 — 15% of the total. That pairing has won 8 (13.6%).

Is Hiroo Shimizu in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 5 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Hiroo Shimizu's Fair A/E?

1.28, from 395 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Hiroo Shimizu

396 runners in the lifetime window · 78 individual horses

As at 13 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 7 days ago 99% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2018→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

40–396

Wins / Runs

10.1%

Strike rate

n=396

105 (27%)

Placed

1.28

Fair A/E

n=395 · 1.09 incl. margin

+145.28

£1 level stake

n=396 at SP · +36.7%

£989k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

8.1%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 20 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 10% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.28). With a claiming rider up the record reads 15% (40 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 396 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 13 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Stephane Pasquier: 13.6% from 59 Claiming riders: 15%

The read

Runners with a claiming rider up have been a positive signal at 15% (n=40, Fair A/E 2.35), but in Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 1.4% (n=72, Fair A/E 0.25). Stephane Pasquier rides 15% of the entries and edges the yard's average (13.6% vs 10.1%, A/E 1.24) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well off a 15-30-day break (15.2%, n=92). The record reads poorly in Class 1 — 1.4% over 74 runners, 8.7pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard on Soft going: Fair A/E 0.56 across 75 runners (4% strike, −63.67 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Prix de Lutece at Longchamp (FR) (Sep 2021, £35,714).

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10.1% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

7.9%−2.2

n=152 · A/E 1.04 · £1 +32.30

New recruits · first run for the yard

13.6%+3.5

n=22 · A/E 2.18 · £1 +30.80

Debutants · first career start

7.1%−3.0

n=56 · A/E 1.13 · £1 −8.10

First-time headgear · true-first definition

5.3%−4.8

n=38 · A/E 0.98 · £1 −12.50

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

0%−10.1

n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00

When favourite

37.5%

n=24 · A/E 1.30 · £1 +1.33

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

15%+4.9

n=40 · A/E 2.35 · £1 +51.10

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

1.4%−8.7

n=72 · A/E 0.25 · £1 −61.60

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

In Class 1 1.4% vs 10.1% · n=74

In Group / Graded races 1.4% vs 10.1% · n=72

On Soft going 4% vs 10.1% · n=75

Off a 15-30-day break 15.2% vs 10.1% · n=92

With claiming riders up 15% vs 10.1% · n=40

With Simon Planque 15.2% vs 10.1% · n=33

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 392 40 10.2% +149.28

Hurdle 4 0 0% −4.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 148 20 13.5% +64.10

Good to Soft 80 8 10% +106.55

Soft 75 3 4% −63.67

Good 51 5 9.8% +42.30

Heavy 41 4 9.8% −3.00

Good to Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Chantilly (FR) 116 13 11.2% +28.20

Deauville (FR) 100 11 11% +5.60

Saint-Cloud 77 9 11.7% +35.80

Longchamp (FR) 57 4 7% +93.70

Maisons-Laffitte (FR) 9 0 0% −9.00

Compiegne (FR) 7 0 0% −7.00

Fontainebleau (FR) 7 0 0% −7.00

Vichy (FR) 4 0 0% −4.00

Clairefontaine (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00

Toulouse (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00

Le Lion-D'Angers (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

La Teste De Buch (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Craon (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Nantes (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Le Croise-Laroche (FR) 1 1 100% +2.25

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 74 1 1.4% −63.60

Class 3 8 0 0% −8.00

Class 2 3 0 0% −3.00

Class 4 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 25 9 36% 1.27 +0.33

2nd–3rd fav 61 8 13.1% 0.75 −4.85

4th–6th fav 108 12 11.1% 1.60 +13.00

7th+ in betting 202 11 5.4% 1.72 +136.80

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Brave Shiina (FR)then Mme Y Vollmer 19 2 4 19 Oct 21

La Yomoguiness (IRE) 17 1 4 29 Mar 25

Gunma (FR) 13 2 8 8 Mar 22

Sakura Zensen (FR) 12 2 4 26 Nov 19

Midlife Crisis (FR) 11 2 4 10 Dec 22

Yomogi (FR) 11 0 3 9 Aug 20

Pen And Sword (GB) 10 0 1 6 Nov 26

Marcan (FR)from J E Hammond · then J-P Gauvin 10 4 4 4 Mar 22

Baira (FR)then Caroline Auvray 10 0 1 22 Jul 21

Takachiho (IRE) 9 1 2 16 Aug 22

Vesinaba (FR)from D & P Prod'Homme · then Edouard Monfort 9 2 4 16 Nov 21

Makzeem (GB)from Roger Charlton 9 1 1 12 Sep 21

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 78 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 2 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 14 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from J E Hammond (2); 46 had their first archived run for this yard.

21 have since run for another yard, most often for Edouard Monfort (2); 39 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

1 from 5

Only 5 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

25121410631015841411

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderStephane Pasquier

15% of all rides
13.6% SR · A/E 1.24

RiderRWSR£1

Stephane Pasquier 59 8 13.6% +31.10

Cristian Demuro 38 2 5.3% −24.20

Simon Planque 33 5 15.2% −10.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2018→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£989k

Prize money

2020

Best season · 10 wins

Esope (FR) — Prix de Lutece (3yo) (Grande Course) (Turf) Longchamp (FR) · Sep 2021 · Group 3

£35,714

Sakura Zensen (FR) — Prix de Beaumesnil (Handicap) (3yo) (Turf) Saint-Cloud (FR) · May 2019

£24,775

Midlife Crisis (FR) — Prix des Dormants (Conditions) (2yo) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack) Chantilly (FR) · Nov 2020

£12,881

Notable horses

Marcan (FR) Brave Shiina (FR) Gunma (FR) Sakura Zensen (FR) Midlife Crisis (FR) Vesinaba (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Planteur (IRE) 7.4% · 2–27

Progeny have won 8.4% of 1,539 runs since 2017 (165 horses).

Bated Breath (GB) 10.5% · 2–19

Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,181 runs since 2016 (670 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 7.6% from 857.

Excelebration (IRE) 11.1% · 2–18

Progeny have won 9% of 3,606 runs since 2016 (244 horses).

Siyouni (FR) 5.6% · 1–18

Progeny have won 13% of 8,375 runs since 2014 (980 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 9.3% from 460.

Fascinating Rock (IRE) 5.9% · 1–17

Progeny have won 9.4% of 1,123 runs since 2020 (101 horses).

Makfi (GB) 6.7% · 1–15

Progeny have won 11.3% of 3,831 runs since 2014 (358 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 13 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 396 · newest first

The latest 50 of 396 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 23 February 2018 to 6 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

06 Nov 26 Deauville (FR) Pen And Sword (GB)J: Ioritz Mendizabal Prix De Voltaire6.5f · Standard · 11 ran 4th 20/1

04 Nov 26 Le Croise-Laroche (FR) La Bobride (FR)J: Eddy Hardouin Prix D'hem16f · Good To Soft · 5 ran 1st 9/4

02 Nov 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Flower Celebration (FR)J: Eddy Hardouin Prix CeresClass 1 · 7f · Soft · 12 ran 9th 18/1

31 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Rencontre Sportive (FR)J: Jacky Nicoleau Prix Irish RiverClass 1 · 7f · Standard · 13 ran 8th 33/1

29 Oct 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Yokozuna (FR)J: Kevin Nabet Prix Comte Antoine De Gontaut-bironClass 4 · 17.5f · Soft · 16 ran PU 2/1F

25 Oct 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Wasabi (FR)J: Alexis Pouchin Prix des HarasClass 3 · 12.5f · Soft · 14 ran 2nd 15/2

12 Oct 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Yokozuna (FR)J: Felix De Giles Prix Richard D'ayguevivesClass 30 · 17.5f · Heavy · 11 ran 2nd 4/1

11 Oct 26 Nancy (FR) Starlit Destiny (IRE)J: Tony Piccone Prix Henri Dory10f · Soft · 15 ran 1st 8/11F

02 Oct 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Wasabi (FR)J: Alexis Pouchin Prix Du Vert ClosClass 3 · 12.5f · Heavy · 16 ran 5th 7/1

23 Sep 26 Chantilly (FR) Pen And Sword (GB)J: C. Soumillon Prix Du Cabinet Des Gemmes6f · Good · 8 ran 3rd 5/1

20 Sep 26 Strasbourg (FR) Starlit Destiny (IRE)J: Jacky Nicoleau Prix Recco Expertise Comptable (Prix Du Maire Chretien Glass)10f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 3rd 7/2

15 Sep 26 Compiegne (FR) La Bobride (FR)J: Jerome Moutard Prix Des Bords De L'aronde14f · Soft · 10 ran 9th 9/1

05 Sep 26 La Teste De Buch (FR) Pen And Sword (GB)J: Ioritz Mendizabal Prix Compagnie Fiduciaire (px L'ecurie De Territoire La Teste)Class 2 · 7f · Good · 11 ran 4th 33/1

11 Aug 26 Deauville (FR) La Bobride (FR)J: Jacky Nicoleau Prix d'AuvillarsClass 3 · 12.5f · Standard · 14 ran 8th 20/1

06 Aug 26 Deauville (FR) Pen And Sword (GB)J: Jacky Nicoleau Prix De La Villa Monet6.5f · Standard · 7 ran 7th 25/1

06 Aug 26 Deauville (FR) Wasabi (FR)J: Alexis Pouchin Prix De CanapvilleClass 3 · 12.5f · Standard · 12 ran 6th 7/1

21 Jul 26 Vichy (FR) Yokozuna (FR)J: Jacky Nicoleau Prix Imperatrice Eugenie12f · Heavy · 15 ran 10th 25/1

10 Jul 26 Compiegne (FR) Flower Celebration (FR)J: A Pouchin Prix Du Mont Saint-pierre Stakes2 · 7f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 5th 11/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Hiroo Shimizu's strike rate?: Hiroo Shimizu has won 40 of 396 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 10.1% (as at 13 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Hiroo Shimizu do best at?: Saint-Cloud by strike rate: 9 wins from 77 runners (11.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Hiroo Shimizu?: Stephane Pasquier, with 59 runners since 2008 — 15% of the total. That pairing has won 8 (13.6%).
Is Hiroo Shimizu in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 5 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Hiroo Shimizu's Fair A/E?: 1.28, from 395 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.