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Trainer profile

Noel Brett

90 runners in the lifetime window · 8 individual horses
As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner May 2023 100% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
4–90
Wins / Runs
4.4%
Strike rate
n=90
9 (10%)
Placed
0.92
Fair A/E
n=90 · 0.70 incl. margin
−47.50
£1 level stake
n=90 at SP · −52.8%
£30,559
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4.4% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
4%−0.4
n=25 · A/E 0.94 · £1 −12.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−4.4
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−4.4
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−4.4
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−4.4
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
0%−4.4
n=27 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −27.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Over 1m5f – 2m 0% vs 4.4% · n=35
Over 2m1f – 2m4f 7.9% vs 4.4% · n=38
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 77 4 5.2% −34.50
Chase 13 0 0% −13.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 40 2 5% −25.50
Heavy 37 2 5.4% −9.00
Good 7 0 0% −7.00
Good to Soft 4 0 0% −4.00
Good to Firm 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Fairyhouse 17 3 17.6% +16.50
Cork 12 0 0% −12.00
Thurles 11 1 9.1% −2.00
Punchestown 8 0 0% −8.00
Clonmel 7 0 0% −7.00
Naas 6 0 0% −6.00
Limerick 5 0 0% −5.00
Tipperary 5 0 0% −5.00
Gowran Park 5 0 0% −5.00
Killarney 3 0 0% −3.00
Navan 3 0 0% −3.00
Listowel 2 0 0% −2.00
Sligo 2 0 0% −2.00
Leopardstown 1 0 0% −1.00
Bellewstown 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 1 0 0% 0.00 −1.00
2nd–3rd fav 10 1 10% 0.89 −4.50
4th–6th fav 15 2 13.3% 1.92 +7.00
7th+ in betting 64 1 1.6% 0.52 −49.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
91.1% completed · 90 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 13 100% 0 0 0 0 0
Hurdle 77 89.6% 1 1 6 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Dactik (IRE)from Kevin Prendergast 40 3 5 1 Dec 16
Drishogue Boy (IRE) 19 1 1 24 May 22
Lake Field (IRE)then J R Barry 11 0 1 14 May 15
Carroll's Pride (IRE) 7 0 0 23 May 23
Trefflich (GER)from Paul Nolan 4 0 0 17 Sep 08
Stow's Pearl (IRE) 3 0 1 25 May 21
Carroll's Pearl (IRE) 3 0 0 27 Nov 08
Eastern Path (IRE)from P M Hurley 3 0 1 8 Mar 08
All 8 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 8 horses listed, 3 arrived from another yard in our archive; 5 had their first archived run for this yard.

1 has since run for another yard; 7 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
01370000004000
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderD G Hogan
33% of all rides
3.3% SR · A/E 0.75
RiderRWSR£1
D G Hogan 30 1 3.3% −21.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
6
Archived wins
£52,458
Prize money
2012
Best season · 2 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Sheshali (IRE) — Kilford Arms 3-y-o Hurdle Gowran Park · Oct 2007
£11,747
Dactik (IRE) — Tote Sports Lounge Novice Handicap Hurdle (80-116) Fairyhouse · Feb 2013
£6,900
Sheshali (IRE) — Kilmore 3-Y-O Maiden Hurdle Clonmel (IRE) · Sep 2007
£5,874
Notable horses
Dactik (IRE) Sheshali (IRE) Drishogue Boy (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Diktat (GB) 7.5% · 3–40
Progeny have won 8.2% of 4,931 runs since 2008 (337 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 11.4% from 431. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 5.1% from 156.
Dr Massini (IRE) 5.3% · 1–19
Progeny have won 10.6% of 4,942 runs since 2008 (406 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 14% from 421.
Golan (IRE) 0% · 0–11
Progeny have won 8.7% of 3,151 runs since 2008 (288 horses). Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.4% from 258.
Mahler (GB) 0% · 0–7
Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,878 runs since 2014 (788 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.1% from 119.
Polish Precedent (USA) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 7.3% of 838 runs since 2008 (80 horses). Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 11% from 145.
Carroll House (IRE) 0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 6.2% of 1,033 runs since 2008 (133 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 105 · newest first

The latest 50 of 105 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 17 February 2005 to 23 May 2023.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
23 May 23 Punchestown Carroll's Pride (IRE)J: Donagh Meyler Join Us For Summer In Town Mini Festival Handicap Hurdle (80-95) (Div 2)19.5f · Good To Yielding · 16 ran 7th 16/1
06 May 23 Cork Carroll's Pride (IRE)J: Donagh Meyler Racing Again May 17th Handicap Hurdle (80-95)25f · Yielding · 17 ran 7th 33/1
09 Apr 23 Cork Carroll's Pride (IRE)J: Donagh Meyler O'flynn Motors Mallow Mares Maiden Hurdle19f · Yielding · 13 ran 6th 150/1
24 May 22 Punchestown Drishogue Boy (IRE)J: Mark McDonagh Bar One Racing Bet In-Play Handicap Hurdle (80-95) (Div 2)24f · Good · 21 ran 13th 66/1
17 Apr 22 Cork Carroll's Pride (IRE)J: Richard Deegan O'Flynn Motors Mallow Mares Maiden Hurdle19f · Heavy · 17 ran 8th 200/1
24 Mar 22 Cork Carroll's Pride (IRE)J: Richard Deegan corkracecourse.ie Maiden Hurdle20f · Good · 11 ran 5th 150/1
16 Dec 21 Naas Carroll's Pride (IRE)J: Sean O'Keeffe Extra Places Everyday At BetVictor Mares Maiden Hurdle16f · Yielding · 24 ran 20th 300/1
09 Jul 21 Cork Carroll's Pride (IRE)J: Ian McCarthy CorkRacecourse.ie Maiden Hurdle16f · Good To Yielding · 18 ran 11th 125/1
25 May 21 Tipperary Stow's Pearl (IRE)J: Sean O'Keeffe Thank You To All The Frontline Workers Maiden Hurdle (Div 2)24f · Heavy · 11 ran 3rd 22/1
25 Mar 21 Cork Stow's Pearl (IRE)J: Richard Deegan corkracecourse.ie Maiden Hurdle (Div 1)20f · Yielding · 16 ran 9th 125/1
14 Mar 21 Naas Stow's Pearl (IRE)J: Sean O'Keeffe Bar One Racing 'We'll Lay To Lose A Million' Maiden Hurdle19f · Soft · 16 ran 14th 150/1
21 Jan 17 Navan Drishogue Boy (IRE)J: Ian McCarthy Meath Handicap Hurdle (80-109)20f · Soft · 19 ran 15th 50/1
26 Dec 16 Limerick Drishogue Boy (IRE)J: Ian McCarthy Mr. Binman Handicap Chase (0-116)19.5f · Heavy · 12 ran 7th 33/1
01 Dec 16 Thurles Dactik (IRE)J: Ambrose McCurtin Martinstown Opportunity Handicap Hurdle (80-95)23.5f · Yielding · 18 ran F 20/1
16 Nov 16 Fairyhouse Dactik (IRE)J: Phillip Enright Book Easter Festival Tickets Online At fairyhouse.ie Handicap Hurdle (80-95) (Div 1)20f · Soft · 16 ran 8th 22/1
23 May 16 Sligo Drishogue Boy (IRE)J: Phillip Enright Callan Tansey Solicitors Handicap Hurdle (80-95) (Div 2)16f · Good To Yielding · 16 ran 15th 25/1
05 Apr 16 Fairyhouse Dactik (IRE)J: Donagh Meyler Like Fairyhouse On Facebook Handicap Hurdle (80-95)20f · Soft To Heavy · 24 ran 17th 20/1
14 Mar 16 Cork Dactik (IRE)J: Mr E P O'Brien Money Back On Fallers At Coral.ie (Q.R.) Handicap Hurdle (80-102)20f · Soft To Heavy · 10 ran 6th 20/1
05 Mar 16 Gowran Park Drishogue Boy (IRE)J: D G Hogan Gowran Park Golf Club Captains 2016 Handicap Hurdle (80-109)20f · Soft · 10 ran 8th 66/1
27 Feb 16 Navan Drishogue Boy (IRE)J: Alan Crowe Garlow Cross Handicap Hurdle20f · Soft To Heavy · 16 ran 12th 33/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Noel Brett's strike rate?
Noel Brett has won 4 of 90 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 4.4% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Noel Brett's Fair A/E?
0.92, from 90 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 6 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).