M Brasme
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 50 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 8% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.90). Horses in first-time headgear strike at 11% (80 runs, true-first definition).
A horse in first-time headgear has been a positive signal at 11.3% (n=80, Fair A/E 1.52), but runners with a claiming rider up have been a poor signal at 4.1% (n=145, Fair A/E 0.52). A Madamet rides 13% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (7.1%, A/E 0.76). The record reads poorly over 1m5f – 2m — 1.9% over 53 runners, 5.9pts below the baseline. 3 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Prix des Reves d'Or - Jacques Bouchara at Vichy (FR) (May 2026, £23,870). Seasonally, the yard fires Mar–May.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 7.8% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2017→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 861 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 861 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 26 December 2017 to 6 November 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is M Brasme's strike rate?
- M Brasme has won 67 of 861 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.8% (as at 7 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does M Brasme do best at?
- Saint-Cloud by strike rate: 14 wins from 158 runners (8.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for M Brasme?
- A Madamet, with 113 runners since 2008 — 13% of the total. That pairing has won 8 (7.1%).
- Is M Brasme in form?
- Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 7 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is M Brasme's Fair A/E?
- 0.90, from 858 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.