Julian Poulton
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sent out 179 runners in our archive record (2005–2006), almost all on the flat, winning with 6% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across that record (Fair A/E 0.76).
Runners with a claiming rider up have been a poor signal at 0% (n=51, Fair A/E 0.00). The yard also read well over 6f – 7f (8.9%, n=79) and on Good to Firm going (8.6%, n=35). The market has consistently overbet the yard over 1m – 1m1f: Fair A/E 0.48 across 52 runners (3.8% strike, −40.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 5.6% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. Tiles that depend on a horse's earlier runs (debuts, time off, first-time headgear, new connections, last-time-out winners) are not shown on an archive-era record: for runs this early our archive cannot see what came before.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstWhen the yard fires
strike by month, 2005–2006Jockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 179 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 179 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 4 January 2005 to 21 February 2006.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Julian Poulton's strike rate?
- Julian Poulton has won 10 of 179 runners between 2005 and 2006, a strike rate of 5.6% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive. Our archive begins in 2005, so anything earlier is not counted.
- Which course does Julian Poulton do best at?
- Lingfield (AW) by strike rate: 2 wins from 40 runners (5%) between 2005 and 2006. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- What is Julian Poulton's Fair A/E?
- 0.76, from 178 runners with a computed fair probability between 2005 and 2006. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.