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Trainer profile

M Brasme

861 runners in the lifetime window · 198 individual horses
As at 7 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Non-runners: 1.0% of 202 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 7 Nov 2026.
Last runner yesterday 100% of runners on the flat
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
67–861
Wins / Runs
7.8%
Strike rate
n=861
230 (27%)
Placed
0.90
n=858 · 0.75 incl. margin
−278.80
£1 level stake
n=860 at SP · −32.4%
£1.71m
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
10.3%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 50 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 8% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.90). Horses in first-time headgear strike at 11% (80 runs, true-first definition).

Deterministic profile computed from 861 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 7 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Mar–May Fresh horses: 8.2% 21.1% when favourite A Madamet: 7.1% from 113 Sends off the favourite in 7% of races
The read

A horse in first-time headgear has been a positive signal at 11.3% (n=80, Fair A/E 1.52), but runners with a claiming rider up have been a poor signal at 4.1% (n=145, Fair A/E 0.52). A Madamet rides 13% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (7.1%, A/E 0.76). The record reads poorly over 1m5f – 2m — 1.9% over 53 runners, 5.9pts below the baseline. 3 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Prix des Reves d'Or - Jacques Bouchara at Vichy (FR) (May 2026, £23,870). Seasonally, the yard fires Mar–May.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.8% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
8.2%+0.4
n=195 · A/E 1.11 · £1 −41.30
New recruits · first run for the yard
7.4%−0.4
n=27 · A/E 1.03 · £1 −17.30
Debutants · first career start
8.8%+1.0
n=171 · A/E 1.18 · £1 −9.10
First-time headgear · true-first definition
11.3%+3.5
n=80 · A/E 1.52 · £1 +16.90
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
9.1%+1.3
n=11 · A/E 1.56 · £1 −2.00
When favourite
21.1%
n=57 · A/E 0.88 · £1 −12.80
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
4.1%−3.7
n=145 · A/E 0.52 · £1 −86.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
6.4%−1.4
n=47 · A/E 0.71 · £1 −24.80

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With Alexandre Roussel 17.1% vs 7.8% · n=35
With C&D winners 14.7% vs 7.8% · n=75
With Tristan Baron 16.1% vs 7.8% · n=31
With Marie Velon 0% vs 7.8% · n=34
With Mickael Barzalona 15.2% vs 7.8% · n=33
Over 1m5f – 2m 1.9% vs 7.8% · n=53
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 319 25 7.8% −120.00
Soft 194 11 5.7% −90.20
Good to Soft 193 14 7.3% −39.90
Heavy 86 10 11.6% −13.40
Good 66 7 10.6% −12.30
Good to Firm 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Deauville (FR) 243 20 8.2% −115.00
Chantilly (FR) 176 7 4% −66.10
Saint-Cloud 158 14 8.9% −20.70
Longchamp (FR) 148 10 6.8% −58.70
Vichy (FR) 15 3 20% +15.70
Clairefontaine (FR) 12 2 16.7% +0.00
Craon (FR) 10 0 0% −10.00
Maisons-Laffitte (FR) 10 0 0% −10.00
Le Lion-D'Angers (FR) 9 2 22.2% +12.20
Les Sables-d'Olonne (FR) 8 0 0% −8.00
Dieppe (FR) 7 0 0% −7.00
Nantes (FR) 7 1 14.3% −2.90
Angers (FR) 7 1 14.3% −3.00
Le Mans (FR) 5 0 0% −5.00
Fontainebleau (FR) 5 0 0% −5.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 48 3 6.3% −25.80
Class 4 20 4 20% +7.00
Class 3 16 1 6.3% −7.00
Class 2 5 1 20% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 60 13 21.7% 0.92 −10.80
2nd–3rd fav 163 21 12.9% 0.89 −59.90
4th–6th fav 287 23 8% 0.99 −48.40
7th+ in betting 350 10 2.9% 0.74 −159.70
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Just In Time Game (FR) 38 2 8 27 Sep 26
Highbari (FR) 33 2 16 28 Oct 26
Tytan (FR) 30 3 10 25 Feb 26
Shatterhand (FR) 18 3 9 10 Oct 24
Sbikha (FR) 15 0 6 4 Nov 26
L'agora Game (FR) 14 0 6 22 Oct 26
Tizian (FR) 14 3 8 21 Oct 26
San Valentina (FR) 14 2 4 17 Oct 21
Chiricco (FR) 13 1 3 4 Oct 26
Lily Rose (FR)then C Ferland 13 0 6 6 Jun 23
Penny Whistle (FR) 13 1 4 23 Aug 22
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 198 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 4 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 7 arrived from another yard in our archive; 53 had their first archived run for this yard.

19 have since run for another yard, most often for Mme V Seignoux (2) and P Adda & F Renaut (2); 41 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 7
Only 7 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
1581210105874768
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderA Madamet
13% of all rides
7.1% SR · A/E 0.76
RiderRWSR£1
A Madamet 113 8 7.1% −48.80
Fabrice Veron 80 7 8.8% +10.40
Eddy Hardouin 73 5 6.8% −0.20
Dorian Provost 46 1 2.2% −32.70
Alexandre Roussel 35 6 17.1% −1.20
Marie Velon 34 0 0% −34.00
Mickael Barzalona 33 5 15.2% −8.70
Tristan Baron 31 5 16.1% −4.40
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2017→
67
Archived wins
3
Pattern / graded wins
£1.71m
Prize money
2026
Best season · 18 wins
Valentina Bella (FR) — Prix des Reves d'Or - Jacques Bouchara () (Turf) Vichy (FR) · May 2026 · Listed
£23,870
Shakti (FR) — Prix Scaramouche () (4yo+) (Turf) Saint-Cloud (FR) · Oct 2024 · Listed
£22,609
Highbari (FR) — Prix des Arenes de Lutece (Handicap) (4yo+) (Moyenne Course: 2nd Post) (Turf) Longchamp (FR) · Oct 2021
£22,321

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Zarak (FR) 7.1% · 4–56
Progeny have won 15.2% of 2,028 runs since 2021 (329 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 18.3% from 278. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 10.7% from 373. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 20.6% from 257. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 6.9% from 203.
Anodin (IRE) 16.7% · 7–42
Progeny have won 8.8% of 2,444 runs since 2018 (275 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 3.4% from 116.
Sidestep (AUS) 5% · 2–40
Progeny have won 9% of 654 runs since 2019 (65 horses).
Zanzibari (USA) 5.3% · 2–38
Progeny have won 9.2% of 1,311 runs since 2014 (139 horses). Strongest on Good going: 14.2% from 225. Weakest on Heavy going: 5.3% from 171.
Intello (GER) 10% · 3–30
Progeny have won 10.6% of 3,497 runs since 2017 (393 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 14.6% from 233. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.4% from 185.
Hunter's Light (IRE) 10.3% · 3–29
Progeny have won 11.1% of 1,343 runs since 2019 (153 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 14.2% from 169. Weakest on Heavy going: 6.7% from 165. Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 14.2% from 211. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.5% from 133.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 7 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 861 · newest first

The latest 50 of 861 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 26 December 2017 to 6 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
30 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Close Up (FR)J: Hugo Journiac Prix De BeaufosseClass 4 · 9.5f · Standard · 15 ran 10th 25/1
28 Oct 26 Le Mans (FR) Highbari (FR)J: Jerome Moutard Prix Jean MenandClass 4 · 9.5f · Heavy · 14 ran 3rd 9/4F

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is M Brasme's strike rate?
M Brasme has won 67 of 861 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.8% (as at 7 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does M Brasme do best at?
Saint-Cloud by strike rate: 14 wins from 158 runners (8.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for M Brasme?
A Madamet, with 113 runners since 2008 — 13% of the total. That pairing has won 8 (7.1%).
Is M Brasme in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 7 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is M Brasme's Fair A/E?
0.90, from 858 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 7 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).