What is John Spearing's strike rate?

John Spearing has won 174 of 1,967 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8.8% (as at 31 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does John Spearing do best at?

Chepstow by strike rate: 22 wins from 101 runners (21.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for John Spearing?

Jamie Moore, with 137 runners since 2008 — 7% of the total. That pairing has won 15 (10.9%).

What is John Spearing's Fair A/E?

1.01, from 1,959 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

John Spearing

1,967 runners in the lifetime window · 181 individual horses

As at 31 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner Jan 2023

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

174–1,967

Wins / Runs

8.8%

Strike rate

n=1,967

507 (26%)

Placed

1.01

Fair A/E

n=1,959 · 0.87 incl. margin

−441.76

£1 level stake

n=1,967 at SP · −22.5%

£1.19m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 100 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 9% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.01).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,967 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 31 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires May–Aug 24.8% when favourite Jamie Moore: 10.9% from 137 Sends off the favourite in 7% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Chepstow (21.8%, n=101) and Lingfield (16.7%, n=66) — all clear of the yard's 8.8% baseline. Debutants struggle at 1.1% (n=95, Fair A/E 0.32). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 4.9% strike, Fair A/E 0.81 and −128.00 to a £1 stake over 329 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Jamie Moore rides 7% of the entries and edges the yard's average (10.9% vs 8.8%, A/E 1.26) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well off a 0-7-day break (15.5%, n=155). 2 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Racing Post Handicap Chase at Kempton (Feb 2007, £57,020). The stable star of the record: A Sure Welcome (GB) — 15 wins from 76 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires May–Aug.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.8% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

4.9%−3.9

n=329 · A/E 0.81 · £1 −128.00

New recruits · first run for the yard

5.2%−3.6

n=58 · A/E 1.02 · £1 +0.00

Debutants · first career start

1.1%−7.7

n=95 · A/E 0.32 · £1 −44.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

9.2%+0.4

n=65 · A/E 1.56 · £1 −3.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

4.9%−3.9

n=41 · A/E 0.68 · £1 −29.00

When favourite

24.8%

n=141 · A/E 0.98 · £1 −21.92

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

8.7%−0.1

n=447 · A/E 0.98 · £1 −33.42

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−8.8

n=11 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −11.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Chepstow 21.8% vs 8.8% · n=101

On last-time-out winners 16.3% vs 8.8% · n=178

With debutants 1.1% vs 8.8% · n=95

Off a 0-7-day break 15.5% vs 8.8% · n=155

At Lingfield 16.7% vs 8.8% · n=66

With Sam Hitchcott 1.6% vs 8.8% · n=62

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 1,386 126 9.1% −210.20

Hurdle 391 33 8.4% −147.56

Chase 133 14 10.5% −32.50

NH Flat 57 1 1.8% −51.50

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 526 53 10.1% −168.38

Standard (AW) 420 24 5.7% −158.00

Good to Firm 382 29 7.6% −25.09

Good to Soft 294 24 8.2% −126.54

Soft 234 33 14.1% +43.00

Heavy 71 5 7% −16.00

Firm 40 6 15% +9.25

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Wolverhampton (AW) 197 12 6.1% −64.50

Brighton 136 16 11.8% −46.79

Kempton (AW) 119 6 5% −30.50

Windsor 113 10 8.8% −39.25

Chepstow 101 22 21.8% +20.71

Worcester 74 6 8.1% −37.90

Nottingham 70 3 4.3% −34.75

Bath 67 4 6% −39.25

Warwick 66 5 7.6% +29.00

Lingfield 66 11 16.7% +32.50

Ffos Las 58 5 8.6% −26.25

Southwell (AW) 49 4 8.2% −20.50

Leicester 48 2 4.2% −29.00

Yarmouth 43 3 7% −23.00

Salisbury 41 3 7.3% +124.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 690 59 8.6% −78.46

Class 6 580 49 8.4% −143.91

Class 4 422 37 8.8% −163.14

Class 3 158 20 12.7% −27.75

Class 2 85 7 8.2% −12.00

Class 7 16 2 12.5% −0.50

Class 1 15 0 0% −15.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 179 47 26.3% 1.08 −4.17

2nd–3rd fav 369 62 16.8% 1.10 −21.59

4th–6th fav 577 46 8% 0.98 −127.00

7th+ in betting 842 19 2.3% 0.73 −289.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

6f – 7f 668 67 10% +111.63

Under 6f 318 34 10.7% −138.96

1m5f – 2m 273 21 7.7% −153.11

1m – 1m1f 209 13 6.2% −124.37

2m1f – 2m4f 189 15 7.9% −61.45

1m2f – 1m4f 156 10 6.4% −33.00

2m5f – 3m 123 9 7.3% −70.00

Over 3m 31 5 16.1% +27.50

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 276 27 9.8% +94.09

2009 230 17 7.4% −87.50

2010 166 8 4.8% −101.75

2011 136 11 8.1% −60.75

2012 166 16 9.6% −63.99

2013 144 16 11.1% −21.75

2014 169 14 8.3% −84.25

2015 135 13 9.6% −62.25

2016 94 9 9.6% +14.50

2017 118 12 10.2% −17.50

2018 73 6 8.2% −21.25

2019 64 7 10.9% −24.92

2020 48 3 6.3% −26.00

2021 79 10 12.7% +25.56

2022 66 5 7.6% −1.00

2023 3 0 0% −3.00

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 1,449 147 10.1% −289.02

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

8-10 runners 639 68 10.6% −146.35

11-13 runners 634 48 7.6% −16.12

14-16 runners 311 19 6.1% −113.00

5-7 runners 284 29 10.2% −145.42

17+ runners 79 4 5.1% −23.00

2-4 runners 20 6 30% +2.13

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Whitecrest (GB) 136 13 44 24 Nov 18

Hawk Moth (IRE) 88 8 27 19 Nov 16

A Sure Welcome (GB)then Henry Oliver 76 15 33 9 Oct 22

Clear Spring (IRE) 74 13 25 15 Aug 19

Bermondsey Bob (IRE) 63 7 20 18 Jun 13

Equuleus Pictor (GB) 53 7 18 16 Dec 11

It's How We Roll (IRE)from Charles Hills · then Henry Oliver 49 3 18 17 Oct 22

Pearls Legend (GB) 48 7 24 15 Jun 18

Ashpan Sam (GB)then David W Drinkwater 47 7 19 13 Oct 15

Sweeping Rock (IRE)from Marcus Tregoning 40 1 12 8 Sep 21

Barton Gift (GB) 40 8 14 9 Feb 18

Captain Sedgwick (IRE) 36 3 9 29 Oct 22

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 181 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 8 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 18 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Alan Jones (2); 42 had their first archived run for this yard.

19 have since run for another yard, most often for Henry Oliver (4) and David W Drinkwater (3); 41 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

71288111210109635

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderJamie Moore

7% of all rides
10.9% SR · A/E 1.26

RiderRWSR£1

Jamie Moore 137 15 10.9% −23.44

Liam Jones 108 8 7.4% −47.87

Cathy Gannon 96 8 8.3% −49.62

Luke Morris 86 12 14% +6.25

Liam Treadwell 84 5 6% −44.67

Jack Dean 78 7 9% −35.75

Nico de Boinville 71 11 15.5% −3.75

Tolley Dean 66 4 6.1% +103.50

Sam Hitchcott 62 1 1.6% −54.00

Chris Catlin 57 6 10.5% −11.00

Ryan Tate 51 6 11.8% −12.67

Adam Kirby 50 5 10% +60.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

263

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£1.96m

Prize money

2006

Best season · 33 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Simon (GB) — Racing Post Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Kempton · Feb 2007 · Class 1

£57,020

Jacks Craic (IRE) — Red Rum Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Aintree · Apr 2006 · Class 1

£39,914

Hakim (NZ) — Totepool Grand Sefton Handicap Chase Aintree · Nov 2005 · Class 3

£37,578

Notable horses

A Sure Welcome (GB) Whitecrest (GB) Clear Spring (IRE) Cashel Mead (GB) Hawk Moth (IRE) Equuleus Pictor (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Ishiguru (USA) 9.6% · 13–136

Progeny have won 10.4% of 3,199 runs since 2008 (156 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 6.5% from 155.

Hawk Wing (USA) 9.1% · 8–88

Progeny have won 8.5% of 4,330 runs since 2008 (330 horses).

Pastoral Pursuits (GB) 19.2% · 15–78

Progeny have won 9.5% of 7,219 runs since 2008 (437 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 17.4% from 109. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 1.5% from 133.

Chineur (FR) 17.6% · 13–74

Progeny have won 9% of 2,167 runs since 2008 (138 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 12% from 209. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 12.2% from 403. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 6% from 199.

Trans Island (GB) 11.1% · 7–63

Progeny have won 9% of 4,741 runs since 2008 (295 horses).

Piccolo (GB) 12.5% · 7–56

Progeny have won 7.8% of 6,904 runs since 2008 (393 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 11.6% from 164. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 3.5% from 258.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 31 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,805 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,805 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 8 January 2023.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

08 Jan 23 Chepstow Pillar Of Steel (GB)J: Jamie Moore Best Odds Guaranteed At Vickers.bet Everyday Mares' Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Soft · 10 ran 8th 11/1

05 Jan 23 Ffos Las Calisson (GB)J: Philip Armson DragonBet The Bookmaker Of Wales NH Flat Race (Conditionals/Amateurs) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16f · Heavy · 11 ran 10th 125/1

05 Jan 23 Ffos Las Shutthegate (IRE)J: Jamie Moore Cazoo Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 24f · Heavy · 9 ran PU 16/1

11 Dec 22 Southwell Pillar Of Steel (GB)J: Jamie Moore Follow vickersracing On Twitter Mares' Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Good · 5 ran 3rd 13/2

30 Nov 22 Ludlow Calisson (GB)J: Jamie Moore Perrott Properties Design & Build EBF Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 13th 100/1

30 Nov 22 Ludlow Shutthegate (IRE)J: Jamie Moore Flowfit Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 20f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 6th 18/1

12 Nov 22 Wolverhampton (AW) Mayz (IRE)J: Trevor Whelan talkSPORT Powered By Fans EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Div 1)Class 4 · 6f · Standard · 10 ran 6th 200/1

31 Oct 22 Hereford Pillar Of Steel (GB)J: Fergus Gregory Olivia Darcy Bespoke Ladies Occasionwear Mares' Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Good · 6 ran 3rd 12/1

29 Oct 22 Wolverhampton (AW) Captain Sedgwick (IRE)J: Aidan Keeley Spreadex Sports Best Premier League Odds HandicapClass 6 · 8.5f · Standard · 12 ran 12th 100/1

26 Oct 22 Nottingham Hy Eales (IRE)J: Mr Lewis Kent AJA Handicap (Gentleman Amateurs)Class 6 · 10f · Soft · 14 ran 9th 7/1

17 Oct 22 Windsor Hy Eales (IRE)J: George Rooke Windsor Thanks Silvershine Trading Ltd Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 8f · Soft · 13 ran 5th 8/1

17 Oct 22 Windsor It's How We Roll (IRE)J: Mr Lewis Kent Cazoo Amateur Jockeys' HandicapClass 6 · 11.5f · Soft · 14 ran 4th 18/1

13 Oct 22 Brighton Danny Bleu (IRE)J: Georgia Dobie Cazoo HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Soft · 12 ran 9th 14/1

09 Oct 22 Goodwood A Sure Welcome (GB)J: Georgia Dobie William Hill HandicapClass 3 · 6f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 10th 33/1

04 Oct 22 Brighton Danny Bleu (IRE)J: Georgia Dobie Sky Sports Racing HD Virgin 535 HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 4th 11/1

04 Oct 22 Brighton It's How We Roll (IRE)J: Alex Jary Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Apprentice HandicapClass 6 · 12f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 4th 14/1

01 Oct 22 Wolverhampton (AW) Hy Eales (IRE)J: Shane Kelly Each Way Extra At bet365 Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 9.5f · Standard · 9 ran 7th 66/1

01 Oct 22 Wolverhampton (AW) A Sure Welcome (GB)J: Shane Kelly bet365 HandicapClass 3 · 6f · Standard · 13 ran 13th 80/1

29 Sep 22 Salisbury Mayz (IRE)J: Paddy Bradley Radcliffe & Co British EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Div 2)Class 4 · 7f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 10th 150/1

26 Sep 22 Ffos Las Captain Sedgwick (IRE)J: Georgia Dobie Best Odds Guaranteed At Vickers.Bet Everyday HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 3rd 40/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is John Spearing's strike rate?: John Spearing has won 174 of 1,967 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8.8% (as at 31 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does John Spearing do best at?: Chepstow by strike rate: 22 wins from 101 runners (21.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for John Spearing?: Jamie Moore, with 137 runners since 2008 — 7% of the total. That pairing has won 15 (10.9%).
What is John Spearing's Fair A/E?: 1.01, from 1,959 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.