Daniel Cremin
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rode around 70 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 7% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.74). Rode mostly for Mick Channon — 43% of rides in the window.
It is weakest at Kempton (AW) (0% over 31 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 0% (n=51, Fair A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet claiming rides: 5.8% strike, Fair A/E 0.65 and −175.17 to a £1 stake over 309 rides — those runners underperformed what the price implied. Mick Channon supplied 43% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (5.1%, A/E 0.47). The rider also read well off a 15-30-day break (11.3%, n=106) and on Good to Soft going (10.8%, n=37). The record read poorly off a 61-180-day break — 0% over 31 rides, 6.6pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider off a 8-14-day break: Fair A/E 0.41 across 98 rides (4.1% strike, −76.50 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied. Seasonally, the rider fired Jun–Jul.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 6.6% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstBy month
strike by month, lifetimeRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2011→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 364 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 364 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 12 February 2011 to 31 October 2015.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Daniel Cremin's strike rate?
- Daniel Cremin has won 24 of 364 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 6.6% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Daniel Cremin do best at?
- Lingfield by strike rate: 2 wins from 44 rides (4.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Daniel Cremin ride most for?
- Mick Channon, with 157 rides since 2008 — 43% of the total. That pairing has won 8 (5.1%).
- What is Daniel Cremin's Fair A/E?
- 0.74, from 362 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.