Mme Victoria Head
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 20 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 10% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.92). Horses in first-time headgear strike at 16% (58 runs, true-first definition).
A horse in first-time headgear has been a positive signal at 15.5% (n=58, Fair A/E 1.62), but in Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 3.3% (n=60, Fair A/E 0.35). Ludovic Boisseau rides 16% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (11.8%, A/E 1.26) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The record reads poorly on Good going — 2.9% over 35 runners, 7.1pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard in Class 1: Fair A/E 0.35 across 60 runners (3.3% strike, −54.50 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. 2 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Prix de l'Allee des Philosophes at Chantilly (FR) (Mar 2023, £23,451). Seasonally, the yard fires Mar–Apr.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 10% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 10% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2022→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 432 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 432 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 15 April 2022 to 10 November 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Mme Victoria Head's strike rate?
- Mme Victoria Head has won 43 of 432 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 10% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Mme Victoria Head do best at?
- Saint-Cloud (FR) by strike rate: 12 wins from 84 runners (14.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for Mme Victoria Head?
- Ludovic Boisseau, with 68 runners since 2008 — 16% of the total. That pairing has won 8 (11.8%).
- Is Mme Victoria Head in form?
- Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 6 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is Mme Victoria Head's Fair A/E?
- 0.92, from 432 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.