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Trainer profile

Julian Poulton

179 runners in our archive record, 2005–2006 · 39 individual horses
As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Feb 2006 100% of runners on the flat
Archive record 2005–2006
No runners from 1 Jan 2008, where our aggregate statistics normally begin — showing the full archive record instead, 4 Jan 2005 to 21 Feb 2006. Figures that need a horse's earlier runs (debuts, time since a run, first-time headgear, new connections, last-time-out winners) are left out: for runs this early our archive cannot see what came before.
10–179
Wins / Runs
5.6%
Strike rate
n=179
38 (21%)
Placed
0.76
Fair A/E
n=178 · 0.63 incl. margin
−21.42
£1 level stake
n=179 at SP · −12.0%
£87,325
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sent out 179 runners in our archive record (2005–2006), almost all on the flat, winning with 6% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across that record (Fair A/E 0.76).

Deterministic profile computed from 179 archived runs (archive record 2005–2006) · updated 15 Oct 2026
The read

Runners with a claiming rider up have been a poor signal at 0% (n=51, Fair A/E 0.00). The yard also read well over 6f – 7f (8.9%, n=79) and on Good to Firm going (8.6%, n=35). The market has consistently overbet the yard over 1m – 1m1f: Fair A/E 0.48 across 52 runners (3.8% strike, −40.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5.6% baseline
When favourite
18.2%
n=11 · A/E 0.67 · £1 −3.42
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
0%−5.6
n=51 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −51.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−5.6
n=12 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −12.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. Tiles that depend on a horse's earlier runs (debuts, time off, first-time headgear, new connections, last-time-out winners) are not shown on an archive-era record: for runs this early our archive cannot see what came before.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With Neil Callan 14.6% vs 5.6% · n=41
With claiming riders up 0% vs 5.6% · n=51
With Marc Halford 0% vs 5.6% · n=38
Over 6f – 7f 8.9% vs 5.6% · n=79
On Good to Firm going 8.6% vs 5.6% · n=35
Over 1m – 1m1f 3.8% vs 5.6% · n=52 · A/E 0.48
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 92 5 5.4% −54.42
Good to Firm 35 3 8.6% +3.00
Good 19 0 0% −19.00
Soft 13 0 0% −13.00
Good to Soft 10 1 10% +5.00
Heavy 7 1 14.3% +60.00
Firm 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Lingfield (AW) 40 2 5% −24.67
Southwell (AW) 27 1 3.7% −23.75
Wolverhampton (AW) 25 2 8% −6.00
Yarmouth 11 1 9.1% +4.00
Nottingham 9 0 0% −9.00
Brighton 7 0 0% −7.00
Newmarket 5 0 0% −5.00
Leicester 5 0 0% −5.00
Folkestone 5 0 0% −5.00
Doncaster 5 0 0% −5.00
Newmarket 4 0 0% −4.00
Carlisle 3 0 0% −3.00
Southwell 3 0 0% −3.00
Newcastle 3 1 33.3% +1.00
Lingfield 3 0 0% −3.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 71 4 5.6% −24.67
Class 6 41 3 7.3% −18.75
Class 7 28 1 3.6% −17.00
Class 4 19 1 5.3% −8.00
Class 1 12 0 0% −12.00
Class 3 5 1 20% +62.00
Class 2 3 0 0% −3.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 13 2 15.4% 0.62 −5.42
2nd–3rd fav 19 1 5.3% 0.36 −15.00
4th–6th fav 53 5 9.4% 1.29 +67.00
7th+ in betting 94 2 2.1% 0.61 −68.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Tipsy Lillie (GB)then Phil McEntee 11 0 2 14 Dec 05
Rafters Music (IRE) 9 0 2 14 Nov 05
Jath (GB) 8 1 1 29 Nov 05
Grand Ideas (GB)then Graham Smith 8 0 3 8 Jun 05
Russalka (GB)then Michael Wigham 7 0 0 4 Nov 05
Elrafa Mujahid (GB)then Ernst Oertel 7 1 1 24 Oct 05
Dumnoni (GB) 6 0 2 30 Oct 05
Tilly's Dream (GB)then G C H Chung 6 1 1 24 Oct 05
All 39 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 39 horses listed, 24 have since run for another yard, most often for Lucinda Featherstone (9) and G C H Chung (3); 15 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. Where a horse came from is not stated on an archive-era record: our archive cannot see before 2005. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 2005–2006
JFMAMJJASOND
081266001201250
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderNeil Callan
23% of all rides
14.6% SR · A/E 1.50
RiderRWSR£1
Neil Callan 41 6 14.6% +71.58
Marc Halford 38 0 0% −38.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
10
Archived wins
£87,325
Prize money
2005
Best season · 10 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. On this page the header statistics and this card both count from the archive floor (2005), so they agree.
Jath (GB) — Conditions Stakes Ripon · Apr 2005 · Class 3
£8,347
Indian Steppes (FR) — Classified Stakes Lingfield (AW) · Mar 2005 · Class 4
£6,695
Suits Me (GB) — Beatrice Stephenson Maiden Auction Stakes Thirsk · Aug 2005 · Class 5
£4,193

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Tipsy Creek (USA) 0% · 0–13
Progeny have won 5.2% of 978 runs since 2005 (64 horses).
Foxhound (USA) 10% · 1–10
Progeny have won 6.6% of 3,032 runs since 2005 (167 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 10.4% from 115. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 9.9% from 781.
Sahm (USA) 0% · 0–10
Progeny have won 12.8% of 391 runs since 2005 (27 horses). Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 9.5% from 105.
Thatching (GB) 0% · 0–9
Progeny have won 7.6% of 92 runs since 2005 (8 horses).
Bishop of Cashel (GB) 12.5% · 1–8
Progeny have won 7.9% of 1,085 runs since 2005 (105 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 13.2% from 114. Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 11.6% from 147. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 4.5% from 287.
Grand Lodge (USA) 0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 8.6% of 4,249 runs since 2005 (326 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 12.2% from 910. Weakest on Heavy going: 2.6% from 195. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 4.7% from 169.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2005, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 179 · newest first

The latest 50 of 179 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 4 January 2005 to 21 February 2006.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
18 Dec 05 Southwell (AW) Travelling Times (GB)J: David McCabe Heart 106 Banded StakesClass 7 · 8f · Standard To Slow · 7 ran 2nd 7/1
29 Nov 05 Lingfield (AW) Jath (GB)J: Steve Drowne Text 'Betdirect' To 88600 HandicapClass 2 · 10f · Standard · 10 ran 10th 25/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Julian Poulton's strike rate?
Julian Poulton has won 10 of 179 runners between 2005 and 2006, a strike rate of 5.6% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive. Our archive begins in 2005, so anything earlier is not counted.
Which course does Julian Poulton do best at?
Lingfield (AW) by strike rate: 2 wins from 40 runners (5%) between 2005 and 2006. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is Julian Poulton's Fair A/E?
0.76, from 178 runners with a computed fair probability between 2005 and 2006. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 15 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008). This profile has no runs from 2008, so every figure on this page counts from the start of the archive instead.