No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
KTB Yard Profile
Sent out around 10 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 9% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.88).
Deterministic profile computed from 127 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 22 Oct 2026
The read
The yard also read well off a 15-30-day break (15.9%, n=44). The record read poorly in Class 6 — 2.6% over 38 runners, 6.1pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record was Dover's Hill (GB) — 5 wins from 27 runs for the yard.
Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 8.7% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
8.6%−0.1
n=35 · A/E 1.18 · £1 +45.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
12.5%+3.8
n=8 · A/E 0.99 · £1 +59.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−8.7
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−8.7
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−8.7
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
When favourite
9.1%
n=11 · A/E 0.41 · £1 −7.50
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
20%+11.3
n=15 · A/E 1.67 · £1 −5.50
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−8.7
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baseline
Off a 15-30-day break15.9% vs 8.7% · n=44
In Class 62.6% vs 8.7% · n=38
With a new jockey booking4.8% vs 8.7% · n=62
In Flat races5.3% vs 8.7% · n=94
On Standard (AW) going5.7% vs 8.7% · n=53
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Race type
TypeRWSR£1
Flat9455.3%+13.50
Chase16425%+2.50
Hurdle1119.1%−4.00
NH Flat6116.7%+0.00
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW)5335.7%+42.50
Good26415.4%−3.12
Good to Soft20210%−10.50
Good to Firm1815.6%−15.38
Soft7114.3%+1.50
Heavy200%−2.00
Firm100%−1.00
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Kempton (AW)2214.5%−14.50
Wolverhampton (AW)1815.6%+3.00
Lingfield (AW)700%−7.00
Bath7114.3%+1.50
Ascot700%−7.00
Kempton5120%+2.00
Chepstow500%−5.00
Windsor5120%−1.50
Leicester400%−4.00
Sandown4125%+5.00
Doncaster400%−4.00
Exeter4125%+0.00
Chelmsford (AW)4125%+63.00
Newmarket300%−3.00
Warwick300%−3.00
Class
ClassRWSR£1
Class 540410%+0.50
Class 63812.6%−32.00
Class 42627.7%−15.00
Class 316425%+65.50
Class 1500%−5.00
Class 2200%−2.00
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite14214.3%0.63−7.62
2nd–3rd fav31619.4%1.24+5.12
4th–6th fav3412.9%0.36−25.50
7th+ in betting4824.2%1.20+40.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
1m2f – 1m4f38410.5%+62.00
1m – 1m1f2700%−27.00
1m5f – 2m20210%−6.50
2m5f – 3m16425%+6.88
6f – 7f1400%−14.00
2m1f – 2m4f900%−9.00
Over 3m3133.3%−0.38
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
200813215.4%−1.00
200929310.3%+6.50
20101715.9%−13.00
201114214.3%−8.50
20128112.5%+1.00
20138112.5%−2.00
20141200%−12.00
2015300%−3.00
20161119.1%+56.00
20171200%−12.00
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps8878%+35.50
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
11-13 runners4712.1%−26.00
8-10 runners42614.3%+55.00
5-7 runners1616.3%−7.50
14-16 runners1300%−13.00
17+ runners6116.7%+1.00
2-4 runners3266.7%+2.50
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
All 14 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next
Of the 14 horses listed, 5 arrived from another yard in our archive; 9 had their first archived run for this yard.
6 have since run for another yard, most often for Martin Keighley (3); 8 have no later run for another yard in our archive.
Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.
When the yard fires
strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
00182101301113700
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Primogeniture (IRE) — Bentley Essex Handicap Chelmsford City (AW) · Jun 2016 · Class 3
£9,704
Dover's Hill (GB) — Mobile Betting At Paddypower.com Handicap Chase Sandown · Mar 2012 · Class 3
£7,148
Dover's Hill (GB) — Weatherbys Bloodstock Insurance Novices' Chase Market Rasen · Apr 2011 · Class 3
Progeny have won 11.2% of 1,371 runs since 2008 (131 horses).
Act One (GB)21.1% · 4–19
Progeny have won 11.3% of 1,731 runs since 2008 (151 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.5% from 279.
Sadler's Wells (USA)0% · 0–16
Progeny have won 11.3% of 4,636 runs since 2008 (370 horses). Strongest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 18.7% from 107.
Pivotal (GB)0% · 0–14
Progeny have won 13.6% of 12,787 runs since 2008 (1,019 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 7.4% from 108.
Glory of Dancer (GB)11.1% · 1–9
Progeny have won 12.2% of 98 runs since 2008 (3 horses).
American Post (GB)0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 10.1% of 2,964 runs since 2008 (263 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 13.9% from 108.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
latest 50 of 171 · newest first
The latest 50 of 171 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 12 April 2005 to 20 July 2017.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is Mary Hambro's strike rate?
Mary Hambro has won 11 of 127 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8.7% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Mary Hambro's Fair A/E?
0.88, from 127 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Mary Hambro·SR 8.7%·A/E 0.88
KTB
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