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Trainer profile

Ms F M Crowley

124 runners in the lifetime window · 39 individual horses
As at 13 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Aug 2024
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
4–124
Wins / Runs
3.2%
Strike rate
n=124
14 (11%)
Placed
0.60
Fair A/E
n=124 · 0.44 incl. margin
−71.50
£1 level stake
n=124 at SP · −57.7%
£115k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 3% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.60). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 6% off breaks of two months or more (36 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 124 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 13 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 5.6%
The read

Runners with a claiming rider up have been a poor signal at 0% (n=45, Fair A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet the yard in Flat races: Fair A/E 0.38 across 92 runners (2.2% strike, −75.50 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. 7 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Boylesports Irish 1 000 Guineas at Curragh (IRE) (May 2005, £225,200). The stable star of the record: Cheyenne Star (IRE) — 8 wins from 23 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 3.2% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
5.6%+2.4
n=36 · A/E 1.16 · £1 −4.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−3.2
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−3.2
n=14 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −14.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−3.2
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−3.2
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
When favourite
0%
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
0%−3.2
n=45 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −45.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
16.7%+13.5
n=6 · A/E 1.57 · £1 −0.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 3.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With claiming riders up 0% vs 3.2% · n=45
With Martin Lane 0% vs 3.2% · n=38
With a new jockey booking 1.7% vs 3.2% · n=58 · A/E 0.34
In Flat races 2.2% vs 3.2% · n=92 · A/E 0.38
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 92 2 2.2% −75.50
Hurdle 26 2 7.7% +10.00
Chase 3 0 0% −3.00
NH Flat 3 0 0% −3.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 29 1 3.4% −18.00
Good 25 2 8% +1.50
Soft 23 1 4.3% −8.00
Heavy 21 0 0% −21.00
Good to Soft 13 0 0% −13.00
Good to Firm 10 0 0% −10.00
Firm 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Dundalk (AW) 29 1 3.4% −18.00
Curragh 13 0 0% −13.00
Leopardstown 11 1 9.1% −5.50
Navan 10 0 0% −10.00
Punchestown 7 0 0% −7.00
Fairyhouse 7 0 0% −7.00
Cork 5 1 20% +16.00
Wexford 4 1 25% +11.00
Down Royal 4 0 0% −4.00
Naas 4 0 0% −4.00
Killarney 4 0 0% −4.00
Tralee 3 0 0% −3.00
Tramore 3 0 0% −3.00
Bellewstown 3 0 0% −3.00
Gowran Park 3 0 0% −3.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 6 1 16.7% −0.50

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 4 0 0% 0.00 −4.00
2nd–3rd fav 10 1 10% 0.82 −4.50
4th–6th fav 34 2 5.9% 0.91 −8.00
7th+ in betting 76 1 1.3% 0.43 −55.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Courting Shinney (GB)then M P Sunderland 7 0 0 15 Oct 08
Vintage Barolo (IRE)then H Rogers 7 0 1 9 Jun 08
King Of Prussia (IRE)then Hugh Paul Finegan 7 1 3 31 May 08
Captains Girl (IRE)then Ms Joanna Morgan 6 0 0 15 Oct 08
Cheyenne Star (IRE) 6 1 3 12 Oct 08
Gower (GB)from Roger Charlton · then Richard Price 6 0 1 16 Jul 08
Ladbrokes Lad (IRE) 5 0 0 24 Oct 08
The Black Tiger (USA)from A P O'Brien 4 0 0 27 Aug 24
Moving Statue (IRE)then Christopher Phillips 4 0 0 3 Oct 08
Ravati (IRE)then P D Deegan 4 0 1 14 Sep 08
Mister Bannon (USA)then Mrs Y Dunleavy 4 0 1 28 Jul 08
Gimli's Storm (IRE)then Mrs John Harrington 4 0 0 11 Jul 08
All 39 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 39 horses listed, 4 arrived from another yard in our archive; 35 had their first archived run for this yard.

23 have since run for another yard, most often for Mrs John Harrington (3) and Ms Joanna Morgan (3); 16 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
00650060060·
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderMartin Lane
31% of all rides
0% SR · A/E 0.00
RiderRWSR£1
Martin Lane 38 0 0% −38.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
77
Archived wins
7
Pattern / graded wins
£1.71m
Prize money
2005
Best season · 30 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Saoire (GB) — Boylesports Irish 1 000 Guineas (Fillies) Curragh (IRE) · May 2005 · Group 1
£225,200
Cheyenne Star (IRE) — Ridgewood Pearl Stakes Curragh (IRE) · May 2007 · Group 3
£65,000
Cheyenne Star (IRE) — Irish Stallion Farms EBF Brownstown Stakes (Fillies Group 3) Leopardstown · Jul 2008 · Group 3
£58,500
Notable horses
Cheyenne Star (IRE) Kells Castle (GB) Hanicor (IRE) Noend (IRE) Brogella (IRE) Kempes (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
King's Theatre (IRE) 0% · 0–9
Progeny have won 14.4% of 12,129 runs since 2008 (746 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 4.8% from 125. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 7.9% from 203.
Captain Rio (GB) 0% · 0–7
Progeny have won 9.5% of 6,912 runs since 2008 (423 horses).
Elnadim (USA) 0% · 0–7
Progeny have won 9.8% of 3,353 runs since 2008 (216 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.5% from 108. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 3.3% from 152.
Mull of Kintyre (USA) 0% · 0–7
Progeny have won 9% of 2,100 runs since 2008 (160 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 12.2% from 409. Weakest on Soft going: 4.6% from 306.
Sinndar (IRE) 14.3% · 1–7
Progeny have won 11.3% of 3,410 runs since 2008 (394 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.2% from 256. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 5.3% from 132.
Statue Of Liberty (USA) 0% · 0–7
Progeny have won 8.5% of 2,513 runs since 2008 (210 horses). Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 12.6% from 119.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 13 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 910 · newest first

The latest 50 of 910 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 15 January 2005 to 27 August 2024.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
27 Aug 24 Bellewstown The Black Tiger (USA)J: Ms Hannah Smullen Ploughman Bar & Grill (Q.R.) Handicap17.5f · Good To Yielding · 13 ran 13th 50/1
27 Jul 24 Gowran Park The Black Tiger (USA)J: Hugh Horgan Gowran Park Handicap8f · Good · 12 ran 11th 80/1
29 Jun 24 Curragh The Black Tiger (USA)J: Ms Hannah Smullen Kildare Village Ladies Derby Handicap10f · Yielding To Soft · 11 ran 10th 28/1
17 May 24 Leopardstown The Black Tiger (USA)J: Ms Hannah Smullen Women's Irish Network For Racing Lady Riders Handicap12f · Good · 11 ran 8th 40/1
21 Nov 08 Dundalk (AW) Hanicor (IRE)J: Martin Lane Fitzwilliam Business centre Stakes8f · Standard · 14 ran 12th 25/1
24 Oct 08 Dundalk (AW) Ladbrokes Lad (IRE)J: N G McCullagh Cumiskey Real Estates Handicap (60-95)7f · Standard · 11 ran 7th 25/1
20 Oct 08 Curragh Flying Ensign (IRE)J: Martin Lane TRI Equestrian Alamshar EBF Fillies Maiden8f · Heavy · 21 ran 14th 50/1
19 Oct 08 Fairyhouse Urdiman (IRE)J: Pat Smullen Ballyhack Median Auction Maiden7f · Soft To Heavy · 13 ran 10th 25/1
17 Oct 08 Dundalk (AW) Ladbrokes Lad (IRE)J: N G McCullagh Roma For Authentic Mediterranean Goodness Handicap (60-90)10.5f · Standard · 14 ran 13th 25/1
15 Oct 08 Punchestown Captains Girl (IRE)J: Roger Loughran Tote Sports Lounge at Punchestown Maiden Hurdle16f · Soft To Heavy · 25 ran 13th 25/1
15 Oct 08 Punchestown Courting Shinney (GB)J: Martin Lane Tote Sports Lounge at Punchestown Maiden Hurdle16f · Soft To Heavy · 25 ran 6th 20/1
12 Oct 08 Naas Cheyenne Star (IRE)J: Declan McDonogh Castlemartin Stud EBF Garnet Fillies Stakes (Listed)8f · Soft · 18 ran 16th 10/1
11 Oct 08 Fairyhouse Gimli's Knight (IRE)J: Robbie McNamara Membership 2009 (C&G) INH Flat Race16f · Soft To Heavy · 14 ran 9th 12/1
10 Oct 08 Dundalk (AW) Hanicor (IRE)J: Pat Smullen White & Ahern Fine Foods Handicap (50-70)10.5f · Standard · 14 ran 1st 10/1
08 Oct 08 Navan Master Of Design (IRE)J: Martin Lane Ledwige Maiden10f · Soft To Heavy · 20 ran 18th 50/1
08 Oct 08 Navan Flying Ensign (IRE)J: Declan McDonogh Ledwige Maiden10f · Soft To Heavy · 20 ran 15th 50/1
04 Oct 08 Gowran Park Ladbrokes Lad (IRE)J: Tom Doyle Kilford Arms 3-y-o Hurdle16f · Good · 18 ran 14th 14/1
03 Oct 08 Dundalk (AW) Moving Statue (IRE)J: N G McCullagh Dundalk Nursery Handicap (50-70)7f · Standard · 14 ran 10th 14/1
01 Oct 08 Tralee Courting Shinney (GB)J: Martin Lane Lee Strand 3-y-o Maiden Hurdle17f · Soft To Heavy · 17 ran UR 11/1
01 Oct 08 Tralee Ladbrokes Lad (IRE)J: R Walsh Lee Strand 3-y-o Maiden Hurdle17f · Soft To Heavy · 17 ran PU 5/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Ms F M Crowley's strike rate?
Ms F M Crowley has won 4 of 124 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 3.2% (as at 13 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Ms F M Crowley's Fair A/E?
0.60, from 124 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 13 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).