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Trainer profile

Mrs Grainne M O'Connor

189 runners in the lifetime window · 33 individual horses
As at 13 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 81 days ago 98% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2009→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
10–189
Wins / Runs
5.3%
Strike rate
n=189
35 (19%)
Placed
0.78
Fair A/E
n=189 · 0.60 incl. margin
−59.38
£1 level stake
n=189 at SP · −31.4%
£117k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.78). With a claiming rider up the record reads 10% (83 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 189 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 13 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Claiming riders: 9.6%
The read

Runners with a claiming rider up have been a positive signal at 9.6% (n=83, Fair A/E 1.53). The yard also reads well off a 15-30-day break (10.8%, n=65) and on Soft going (10.3%, n=68). The record reads poorly on Heavy going — 1.6% over 63 runners, 3.7pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard over 2m1f – 2m4f: Fair A/E 0.57 across 71 runners (4.2% strike, −45.38 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5.3% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
2.4%−2.9
n=42 · A/E 0.36 · £1 −37.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−5.3
n=11 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −11.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−5.3
n=22 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −22.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
10%+4.7
n=10 · A/E 2.44 · £1 +31.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
20%+14.7
n=10 · A/E 3.97 · £1 +22.00
When favourite
16.7%
n=12 · A/E 0.65 · £1 −5.38
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
9.6%+4.3
n=83 · A/E 1.53 · £1 +36.62
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−5.3
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Off a 15-30-day break 10.8% vs 5.3% · n=65
On Soft going 10.3% vs 5.3% · n=68
With claiming riders up 9.6% vs 5.3% · n=83
On Heavy going 1.6% vs 5.3% · n=63
On Good going 2.6% vs 5.3% · n=39
Over 2m1f – 2m4f 4.2% vs 5.3% · n=71 · A/E 0.57
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 98 6 6.1% +0.62
Chase 71 4 5.6% −40.00
NH Flat 16 0 0% −16.00
Flat 4 0 0% −4.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 68 7 10.3% +4.62
Heavy 63 1 1.6% −52.00
Good 39 1 2.6% −34.00
Good to Soft 18 1 5.6% +23.00
Good to Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Limerick 27 2 7.4% +0.00
Thurles 16 3 18.8% +18.00
Tipperary 15 2 13.3% +31.00
Galway 14 0 0% −14.00
Ballinrobe 13 0 0% −13.00
Punchestown 13 0 0% −13.00
Fairyhouse 13 0 0% −13.00
Cork 12 1 8.3% +3.00
Clonmel 11 0 0% −11.00
Naas 9 1 11.1% −4.00
Listowel 7 0 0% −7.00
Gowran Park 6 1 16.7% −3.38
Killarney 6 0 0% −6.00
Roscommon 6 0 0% −6.00
Kilbeggan 5 0 0% −5.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 6 0 0% −6.00
Class 4 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 14 2 14.3% 0.59 −7.38
2nd–3rd fav 27 2 7.4% 0.57 −17.00
4th–6th fav 49 2 4.1% 0.63 −32.00
7th+ in betting 99 4 4% 1.49 −3.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
85.2% completed · 169 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 71 76.1% 4 2 11 0 0
Hurdle 98 91.8% 0 0 7 0 1
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Sherika (IRE)from Ciaran O'Brien · then David Harry Kelly 24 3 9 1 Feb 14
Brandy Harbour (GB)from John Neilan 23 4 12 27 Apr 23
Merry Moves (IRE) 22 1 4 27 Dec 23
Sliabh Mhuire Lass (IRE) 15 1 3 2 Nov 21
Dawn Flyer (IRE)from Augustine Leahy · then James M Barrett 12 0 1 3 Oct 14
Nanos Witness (IRE) 12 0 0 16 Mar 14
Fantastic Allen (FR) 8 0 0 13 Mar 22
Tullymackan (IRE) 7 0 0 13 May 13
Love Bite (IRE)from Nicky Henderson 6 1 1 25 Oct 25
True Light (IRE)from W P Mullins 6 0 0 22 Nov 24
Olor (IRE)then Norman Lee 6 0 0 21 Feb 14
I'm Serious (IRE)from Denis Gerard Hogan 5 0 1 10 Nov 20
All 33 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 33 horses listed, 11 arrived from another yard in our archive; 22 had their first archived run for this yard.

12 have since run for another yard, most often for David Dennis (2); 21 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
15068600005512
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Mr Derek O'Connor 22 1 4.5% −17.00
Diarmuid Moloney 14 3 21.4% +11.00
Martin Ferris 11 0 0% −11.00
Denis O'Regan 10 1 10% −5.00
Miss C F Macmahon 9 0 0% −9.00
Phillip Enright 9 0 0% −9.00
Ben Dalton 9 0 0% −9.00
Jordan Gainford 8 0 0% −8.00
Mr E Mahon 7 0 0% −7.00
Mark Enright 7 2 28.6% +6.62
J J Slevin 5 0 0% −5.00
Shane Crimin 4 0 0% −4.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2009→
10
Archived wins
£117k
Prize money
2023
Best season · 2 wins
Brandy Harbour (GB) — Coolmore N.H. Sires Capri Handicap Chase Cork · Apr 2023
£12,980
Sherika (IRE) — Matty Ryan Memorial Handicap Hurdle (81-123) Thurles · Jan 2014
£10,695
Brandy Harbour (GB) — Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Chase Thurles · Dec 2022
£10,030
Notable horses
Brandy Harbour (GB) Sherika (IRE) Merry Moves (IRE) Sliabh Mhuire Lass (IRE) Love Bite (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Beneficial (GB) 12.5% · 3–24
Progeny have won 10.4% of 17,047 runs since 2008 (1,155 horses).
Schiaparelli (GER) 17.4% · 4–23
Progeny have won 12.1% of 1,844 runs since 2015 (203 horses).
Sholokhov (IRE) 4.5% · 1–22
Progeny have won 12.5% of 4,285 runs since 2008 (424 horses). Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 8.9% from 157.
Grandera (IRE) 6.7% · 1–15
Progeny have won 1.3% of 79 runs since 2008 (11 horses).
Broadway Flyer (USA) 0% · 0–12
Progeny have won 11% of 743 runs since 2008 (68 horses).
Witness Box (USA) 0% · 0–12
Progeny have won 9.1% of 2,675 runs since 2008 (194 horses). Weakest on Good to Firm going: 4% from 173.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 13 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 189 · newest first

The latest 50 of 189 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 11 December 2009 to 24 August 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
24 Aug 26 Ballinrobe (IRE) Discrete (IRE)J: Tom Kelly Adare Manor Opportunity Maiden Hurdle18.5f · Good · 15 ran 10th 150/1
19 Aug 26 Sligo (IRE) Discrete (IRE)J: Shane Fitzgerald Solar Generation Maiden Hurdle20.5f · Good · 8 ran 7th 125/1
10 Aug 26 Ballinrobe (IRE) Discrete (IRE)J: Shane Fitzgerald Bank Of Ireland Brendan Maloney Memorial Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Good · 15 ran 7th 200/1
15 Jun 26 Kilbeggan Discrete (IRE)J: Mr B Leahy Midlands National On 10th July (Pro/Am) Flat Race16f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 13th 66/1
18 Nov 25 Limerick Orion D'oryvil (FR)J: Miss C F Macmahon Limerick (Ladies Pro/Am) Flat Race16f · Heavy · 7 ran 5th 25/1
13 Nov 25 Punchestown Listen Loud (IRE)J: Phillip Enright Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Academy Hurdle18.5f · Heavy · 14 ran 5th 18/1
25 Oct 25 Galway Love Bite (IRE)J: Aidan Kelly COLM QUINN BMW Handicap Hurdle (0-100)24f · Yielding · 16 ran 6th 9/1
06 Oct 25 Tipperary Love Bite (IRE)J: Aidan Kelly Tipperary Races On X Handicap Hurdle (0-100)23.5f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran 1st 40/1
27 Sep 25 Listowel Love Bite (IRE)J: Aidan Kelly Kathleen Walsh Memorial Handicap Hurdle (0-100)22f · Good To Yielding · 16 ran PU 25/1
25 Aug 25 Ballinrobe Love Bite (IRE)J: Aidan Kelly On-Course Bookmakers Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 2)22.5f · Good · 14 ran 7th 40/1
11 Aug 25 Ballinrobe Love Bite (IRE)J: Conor Stone-Walsh Broderick's Electric Handicap Hurdle (0-100)16.5f · Good · 15 ran 14th 80/1
13 May 25 Sligo Love Bite (IRE)J: Conor Stone-Walsh Kevin Egan Cars Peugeot Citreon Handicap Hurdle26f · Good · 12 ran 8th 33/1
22 Nov 24 Tipperary True Light (IRE)J: Jordan Gainford tipperaryraces Novice Handicap Hurdle (80-116)20.5f · Soft · 15 ran SU 50/1
26 Oct 24 Galway True Light (IRE)J: Danny Gilligan Connolly's RED MILLS Irish EBF Auction Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Yielding To Soft · 12 ran 8th 33/1
13 Oct 24 Cork True Light (IRE)J: Danny Gilligan Connolly's RED MILLS Irish EBF Auction Maiden Hurdle20.5f · Good · 9 ran 5th 33/1
04 Sep 24 Kilbeggan True Light (IRE)J: Jordan Gainford www.kilbegganraces.com Mares Maiden Hurdle19f · Yielding · 16 ran 5th 33/1
12 Aug 24 Ballinrobe True Light (IRE)J: Jordan Gainford Connolly's RED MILLS Irish EBF Auction Maiden Hurdle23f · Yielding To Soft · 6 ran 5th 66/1
18 Jul 24 Killarney Yeahgoonso Honey (IRE)J: Miss C F Macmahon Kate Kearney's (Ladies Pro/Am) Flat Race17f · Good · 12 ran 12th 250/1
18 Jul 24 Killarney Arctic Saint (IRE)J: Shane Fitzgerald Kerry Drain Services Handicap Hurdle (80-95)20.5f · Good · 15 ran 9th 14/1
08 Jul 24 Roscommon Yeahgoonso Honey (IRE)J: Miss C F Macmahon Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares (Ladies Pro/Am) Flat Race16f · Good · 14 ran 13th 250/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Mrs Grainne M O'Connor's strike rate?
Mrs Grainne M O'Connor has won 10 of 189 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 5.3% (as at 13 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Mrs Grainne M O'Connor's Fair A/E?
0.78, from 189 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 13 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).