Richard Gibson
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 10 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 18% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.78). Debutants are a strength: 24% on first career starts (45 runs).
The record is strongest at Maisons-Laffitte (FR) (29.4%, n=34) and Saint-Cloud (FR) (27.5%, n=40) — all clear of the yard's 18.4% baseline. It is weakest at Deauville (FR) (7.1% over 42 runners) — the largest sample in the record, and the widest gap. Debutants strike at 24.4% (n=45, Fair A/E 0.00), but in Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 6.5% (n=62, Fair A/E 0.53). Stephane Pasquier rides 28% of the entries and edges the yard's average (22.2% vs 18.4%, A/E 0.52). The record reads poorly in Class 1 — 6.5% over 62 runners, 11.9pts below the baseline. 9 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Grand Prix de Chantilly at Chantilly (FR) (Jun 2008, £54,485).
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 18.4% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 18.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 452 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 452 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 17 March 2005 to 24 June 2023.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Richard Gibson's strike rate?
- Richard Gibson has won 42 of 228 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 18.4% (as at 8 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Richard Gibson do best at?
- Maisons-Laffitte (FR) by strike rate: 10 wins from 34 runners (29.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for Richard Gibson?
- Stephane Pasquier, with 63 runners since 2008 — 28% of the total. That pairing has won 14 (22.2%).
- What is Richard Gibson's Fair A/E?
- 0.78, from 115 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.