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Trainer profile

Michael Gates

267 runners in the lifetime window · 25 individual horses
As at 26 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 18 days ago 100% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2009→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
19–267
Wins / Runs
7.1%
Strike rate
n=267
44 (17%)
Placed
1.10
Fair A/E
n=267 · 0.97 incl. margin
−127.50
£1 level stake
n=267 at SP · −47.8%
£94,532
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 7% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.10).

Deterministic profile computed from 267 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 26 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Claiming riders: 7.9%
The read

Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 3.2% (n=63, Fair A/E 0.62). The yard also reads well in Chase races (13.3%, n=120) and over 2m5f – 3m (11.4%, n=88). The record reads poorly off a break of 180+ days — 0% over 30 runners, 7.1pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard in Hurdle races: Fair A/E 0.51 across 135 runners (2.2% strike, −112.50 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. The stable star of the record: Full Ov Beans (GB) — 8 wins from 46 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.1% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
3.2%−3.9
n=63 · A/E 0.62 · £1 −45.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−7.1
n=17 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −17.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−7.1
n=8 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −8.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−7.1
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−7.1
n=18 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −18.00
When favourite
33.3%
n=3 · A/E 1.48 · £1 +0.75
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
7.9%+0.8
n=216 · A/E 1.23 · £1 −91.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
In Chase races 13.3% vs 7.1% · n=120
With horses switching code 13% vs 7.1% · n=69
Off a break of 180+ days 0% vs 7.1% · n=30
In Hurdle races 2.2% vs 7.1% · n=135
Over 2m5f – 3m 11.4% vs 7.1% · n=88
On Good to Firm going 2.6% vs 7.1% · n=39
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 135 3 2.2% −112.50
Chase 120 16 13.3% −3.00
NH Flat 11 0 0% −11.00
Flat 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 137 13 9.5% −30.25
Good to Soft 42 2 4.8% −29.75
Good to Firm 39 1 2.6% −33.50
Soft 33 2 6.1% −24.50
Heavy 12 1 8.3% −5.50
Firm 2 0 0% −2.00
Standard (AW) 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Stratford 61 2 3.3% −49.50
Worcester 56 6 10.7% +3.50
Warwick 36 1 2.8% −32.25
Towcester 29 2 6.9% −13.00
Fakenham 25 6 24% +6.75
Leicester 12 0 0% −12.00
Uttoxeter 11 1 9.1% −5.00
Market Rasen 4 0 0% −4.00
Ludlow 4 0 0% −4.00
Southwell 3 1 33.3% +8.00
Chepstow 3 0 0% −3.00
Folkestone 3 0 0% −3.00
Catterick 2 0 0% −2.00
Sandown 2 0 0% −2.00
Aintree 2 0 0% −2.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 139 11 7.9% −52.00
Class 4 103 7 6.8% −59.50
Class 3 14 1 7.1% −5.00
Class 6 10 0 0% −10.00
Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 7 3 42.9% 2.01 +4.50
2nd–3rd fav 34 7 20.6% 1.29 +4.50
4th–6th fav 96 9 9.4% 1.30 −6.50
7th+ in betting 130 0 0% 0.00 −130.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
69.8% completed · 255 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 120 62.5% 10 4 31 0 0
Hurdle 135 76.3% 1 2 29 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Full Ov Beans (GB) 46 8 13 16 Oct 15
Handsome Buddy (IRE) 35 3 6 7 May 16
Crack At Dawn (IRE)from Paul Martin Pierce 28 5 10 10 Oct 13
Mezarat (ITY)from Stuart Williams 19 0 2 13 Feb 14
Watch House (IRE)from Paul Martin Pierce 19 2 5 18 Oct 13
Floating Rock (GER)from Mark Walford 15 0 1 19 Apr 26
Hitthekettle (IRE) 14 0 0 3 Jun 26
Carn Rock (GB) 13 1 4 22 Apr 16
Killegney (GB)from Colin Bowe 12 0 1 19 Sep 14
Collingbourneducis (IRE)from Michael Dods 9 0 0 19 Sep 14
Coach And Four (USA)from Simon Callaghan 9 0 0 5 Oct 11
Daybreak Boy (IRE)from Henry De Bromhead 6 0 0 24 Aug 23
All 25 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 25 horses listed, 17 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Paul Martin Pierce (3) and Shaun Lycett (3); 8 had their first archived run for this yard.

None of them has a later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
1405611047178118
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Nico de Boinville 29 2 6.9% −18.75
Peter Carberry 29 3 10.3% −16.25
Miss Ally Stirling 26 6 23.1% +23.00
Jonathan England 19 0 0% −19.00
Mikey Hamill 18 3 16.7% +0.50
David England 15 0 0% −15.00
Chris Ward 15 0 0% −15.00
Adam Wedge 15 2 13.3% +1.00
Ciaran Mckee 11 1 9.1% +4.00
Mr S Drinkwater 11 1 9.1% −4.00
Conor Ring 9 0 0% −9.00
Jake Hodson 7 0 0% −7.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2009→
19
Archived wins
£94,532
Prize money
2014
Best season · 9 wins
Full Ov Beans (GB) — At The Races Handicap Chase Fakenham · Dec 2014 · Class 3
£7,323
Full Ov Beans (GB) — David Keith Memorial Handicap Chase Fakenham · Apr 2014 · Class 4
£6,324
Full Ov Beans (GB) — Collect Totepool Winnings At Betfred Shops Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Chase Fakenham · Nov 2014 · Class 4
£3,994
Notable horses
Full Ov Beans (GB) Crack At Dawn (IRE) Handsome Buddy (IRE) Watch House (IRE) Carn Rock (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Midnight Legend (GB) 17.4% · 8–46
Progeny have won 14.2% of 8,309 runs since 2008 (494 horses).
Presenting (GB) 8.6% · 3–35
Progeny have won 11% of 20,050 runs since 2008 (1,686 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 24.3% from 136.
Insan (USA) 17.9% · 5–28
Progeny have won 11.3% of 362 runs since 2008 (45 horses). Strongest on Good going: 14.3% from 126.
Deploy (GB) 10.5% · 2–19
Progeny have won 9.5% of 839 runs since 2008 (112 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 5.4% from 149.
Dream Well (FR) 0% · 0–19
Progeny have won 11.6% of 1,165 runs since 2008 (135 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 15.2% from 210. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 0% from 111. Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 16.3% from 190. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 6.5% from 185.
It's Gino (GER) 0% · 0–15
Progeny have won 13.7% of 964 runs since 2008 (129 horses). Strongest on Good going: 23.4% from 222. Weakest on Soft going: 10.1% from 308. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 16.7% from 228.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 26 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 267 · newest first

The latest 50 of 267 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 24 February 2009 to 8 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
08 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Velardo (IRE)J: Clifford Lee Free Tips On attheraces.com EBF Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 11f · Standard · 7 ran 7th 25/1
30 Jun 26 Stratford Therhythmofthenite (FR)J: Tom Cannon Laura Horsfall Racing Club Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 19.5f · Good To Firm · 5 ran 4th 16/1
03 Jun 26 Warwick Therhythmofthenite (FR)J: Tom Cannon Taylor Wimpey Strategic Land Midlands Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20f · Good · 5 ran 3rd 25/1
03 Jun 26 Warwick Hitthekettle (IRE)J: Benjamin Macey Insight Surveyors Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 26f · Good · 8 ran PU 50/1
19 Apr 26 Stratford Floating Rock (GER)J: Benjamin Macey Green 4 Motor Company 30th Anniversary Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 26.5f · Good · 10 ran 6th 16/1
26 Mar 26 Warwick Hitthekettle (IRE)J: James Turner JCB Mini-Excavator Novices' Limited Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 26f · Good · 7 ran 4th 16/1
12 Feb 26 Leicester Hitthekettle (IRE)J: James Turner Join Racing TV Now Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 20f · Heavy · 6 ran PU 50/1
30 Oct 25 Stratford Floating Rock (GER)J: Jack Hogan Jumps Look Better On RacingTV Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 18.5f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 11th 25/1
18 Oct 25 Stratford Floating Rock (GER)J: James Turner Madeleine Wann - Weight Loss Coach Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 22f · Good · 7 ran 5th 20/1
15 Oct 25 Worcester Hitthekettle (IRE)J: James Turner Happy Birthday Chris Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 23f · Good · 9 ran PU 50/1
06 Oct 25 Stratford Floating Rock (GER)J: James Turner DragonBet Offer 10 Get 20 Conditional Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 22f · Good · 6 ran 5th 22/1
26 Sep 25 Worcester Floating Rock (GER)J: James Turner BetWright Bet The Wright Way Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 16.5f · Good · 11 ran PU 25/1
26 Sep 25 Worcester Hitthekettle (IRE)J: James Turner BetWright Bangers N'Cash Novices' Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 23f · Good · 3 ran 3rd 50/1
20 Jul 25 Stratford Floating Rock (GER)J: Chris Ward Hiorns Hats Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 22f · Good · 8 ran PU 12/1
13 Jul 25 Stratford Hitthekettle (IRE)J: Chris Ward Next Sunday Is Ladies Day Novices' Limited Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 22f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 4th 18/1
13 Jul 25 Stratford Floating Rock (GER)J: Chris Ward Esme & Ellie Allsopp Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 18.5f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 4th 33/1
21 Jul 24 Stratford Hitthekettle (IRE)J: Chris Ward Allan Atkinson Memorial Handicap Hurdle (Div 1)Class 5 · 26.5f · Good · 9 ran PU 18/1
19 Jun 24 Worcester Floating Rock (GER)J: Chris Ward Get Best Odds Guaranteed At planetsportbet Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 16.5f · Good · 11 ran PU 7/1
01 Jun 24 Stratford Floating Rock (GER)J: Chris Ward Visit racingtv.com Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 22f · Good · 10 ran 3rd 16/1
09 May 24 Stratford Hitthekettle (IRE)J: Chris Ward Bet At racingtv.com Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle (Div 2)Class 5 · 22f · Good · 8 ran 6th 25/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Michael Gates's strike rate?
Michael Gates has won 19 of 267 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.1% (as at 26 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Michael Gates do best at?
Worcester by strike rate: 6 wins from 56 runners (10.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is Michael Gates's Fair A/E?
1.10, from 267 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 26 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).