What is Michael Barry's strike rate?

Michael Barry has won 12 of 219 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 5.5% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Michael Barry do best at?

Limerick by strike rate: 2 wins from 36 runners (5.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Is Michael Barry in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Michael Barry's Fair A/E?

0.82, from 219 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Michael Barry

219 runners in the lifetime window · 21 individual horses

As at 28 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 10 days ago 97% of runners over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

12–219

Wins / Runs

5.5%

Strike rate

n=219

44 (20%)

Placed

0.82

Fair A/E

n=219 · 0.64 incl. margin

−105.25

£1 level stake

n=219 at SP · −48.1%

£141k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

7.4%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 6% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.82). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 8% off breaks of two months or more (38 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 219 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 28 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 7.9%

The read

The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 5.2% strike, Fair A/E 0.76 and −66.00 to a £1 stake over 116 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. The yard also reads well on Soft going (10.1%, n=69) and on Heavy going (9.4%, n=53). The record reads poorly on Good going — 0% over 60 runners, 5.5pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record: Colls Corner (IRE) — 5 wins from 52 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5.5% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

7.9%+2.4

n=38 · A/E 1.41 · £1 +6.00

Debutants · first career start

10.5%+5.0

n=19 · A/E 2.12 · £1 −7.50

First-time headgear · true-first definition

10%+4.5

n=10 · A/E 1.69 · £1 −6.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

33.3%+27.8

n=3 · A/E 9.23 · £1 +23.00

When favourite

11.1%

n=9 · A/E 0.46 · £1 −5.25

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

5.2%−0.3

n=116 · A/E 0.76 · £1 −66.00

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−5.5

n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On Good going 0% vs 5.5% · n=60

On Soft going 10.1% vs 5.5% · n=69

On Good to Soft going 0% vs 5.5% · n=33

On Heavy going 9.4% vs 5.5% · n=53

With horses switching code 2.3% vs 5.5% · n=43

Over 2m5f – 3m 8% vs 5.5% · n=88

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 128 7 5.5% −49.75

Chase 73 5 6.8% −37.50

NH Flat 11 0 0% −11.00

Flat 7 0 0% −7.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 69 7 10.1% −13.25

Good 60 0 0% −60.00

Heavy 53 5 9.4% +5.00

Good to Soft 33 0 0% −33.00

Good to Firm 4 0 0% −4.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Limerick 36 2 5.6% −28.25

Tramore 25 1 4% −15.00

Cork 20 0 0% −20.00

Clonmel 17 1 5.9% −12.00

Kilbeggan 15 0 0% −15.00

Wexford 13 0 0% −13.00

Killarney 12 1 8.3% −4.50

Ballinrobe 11 2 18.2% +2.50

Tipperary 9 0 0% −9.00

Thurles 7 1 14.3% +3.00

Naas 7 1 14.3% +19.00

Punchestown 7 1 14.3% +8.00

Roscommon 7 0 0% −7.00

Fairyhouse 6 0 0% −6.00

Gowran Park 5 0 0% −5.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 4 0 0% −4.00

Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 12 1 8.3% 0.39 −8.25

2nd–3rd fav 31 3 9.7% 0.71 −17.50

4th–6th fav 56 7 12.5% 1.68 +14.50

7th+ in betting 120 1 0.8% 0.27 −94.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

80.6% completed · 201 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 73 71.2% 8 3 10 0 0

Hurdle 128 85.9% 3 2 13 0 0

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Colls Corner (IRE) 52 5 14 19 Feb 15

Tuff Days (IRE) 34 0 4 2 Jul 26

Lucky Viv (IRE) 27 2 8 4 Feb 26

Tedworth (IRE) 22 1 1 4 Oct 26

Clare Gent (IRE) 16 0 2 18 Mar 12

Sweet As A Nut (IRE) 12 1 1 9 Apr 21

Another Blunder (IRE) 9 0 0 28 Sep 26

Kilmurry Jj (IRE)then Terence O'Brien 9 0 2 10 Jul 23

Dave And Bernie (IRE)then Oliver Signy 8 1 4 29 Aug 20

Bartlemy Boy (GB) 7 2 3 8 Jun 26

Veras Bar (IRE) 7 0 0 15 Aug 25

Firth Of Tara (IRE) 3 0 1 28 Mar 21

All 21 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 21 horses listed, none arrived from another yard in our archive — all 21 had their first archived run here.

5 have since run for another yard; 16 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 1

Only 1 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

020064508130017

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

RiderRWSR£1

Ambrose McCurtin 29 0 0% −29.00

Mike O'Connor 28 0 0% −28.00

John Allen 24 3 12.5% −5.25

John Shinnick 21 2 9.5% −1.50

Robert Jones 15 0 0% −15.00

Alan O'Sullivan 15 0 0% −15.00

Davy Condon 10 2 20% +24.00

J J Slevin 6 0 0% −6.00

Mr E P O'Brien 6 0 0% −6.00

Mr C J Shine 5 0 0% −5.00

Michael Kenneally 4 1 25% +6.00

Paddy Kennedy 4 0 0% −4.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2007→

Archived wins

£143k

Prize money

2026

Best season · 2 wins

This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Colls Corner (IRE) — Seamus Mulvaney Handicap Chase (0-123) Listowel · Sep 2012

£11,040

Colls Corner (IRE) — Holy Cross Novice Handicap Hurdle (81-109) Thurles · Dec 2008

£8,638

Lucky Viv (IRE) — Ladbrokes 'Gaffer Of All Accas' Mares Handicap Hurdle Punchestown · Feb 2025

£8,555

Notable horses

Colls Corner (IRE) Lucky Viv (IRE) Bartlemy Boy (GB) Tedworth (IRE) Sweet As A Nut (IRE) Dave And Bernie (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Beneficial (GB) 9.6% · 5–52

Progeny have won 10.4% of 17,044 runs since 2008 (1,155 horses).

Ask (GB) 0% · 0–34

Progeny have won 10.6% of 3,215 runs since 2008 (283 horses).

Yeats (IRE) 7.4% · 2–27

Progeny have won 11.9% of 9,825 runs since 2008 (705 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.9% from 204. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.3% from 818.

Sholokhov (IRE) 4.5% · 1–22

Progeny have won 12.5% of 4,261 runs since 2008 (421 horses). Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 8.9% from 157.

Papal Bull (GB) 6.3% · 1–16

Progeny have won 7.4% of 1,584 runs since 2008 (131 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 3.5% from 172. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 3.3% from 122.

Rashar (USA) 0% · 0–16

Progeny have won 6.3% of 997 runs since 2008 (122 horses). Strongest on Good going: 10.4% from 251. Weakest on Heavy going: 2.7% from 219.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 28 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 225 · newest first

The latest 50 of 225 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 6 January 2007 to 18 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

18 Oct 26 Limerick (IRE) Lucky Valley (IRE)J: Alan O'Sullivan PwC Mares Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Good To Yielding · 7 ran 5th 66/1

04 Oct 26 Killarney (IRE) Tedworth (IRE)J: John Shinnick Gleneagle Group Handicap Hurdle23f · Good To Yielding · 13 ran 9th 11/2

01 Oct 26 Clonmel (IRE) Tedworth (IRE)J: Michael Kenneally Glenary Handicap Hurdle23f · Good · 15 ran 4th 13/2J

28 Sep 26 Roscommon (IRE) Another Blunder (IRE)J: Mike O'Connor Gary's Gardening Services Handicap Hurdle15.5f · Good To Yielding · 16 ran 14th 16/1

07 Sep 26 Galway (IRE) Tedworth (IRE)J: Alan O'Sullivan WTW Willis Handicap Hurdle (Div I)22.5f · Yielding · 19 ran PU 12/1

28 Aug 26 Wexford (IRE) Tedworth (IRE)J: John Shinnick Treo Eile Handicap Hurdle (Div I)20.5f · Good · 14 ran 4th 13/2

28 Aug 26 Wexford (IRE) Another Blunder (IRE)J: Mike O'Connor Visitwexford.ie Handicap Hurdle17f · Good · 12 ran 4th 66/1

03 Aug 26 Cork (IRE) Another Blunder (IRE)J: Mike O'Connor Follow Us On Instagram Handicap Hurdle (Div I)17f · Good · 16 ran 10th 80/1

17 Jul 26 Killarney (IRE) Another Blunder (IRE)J: Alan O'Sullivan Killarney Grand Mares Maiden Hurdle23f · Good · 15 ran 8th 300/1

16 Jul 26 Killarney (IRE) Amazing Times (IRE)J: Miss J Walton Kate Kearney's Cottage (Ladies Pro/Am) Flat Race17f · Good · 15 ran 12th 66/1

16 Jul 26 Killarney (IRE) Tedworth (IRE)J: Dylan O'Connor Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Hurdle (Div II)20.5f · Good · 14 ran 7th 7/1

02 Jul 26 Limerick Tuff Days (IRE)J: Mike O'Connor Munster Suite At Limerick Races Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 2)22.5f · Good · 18 ran PU 40/1

15 Jun 26 Kilbeggan Another Blunder (IRE)J: Alan O'Sullivan Start Your Racing TV Free Trial Now Mares Hurdle19f · Good To Yielding · 8 ran 6th 200/1

08 Jun 26 Roscommon Bartlemy Boy (GB)J: Alan O'Sullivan Bet With Tote.ie On Racing & Sports Connacht National Handicap Chase25f · Yielding To Soft · 15 ran 8th 8/1

01 Jun 26 Listowel Bartlemy Boy (GB)J: Mr J C Barry Beasley Engineering Hunters Chase23.5f · Yielding · 11 ran 1st 10/1

31 May 26 Kilbeggan Tuff Days (IRE)J: Mike O'Connor Joe Quinn Transport Longford Handicap Hurdle (0-100)19f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 13th 33/1

29 May 26 Tramore Tedworth (IRE)J: Alan O'Sullivan Tramore Handicap Hurdle (0-100)21.5f · Good · 16 ran UR 4/1

28 May 26 Limerick Another Blunder (IRE)J: Alan O'Sullivan Daredevil Events Adrenaline Stunt Circus Maiden Hurdle16f · Yielding · 18 ran 13th 250/1

21 May 26 Limerick Tuff Days (IRE)J: Michael Kenneally Tote Guarantee, Never Beaten By SP Handicap Chase (0-100) (Div 1)22.5f · Good · 11 ran 6th 7/1

14 May 26 Clonmel Another Blunder (IRE)J: Alan O'Sullivan Watch Danny's Diary At ToteRacing Mares Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Good To Yielding · 18 ran 12th 125/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Michael Barry's strike rate?: Michael Barry has won 12 of 219 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 5.5% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Michael Barry do best at?: Limerick by strike rate: 2 wins from 36 runners (5.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Is Michael Barry in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Michael Barry's Fair A/E?: 0.82, from 219 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.