As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Sep 2005
Archive record 2005
No runners from 1 Jan 2008, where our aggregate statistics normally begin — showing the full archive record instead, 2 Jan 2005 to 28 Sep 2005. Figures that need a horse's earlier runs (debuts, time since a run, first-time headgear, new connections, last-time-out winners) are left out: for runs this early our archive cannot see what came before.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
KTB Yard Profile
Sent out 109 runners in our archive record (2005), winning with 12% of them — beating the margin-free market read across that record (Fair A/E 1.46).
Deterministic profile computed from 109 archived runs (archive record 2005) · updated 22 Oct 2026
The read
The yard also read well over 1m2f – 1m4f (20%, n=30). The market has also underrated the yard in Flat races: Fair A/E 1.47 across 87 runners (12.6% strike, +36.38 to a £1 stake). The record read poorly in Class 6 — 8.1% over 37 runners, 3.8pts below the baseline. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Marriott Listed Stakes at Goodwood (Apr 2005, £17,400).
Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 11.9% baseline
When favourite
42.9%
n=7 · A/E 1.71 · £1 +2.55
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
13%+1.1
n=23 · A/E 1.34 · £1 +14.80
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
33.3%+21.4
n=3 · A/E 1.75 · £1 +8.00
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 11.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. Tiles that depend on a horse's earlier runs (debuts, time off, first-time headgear, new connections, last-time-out winners) are not shown on an archive-era record: for runs this early our archive cannot see what came before.
Notable angles
vs their own baseline
Over 1m2f – 1m4f20% vs 11.9% · n=30
In Class 68.1% vs 11.9% · n=37
On Good to Firm going14.7% vs 11.9% · n=34
On Standard (AW) going9.7% vs 11.9% · n=31
In Flat races12.6% vs 11.9% · n=87 · A/E 1.47
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Race type
TypeRWSR£1
Flat871112.6%+36.38
Hurdle1218.3%−3.50
Chase9111.1%+0.00
NH Flat100%−1.00
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Good to Firm34514.7%+15.55
Standard (AW)3139.7%+16.33
Good19315.8%+3.50
Good to Soft1200%−12.00
Firm10110%+3.00
Soft3133.3%+5.50
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Lingfield (AW)17211.8%+13.33
Southwell (AW)1119.1%+6.00
Yarmouth9111.1%+20.00
Warwick600%−6.00
Folkestone600%−6.00
Huntingdon6116.7%+3.00
Brighton600%−6.00
Kempton4125%+4.50
Nottingham400%−4.00
Lingfield300%−3.00
Wolverhampton (AW)300%−3.00
Windsor3133.3%−0.25
Newmarket300%−3.00
Leicester200%−2.00
Newcastle2150%+4.50
Class
ClassRWSR£1
Class 63738.1%+24.50
Class 527414.8%−11.12
Class 41516.7%−6.00
Class 71119.1%+6.00
Class 37114.3%+1.50
Class 15120%+6.00
Class 2100%−1.00
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite9444.4%1.90+4.88
2nd–3rd fav22313.6%0.95+4.00
4th–6th fav23313%1.63+6.00
7th+ in betting5535.5%1.67+17.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
1m2f – 1m4f30620%+34.05
1m – 1m1f24312.5%+5.00
6f – 7f2314.3%+3.00
1m5f – 2m1417.1%−9.67
2m1f – 2m4f800%−8.00
2m5f – 3m7228.6%+10.50
Over 3m200%−2.00
Under 6f100%−1.00
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps75912%+25.05
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
14-16 runners34411.8%+15.50
11-13 runners30413.3%+33.00
8-10 runners2129.5%−8.17
17+ runners1616.3%−13.25
5-7 runners7228.6%+5.80
2-4 runners100%−1.00
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
All 25 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next
Of the 25 horses listed, 20 have since run for another yard, most often for John Ryan (16); 5 have no later run for another yard in our archive.
Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. Where a horse came from is not stated on an archive-era record: our archive cannot see before 2005. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.
When the yard fires
strike by month, 2005
JFMAMJJASOND
02991031614130···
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. On this page the header statistics and this card both count from the archive floor (2005), so they agree.
Progeny have won 8.6% of 1,637 runs since 2005 (81 horses). Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 4.4% from 160.
Magic Ring (IRE)14.3% · 2–14
Progeny have won 8.1% of 1,205 runs since 2005 (69 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 11.1% from 443.
Sheikh Albadou (GB)7.7% · 1–13
Progeny have won 8.5% of 247 runs since 2005 (11 horses).
Atticus (USA)18.2% · 2–11
Progeny have won 9.5% of 190 runs since 2005 (19 horses).
Dolphin Street (FR)0% · 0–9
Progeny have won 8.1% of 639 runs since 2005 (44 horses). Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 12.9% from 209. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 3.9% from 103.
Desert King (IRE)50% · 4–8
Progeny have won 9.6% of 2,223 runs since 2005 (180 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6.5% from 230.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2005, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
latest 50 of 109 · newest first
The latest 50 of 109 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 2 January 2005 to 28 September 2005.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is M J Ryan's strike rate?
M J Ryan has won 13 of 109 runners in 2005, a strike rate of 11.9% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive. Our archive begins in 2005, so anything earlier is not counted.
What is M J Ryan's Fair A/E?
1.46, from 109 runners with a computed fair probability in 2005. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
M J Ryan·SR 11.9%·A/E 1.46
KTB
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