What is Ernst Oertel's strike rate?

Ernst Oertel has won 16 of 340 runners between 2005 and 2007, a strike rate of 4.7% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive. Our archive begins in 2005, so anything earlier is not counted.

Which course does Ernst Oertel do best at?

Lingfield (AW) by strike rate: 6 wins from 107 runners (5.6%) between 2005 and 2007. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

What is Ernst Oertel's Fair A/E?

0.65, from 340 runners with a computed fair probability between 2005 and 2007. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Ernst Oertel

340 runners in our archive record, 2005–2007 · 38 individual horses

As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner Feb 2007 96% of runners on the flat

Archive record 2005–2007

No runners from 1 Jan 2008, where our aggregate statistics normally begin — showing the full archive record instead, 4 Jan 2005 to 27 Feb 2007. Figures that need a horse's earlier runs (debuts, time since a run, first-time headgear, new connections, last-time-out winners) are left out: for runs this early our archive cannot see what came before.

16–340

Wins / Runs

4.7%

Strike rate

n=340

72 (21%)

Placed

0.65

Fair A/E

n=340 · 0.54 incl. margin

−113.84

£1 level stake

n=340 at SP · −33.5%

£131k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

9.1%

KTB Yard Profile

Sent out 340 runners in our archive record (2005–2007), almost all on the flat, winning with 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across that record (Fair A/E 0.65). With a claiming rider up the record reads 6% (126 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 340 archived runs (archive record 2005–2007) · updated 15 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Claiming riders: 6.3%

The read

The yard also read well in Class 7 (10.1%, n=89). The record read poorly in Class 5 — 1.4% over 72 runners, 3.3pts below the baseline.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4.7% baseline

When favourite

13.3%

n=15 · A/E 0.52 · £1 −6.34

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

6.3%+1.6

n=126 · A/E 0.88 · £1 −58.17

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−4.7

n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. Tiles that depend on a horse's earlier runs (debuts, time off, first-time headgear, new connections, last-time-out winners) are not shown on an archive-era record: for runs this early our archive cannot see what came before.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Adam Kirby 16.7% vs 4.7% · n=36

In Class 7 10.1% vs 4.7% · n=89

In Class 5 1.4% vs 4.7% · n=72

At Kempton (AW) 2.1% vs 4.7% · n=47

Over 1m2f – 1m4f 6.3% vs 4.7% · n=80 · A/E 0.83

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 326 16 4.9% −99.84

Hurdle 10 0 0% −10.00

NH Flat 4 0 0% −4.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 255 13 5.1% −94.84

Good to Firm 32 1 3.1% −24.00

Good 25 1 4% +16.00

Firm 10 1 10% +7.00

Good to Soft 10 0 0% −10.00

Soft 7 0 0% −7.00

Heavy 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Lingfield (AW) 107 6 5.6% −14.67

Wolverhampton (AW) 73 4 5.5% −45.50

Kempton (AW) 47 1 2.1% −37.00

Southwell (AW) 28 2 7.1% +2.33

Brighton 14 1 7.1% +3.00

Yarmouth 11 0 0% −11.00

Lingfield 6 1 16.7% +2.00

Leicester 6 0 0% −6.00

Newmarket 5 0 0% −5.00

Windsor 5 0 0% −5.00

Warwick 5 0 0% −5.00

Uttoxeter 4 0 0% −4.00

Ascot 4 0 0% −4.00

Worcester 3 0 0% −3.00

Goodwood 3 0 0% −3.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 121 4 3.3% −59.00

Class 7 89 9 10.1% −25.84

Class 5 72 1 1.4% −46.00

Class 4 28 0 0% −28.00

Class 2 19 2 10.5% +56.00

Class 1 7 0 0% −7.00

Class 3 4 0 0% −4.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 21 2 9.5% 0.41 −12.34

2nd–3rd fav 50 5 10% 0.79 −15.50

4th–6th fav 90 4 4.4% 0.56 −51.00

7th+ in betting 179 5 2.8% 0.78 −35.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Miss Glory Be (GB)then Chris Down 33 2 9 21 Feb 07

Ragasah (GB) 22 3 6 8 Apr 06

Fantasy Defender (IRE)then Robert Cowell 21 1 7 9 Feb 07

Must Be Keen (GB)then Phil McEntee 21 1 1 2 Feb 07

Hand Chime (GB)then Julia Feilden 20 0 3 23 Feb 07

Elrafa Mujahid (GB) 19 2 3 9 Sep 06

Gaudalpin (IRE)then John McAuley 18 0 4 28 Dec 06

Diktatorship (IRE)then Alan Swinbank 14 1 4 27 Feb 07

J R Stevenson (USA) 14 0 2 21 Feb 06

Tharua (IRE) 13 2 6 25 Feb 07

The Baroness (IRE) 11 0 0 19 Dec 05

Barton Sands (IRE)then Andrew Reid 10 0 1 5 Sep 06

All 38 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 38 horses listed, 22 have since run for another yard, most often for Dean Ivory (6) and Andrew Reid (2); 16 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. Where a horse came from is not stated on an archive-era record: our archive cannot see before 2005. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 2005–2007

JFMAMJJASOND

9003078406710

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderAdam Kirby

11% of all rides
16.7% SR · A/E 1.83

RiderRWSR£1

Adam Kirby 36 6 16.7% +9.33

J F Egan 30 1 3.3% +11.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

Archived wins

£131k

Prize money

2005

Best season · 8 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. On this page the header statistics and this card both count from the archive floor (2005), so they agree.

Chancellor (IRE) — Vodafone Rose Bowl Heritage Handicap Epsom Downs · Jun 2006 · Class 2

£46,740

Polygonal (FR) — Betdirect Freephone 0800 211 222 Handicap Lingfield (AW) · Jan 2006 · Class 2

£12,954

Elrafa Mujahid (GB) — Betdirect.co.uk Handicap Southwell (AW) · Nov 2005 · Class 5

£3,996

Notable horses

Ragasah (GB) Miss Glory Be (GB) Elrafa Mujahid (GB) Tharua (IRE) Fantasy Defender (IRE) Must Be Keen (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Glory of Dancer (GB) 9.1% · 5–55

Progeny have won 10.9% of 248 runs since 2005 (11 horses).

Emperor Jones (USA) 4.8% · 1–21

Progeny have won 5.9% of 763 runs since 2005 (63 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 8.9% from 191. Weakest on Soft going: 1.9% from 105. Strongest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 10.5% from 162.

Fayruz (GB) 4.8% · 1–21

Progeny have won 6.8% of 1,620 runs since 2005 (106 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 3.6% from 139.

Clantime (GB) 0% · 0–20

Progeny have won 4.6% of 241 runs since 2005 (14 horses).

Mujahid (USA) 10.5% · 2–19

Progeny have won 10.1% of 3,739 runs since 2005 (195 horses). Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 7.1% from 353.

Danetime (IRE) 0% · 0–18

Progeny have won 10.3% of 4,843 runs since 2005 (251 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 7% from 414. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 6.1% from 148.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2005, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 340 · newest first

The latest 50 of 340 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 4 January 2005 to 27 February 2007.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

27 Feb 07 Lingfield (AW) Diktatorship (IRE)J: Joseph Walsh Go Pontin's Apprentice HandicapClass 5 · 16f · Standard · 14 ran 10th 33/1

25 Feb 07 Kempton (AW) Tharua (IRE)J: Adam Kirby Kempton For Team Building Events Classified StakesClass 7 · 11f · Standard · 14 ran 5th 20/1

23 Feb 07 Wolverhampton (AW) Hand Chime (GB)J: Emmett Stack Holiday Inn At Wolverhampton Claiming StakesClass 6 · 8.5f · Standard · 13 ran 13th 40/1

21 Feb 07 Wolverhampton (AW) Miss Glory Be (GB)J: Emmett Stack Go Pontin's Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 8.5f · Standard · 9 ran 6th 40/1

09 Feb 07 Wolverhampton (AW) Fantasy Defender (IRE)J: James Doyle Pontin's Holidays HandicapClass 6 · 9.5f · Standard To Slow · 12 ran 6th 7/1

03 Feb 07 Lingfield (AW) Hand Chime (GB)J: Ashley Hamblett Go Pontin's Apprentice HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 8 ran 5th 20/1

02 Feb 07 Wolverhampton (AW) Must Be Keen (GB)J: Fergus Sweeney Go Pontin's Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 6f · Standard To Slow · 13 ran 7th 9/2

31 Jan 07 Lingfield (AW) Diktatorship (IRE)J: Ashley Hamblett Pontin's 'Book Early' Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 10f · Standard · 10 ran 7th 12/1

31 Jan 07 Lingfield (AW) Hand Chime (GB)J: Adam Kirby pontinsbingo.com HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 11 ran 8th 66/1

28 Jan 07 Wolverhampton (AW) Must Be Keen (GB)J: Fergus Sweeney Pontin's Family Holidays Hdcp (Div 1)Class 6 · 5f · Standard To Slow · 9 ran 6th 8/1

27 Jan 07 Wolverhampton (AW) Fantasy Defender (IRE)J: Adam Kirby Classified StakesClass 7 · 8.5f · Standard To Slow · 11 ran 4th 9/4F

27 Jan 07 Wolverhampton (AW) Miss Glory Be (GB)J: Fergus Sweeney Go Pontin's HandicapClass 6 · 9.5f · Standard To Slow · 13 ran 12th 33/1

21 Jan 07 Wolverhampton (AW) Hand Chime (GB)J: Adam Kirby Pontin's Holidays Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 8.5f · Standard · 13 ran 11th 33/1

21 Jan 07 Wolverhampton (AW) Diktatorship (IRE)J: Simon Whitworth Pontin's Holidays Classified StakesClass 7 · 12f · Standard · 11 ran 6th 13/2

20 Jan 07 Kempton (AW) Must Be Keen (GB)J: Fergus Sweeney 600 Pounds Free At Intercasino.co.uk Classified StakesClass 7 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 1st 9/1

16 Jan 07 Wolverhampton (AW) Fantasy Defender (IRE)J: Chris Catlin Pontin's Family Holidays HandicapClass 6 · 8.5f · Standard · 13 ran 3rd 6/1

16 Jan 07 Wolverhampton (AW) Hand Chime (GB)J: James Doyle pontins.com HandicapClass 5 · 8.5f · Standard · 10 ran 8th 50/1

13 Jan 07 Wolverhampton (AW) Diktatorship (IRE)J: Ashley Hamblett Pontins.com Classified StakesClass 7 · 12f · Standard · 12 ran 1st 9/2

08 Jan 07 Wolverhampton (AW) Diktatorship (IRE)J: James Doyle Holiday Inn Garden Court Wolverhampton HandicapClass 6 · 12f · Standard · 9 ran 5th 10/1

06 Jan 07 Kempton (AW) Must Be Keen (GB)J: Fergus Sweeney More Options With digibet.com Classified StakesClass 7 · 5f · Standard · 12 ran 5th 25/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Ernst Oertel's strike rate?: Ernst Oertel has won 16 of 340 runners between 2005 and 2007, a strike rate of 4.7% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive. Our archive begins in 2005, so anything earlier is not counted.
Which course does Ernst Oertel do best at?: Lingfield (AW) by strike rate: 6 wins from 107 runners (5.6%) between 2005 and 2007. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is Ernst Oertel's Fair A/E?: 0.65, from 340 runners with a computed fair probability between 2005 and 2007. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.