What is Peter Lawlor's strike rate?

Peter Lawlor has won 17 of 156 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 10.9% (as at 1 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Peter Lawlor do best at?

Dundalk (AW) by strike rate: 6 wins from 42 runners (14.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

What is Peter Lawlor's Fair A/E?

1.64, from 156 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Peter Lawlor

156 runners in the lifetime window · 15 individual horses

As at 1 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 16 days ago

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2020→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

17–156

Wins / Runs

10.9%

Strike rate

n=156

36 (23%)

Placed

1.64

Fair A/E

n=156 · 1.31 incl. margin

+5.33

£1 level stake

n=156 at SP · +3.4%

£188k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

9.1%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, winning with 11% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.64). With a claiming rider up the record reads 16% (45 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 156 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 1 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Claiming riders: 15.6%

The read

The record is strongest at Dundalk (AW) (14.3%, n=42), clear of the yard's 10.9% baseline. Runners with a claiming rider up have been a positive signal at 15.6% (n=45, Fair A/E 2.44). The yard also reads well over 1m5f – 2m (20.5%, n=39). The record reads poorly over 1m – 1m1f — 4.5% over 44 runners, 6.4pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record: Numidia (IRE) — 6 wins from 61 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10.9% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

6.9%−4.0

n=29 · A/E 1.30 · £1 −16.00

New recruits · first run for the yard

0%−10.9

n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00

Debutants · first career start

12.5%+1.6

n=8 · A/E 2.54 · £1 −1.50

First-time headgear · true-first definition

20%+9.1

n=5 · A/E 4.41 · £1 +0.50

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

12.5%+1.6

n=8 · A/E 1.70 · £1 −2.00

When favourite

40%

n=5 · A/E 1.72 · £1 +2.33

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

15.6%+4.7

n=45 · A/E 2.44 · £1 +41.33

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−10.9

n=13 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −13.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

Over 1m5f – 2m 20.5% vs 10.9% · n=39

Over 1m – 1m1f 4.5% vs 10.9% · n=44

On Soft going 5.1% vs 10.9% · n=39

With claiming riders up 15.6% vs 10.9% · n=45

With a new jockey booking 14.3% vs 10.9% · n=56

At Dundalk (AW) 14.3% vs 10.9% · n=42

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 138 14 10.1% +4.83

Hurdle 12 1 8.3% −5.50

NH Flat 6 2 33.3% +6.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 47 6 12.8% +23.00

Standard (AW) 42 6 14.3% −4.17

Soft 39 2 5.1% −23.50

Heavy 16 1 6.3% +10.00

Good to Soft 10 2 20% +2.00

Good to Firm 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Dundalk (AW) 42 6 14.3% −4.17

Gowran Park 17 0 0% −17.00

Leopardstown 14 3 21.4% +8.00

Naas 13 0 0% −13.00

Down Royal 12 2 16.7% +8.50

Punchestown 8 0 0% −8.00

Curragh 7 1 14.3% +19.00

Fairyhouse 7 1 14.3% +1.00

Cork 6 0 0% −6.00

Navan 6 0 0% −6.00

Roscommon 5 0 0% −5.00

Bellewstown 4 1 25% +22.00

Killarney 3 1 33.3% +3.50

Limerick 3 0 0% −3.00

Galway 3 2 66.7% +11.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 13 0 0% −13.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 5 2 40% 1.72 +2.33

2nd–3rd fav 32 8 25% 1.78 +19.00

4th–6th fav 34 4 11.8% 1.46 +2.00

7th+ in betting 85 3 3.5% 1.55 −18.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Numidia (IRE) 61 6 15 21 Aug 26

Joupe (IRE)from Peter Maher 30 4 9 7 May 25

Summer Snow (IRE)from M D O'Callaghan 20 3 6 16 Oct 26

Lovesome Dove (IRE) 11 0 0 24 Feb 23

Murat (IRE) 10 4 6 2 Sep 26

The Fly Window (IRE) 5 0 0 4 Mar 26

Starlight Rose (IRE)then Thomas Dowling 5 0 0 6 Jul 22

Sarangpur (IRE)then Paul Mulligan 3 0 0 19 Oct 25

Sea The Dawn (IRE)from Mrs John Harrington 3 0 0 16 Aug 23

The Lodge Lane (IRE) 2 0 0 24 Aug 26

Threescoreandten (IRE)from Denis Gerard Hogan · then Peter Fahey 2 0 0 16 Apr 22

My Uncle Jack (IRE) 1 0 0 13 May 26

All 15 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 15 horses listed, 7 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Denis Gerard Hogan (2); 8 had their first archived run for this yard.

4 have since run for another yard, most often for Paul Mulligan (2); 11 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

017007113111571825

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderRory Cleary

29% of all rides
8.7% SR · A/E 1.91

RiderRWSR£1

Rory Cleary 46 4 8.7% −5.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2020→

Archived wins

£188k

Prize money

2025

Best season · 6 wins

Summer Snow (IRE) — caulfieldindustrial.com Handicap Galway · Jul 2025

£10,620

Murat (IRE) — Fr. Breen Memorial (Pro/Am) Flat Race Galway · Aug 2025

£10,030

Murat (IRE) — Hurling For Cancer Research Supported By Centra On July 24th (Q.R.) Race Leopardstown · Jul 2026

£9,600

Notable horses

Numidia (IRE) Joupe (IRE) Murat (IRE) Summer Snow (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Estidhkaar (IRE) 9.8% · 6–61

Progeny have won 6.9% of 1,591 runs since 2020 (112 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 11.8% from 119. Weakest on Soft going: 2.6% from 229.

Lope De Vega (IRE) 13.3% · 4–30

Progeny have won 13.8% of 12,206 runs since 2014 (1,107 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 9.4% from 960.

El Kabeir (USA) 12% · 3–25

Progeny have won 6.8% of 1,231 runs since 2021 (116 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 11.6% from 173. Strongest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 10.1% from 426. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 3.7% from 348.

Bungle Inthejungle (GB) 0% · 0–11

Progeny have won 8.8% of 4,240 runs since 2018 (353 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 2.4% from 123. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 2.4% from 124.

Eliot (GER) 40% · 4–10

Progeny have won 18.7% of 75 runs since 2019 (6 horses).

Kingston Hill (GB) 0% · 0–5

Progeny have won 9.1% of 1,647 runs since 2019 (204 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 5.4% from 168.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 1 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 156 · newest first

The latest 50 of 156 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 20 November 2020 to 16 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

16 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Summer Snow (IRE)J: Patrick McGettigan View Restaurant At Dundalk Stadium Handicap10.5f · Standard · 14 ran 12th 25/1

21 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) Summer Snow (IRE)J: Patrick McGettigan GAIN The Advantage Series Handicap8f · Yielding · 15 ran 8th 14/1

08 Sep 26 Galway (IRE) Summer Snow (IRE)J: Joseph Harnett BOYLE Sports Apprentice Handicap12f · Soft · 15 ran 10th 40/1

02 Sep 26 Navan (IRE) Murat (IRE)J: Mr H C Swan Kilberry (Q.R.) Handicap16f · Good · 16 ran 9th 7/2

31 Aug 26 Roscommon (IRE) Summer Snow (IRE)J: Patrick McGettigan Oran Handicap12f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran 15th 40/1

24 Aug 26 Ballinrobe (IRE) The Lodge Lane (IRE)J: Mr S Connor Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Flat Race16.5f · Good · 11 ran 11th 12/1

21 Aug 26 Killarney (IRE) Murat (IRE)J: Mr H C Swan HR Buddy (Q.R.) Race17f · Good · 8 ran 2nd 6/4

21 Aug 26 Killarney (IRE) Numidia (IRE)J: Mel Sheridan Killarney Towers Hotel & Leisure Centre Apprentice Handicap14.5f · Good · 9 ran 8th 33/1

18 Aug 26 Roscommon (IRE) Summer Snow (IRE)J: Patrick McGettigan Class Grass Handicap12f · Good To Yielding · 16 ran 3rd 14/1

08 Aug 26 Wexford (IRE) The Lodge Lane (IRE)J: Mr H C Swan Racing Again 28th August Fillies Flat Race16f · Good · 7 ran 3rd 10/1

07 Aug 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Numidia (IRE)J: Miss N Fahey 1XBET.IE COMMITMENT TO IRISH RACING (Ladies) Handicap12.5f · Good · 9 ran 8th 5/1

07 Aug 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Summer Snow (IRE)J: Gavin Ryan Edward Doran's Birthday Handicap7f · Good · 12 ran 8th 8/1

17 Jul 26 Down Royal (IRE) Numidia (IRE)J: Mel Sheridan GAIN The Advantage Series Apprentice Handicap13f · Good · 7 ran 1st 9/2

09 Jul 26 Leopardstown Murat (IRE)J: Mr H C Swan Hurling For Cancer Research Supported By Centra On July 24th (Q.R.) Race15f · Good · 5 ran 1st 7/2

02 Jul 26 Bellewstown Numidia (IRE)J: Mel Sheridan McNallys Pharmacy Apprentice Handicap (0-60)14.5f · Good · 12 ran 1st 25/1

26 Jun 26 Curragh Summer Snow (IRE)J: Patrick McGettigan Silken Thomas And Lock 13 Handicap8f · Good · 20 ran 17th 33/1

20 Jun 26 Down Royal Murat (IRE)J: Rory Cleary Event Co Marquees Maiden13f · Soft · 9 ran 7th 15/2

20 Jun 26 Down Royal Numidia (IRE)J: Rory Cleary Mount Charles Handicap (0-60)13f · Soft · 14 ran 8th 16/1

19 Jun 26 Down Royal Summer Snow (IRE)J: Killian Leonard Proparamedics And Medicall Handicap7f · Soft · 9 ran 5th 4/1

26 May 26 Dundalk (AW) Numidia (IRE)J: Rory Cleary Family Fun Day Saturday 15th August Handicap (0-60)12f · Standard · 13 ran 7th 18/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Peter Lawlor's strike rate?: Peter Lawlor has won 17 of 156 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 10.9% (as at 1 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Peter Lawlor do best at?: Dundalk (AW) by strike rate: 6 wins from 42 runners (14.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is Peter Lawlor's Fair A/E?: 1.64, from 156 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.