What is Rose Dobbin's strike rate?

Rose Dobbin has won 195 of 1,952 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 10% (as at 30 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Rose Dobbin do best at?

Doncaster by strike rate: 8 wins from 62 runners (12.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Rose Dobbin?

Craig Nichol, with 740 runners since 2008 — 38% of the total. That pairing has won 81 (10.9%).

What is Rose Dobbin's Fair A/E?

0.93, from 1,949 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Rose Dobbin

1,952 runners in the lifetime window · 179 individual horses

As at 30 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner May 2024 99% of runners over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2009→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

195–1,952

Wins / Runs

10%

Strike rate

n=1,952

539 (28%)

Placed

0.93

Fair A/E

n=1,949 · 0.81 incl. margin

−665.53

£1 level stake

n=1,952 at SP · −34.1%

£1.60m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

5.1%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 100 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 10% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.93).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,952 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 30 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires May–Jul 28.3% when favourite Craig Nichol: 10.9% from 740 Sends off the favourite in 9% of races

The read

A horse in first-time headgear has been a poor signal at 6% (n=84, Fair A/E 0.63). Debutants are the standout value angle: 11.4% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.37 and +31.33 to a £1 stake over 114 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Craig Nichol rides 38% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (10.9%, A/E 0.94). The yard also reads well on Good to Firm going (17.7%, n=62). One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Betfred Eider at Newcastle (Feb 2016, £53,176). The stable star of the record: Robin's Command (IRE) — 8 wins from 29 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires May–Jul.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

8.9%−1.1

n=530 · A/E 0.96 · £1 −211.01

New recruits · first run for the yard

6.1%−3.9

n=66 · A/E 0.69 · £1 −46.38

Debutants · first career start

11.4%+1.4

n=114 · A/E 1.37 · £1 +31.33

First-time headgear · true-first definition

6%−4.0

n=84 · A/E 0.63 · £1 −32.50

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

10.9%+0.9

n=46 · A/E 1.23 · £1 +12.00

When favourite

28.3%

n=166 · A/E 0.98 · £1 −26.17

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

9.5%−0.5

n=559 · A/E 0.90 · £1 −195.47

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

9.1%−0.9

n=11 · A/E 1.35 · £1 −2.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 18.5% vs 10% · n=200

With Richie McGrath 0% vs 10% · n=54

With Conor O'Farrell 17.7% vs 10% · n=130

With C&D winners 16.2% vs 10% · n=204

With Shaun Dobbin 18.9% vs 10% · n=37

On Good to Firm going 17.7% vs 10% · n=62

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 1,071 86 8% −450.29

Chase 736 97 13.2% −180.82

NH Flat 121 12 9.9% −10.42

Flat 24 0 0% −24.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 628 72 11.5% −188.60

Soft 518 48 9.3% −227.79

Good to Soft 513 38 7.4% −157.55

Heavy 223 26 11.7% −69.90

Good to Firm 62 11 17.7% −13.69

Standard (AW) 8 0 0% −8.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Kelso 358 44 12.3% −53.88

Newcastle 197 12 6.1% −121.81

Perth 173 21 12.1% −66.48

Carlisle 172 20 11.6% −63.42

Ayr 168 17 10.1% −63.80

Musselburgh 167 20 12% +0.25

Wetherby 158 17 10.8% −46.35

Sedgefield 145 15 10.3% −29.00

Hexham 135 12 8.9% −55.79

Catterick 91 3 3.3% −72.00

Doncaster 62 8 12.9% −9.75

Market Rasen 27 2 7.4% −14.00

Cartmel 26 1 3.8% −20.00

Haydock 21 2 9.5% −4.00

Southwell 10 0 0% −10.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 1,017 108 10.6% −394.60

Class 5 555 53 9.5% −141.64

Class 3 251 25 10% −89.04

Class 6 78 4 5.1% −32.00

Class 2 40 4 10% −6.25

Class 1 11 1 9.1% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 203 54 26.6% 0.97 −37.84

2nd–3rd fav 477 82 17.2% 1.05 −55.69

4th–6th fav 676 48 7.1% 0.88 −204.00

7th+ in betting 596 11 1.8% 0.52 −368.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

2m5f – 3m 653 76 11.6% −198.92

2m1f – 2m4f 610 47 7.7% −265.97

1m5f – 2m 503 49 9.7% −164.72

Over 3m 164 23 14% −13.92

1m2f – 1m4f 13 0 0% −13.00

1m – 1m1f 8 0 0% −8.00

6f – 7f 1 0 0% −1.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2009 22 0 0% −22.00

2010 116 11 9.5% −51.09

2011 121 7 5.8% −82.00

2012 97 5 5.2% −52.75

2013 144 14 9.7% +38.50

2014 154 20 13% −17.12

2015 165 11 6.7% −107.41

2016 131 14 10.7% −40.25

2017 172 22 12.8% −33.30

2018 172 18 10.5% −92.48

2019 92 8 8.7% −20.50

2020 137 15 10.9% −73.57

2021 152 25 16.4% −13.28

2022 131 14 10.7% −22.11

2023 107 9 8.4% −48.67

2024 39 2 5.1% −27.50

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 1,380 148 10.7% −416.13

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

8-10 runners 685 64 9.3% −239.31

11-13 runners 524 31 5.9% −240.25

5-7 runners 427 77 18% −17.50

14-16 runners 237 9 3.8% −156.00

2-4 runners 42 10 23.8% −7.97

17+ runners 37 4 10.8% −4.50

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

84.8% completed · 1,807 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 736 80.4% 23 16 100 1 4

Hurdle 1,071 87.8% 18 14 96 1 2

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Purcell's Bridge (FR)from Matthieu Palussiere 45 5 11 12 May 21

Slanelough (IRE) 43 6 18 15 Dec 23

Pyjama Game (IRE)then Will Ramsay 37 4 14 21 Jun 15

Smuggler's Stash (IRE) 33 4 12 16 Feb 21

Attention Please (IRE) 33 4 10 12 Mar 20

Monfass (IRE) 30 2 8 21 Apr 22

Honourable Gent (GB) 30 7 16 16 Aug 20

Espoir Moriviere (FR) 29 2 9 6 Feb 23

Robin's Command (IRE) 29 8 12 31 Oct 15

Politeness (FR) 28 6 11 12 Mar 20

Doktor Glaz (FR) 27 4 12 29 May 22

Final Fling (IRE) 26 3 7 21 Apr 21

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 179 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 13 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 10 arrived from another yard in our archive; 50 had their first archived run for this yard.

9 have since run for another yard, most often for Paul Robson (4); 51 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

7987131214916131011

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderCraig Nichol

38% of all rides
10.9% SR · A/E 0.94

RiderRWSR£1

Craig Nichol 740 81 10.9% −261.30

Wilson Renwick 317 26 8.2% −99.25

Conor O'Farrell 130 23 17.7% −3.08

Lorcan Murtagh 106 14 13.2% −33.25

Dylan Johnston 66 6 9.1% −11.25

Graham Lee 57 8 14% −6.84

Richie McGrath 54 0 0% −54.00

Shaun Dobbin 37 7 18.9% +42.50

Brian Harding 32 2 6.3% −16.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2009→

195

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£1.60m

Prize money

2021

Best season · 25 wins

Rocking Blues (FR) — Betfred Eider (Handicap Chase) Newcastle · Feb 2016 · Class 2

£53,176

Bigirononhiship (IRE) — Persimmon Homes Scottish Borders National Handicap Chase Kelso · Dec 2019 · Class 3

£37,818

Jonniesofa (IRE) — Albert Bartlett Novices' Hurdle (Registered As The Prestige Novices' Hurdle) (Grade 2) Haydock · Feb 2016 · Grade 2

£17,138

Notable horses

Robin's Command (IRE) Honourable Gent (GB) Slanelough (IRE) Politeness (FR) Jonniesofa (IRE) Purcell's Bridge (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Flemensfirth (USA) 12% · 18–150

Progeny have won 11.9% of 17,282 runs since 2008 (1,594 horses).

Beneficial (GB) 9.1% · 8–88

Progeny have won 10.4% of 17,044 runs since 2008 (1,155 horses).

Getaway (GER) 14.3% · 10–70

Progeny have won 11.3% of 10,943 runs since 2008 (1,028 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.3% from 133.

Kalanisi (IRE) 13.8% · 9–65

Progeny have won 10.5% of 6,746 runs since 2008 (648 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 16.1% from 355.

Oscar (IRE) 4.8% · 3–62

Progeny have won 10.9% of 16,543 runs since 2008 (1,456 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 18.1% from 105.

Mahler (GB) 12.8% · 6–47

Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,856 runs since 2008 (785 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.1% from 119.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 30 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,952 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,952 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 20 March 2009 to 26 May 2024.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

26 May 24 Kelso Aazza (IRE)J: Craig Nichol Five Star Taxis Mares' Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 26f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 7th 9/1

26 May 24 Kelso Okavango Delta (IRE)J: Craig Nichol Schloss Roxburghe Hotel Handicap Chase (For The Wilfred & Patricia Crawford Memorial Trophy)Class 4 · 21.5f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 6th 12/1

16 May 24 Perth Limerick Leader (FR)J: Craig Nichol Edinburgh Cannonball Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 20f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 4th 8/1

16 May 24 Perth Uncle Mac (IRE)J: Edward Austin Edinburgh Gin Classic Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) (Div 1)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 6th 16/1

10 May 24 Sedgefield Cailin Dearg (IRE)J: Craig Nichol AK Bets Watch All UK Racing Mares' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 20f · Good · 14 ran 3rd 10/1

10 May 24 Market Rasen Cliffs Of Dooneen (IRE)J: Dylan Johnston Book Summer Plate Ladies Day Now Handicap Hurdle (Div 1)Class 5 · 20.5f · Good · 9 ran 7th 10/1

10 May 24 Market Rasen Okavango Delta (IRE)J: Dylan Johnston Jeff Fleet Memorial Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 21.5f · Good · 9 ran PU 13/2

08 May 24 Kelso Captain Quint (IRE)J: Craig Nichol Racing TV Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 23.5f · Good · 8 ran 6th 10/1

26 Apr 24 Perth Uncle Mac (IRE)J: Edward Austin AK Bets Chat To A Trader Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Soft · 8 ran 4th 25/1

15 Apr 24 Kelso Iwa (FR)J: Craig Nichol Support The Injured Jockeys Fund Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 21.5f · Soft · 11 ran PU 28/1

15 Apr 24 Kelso Wild Polly (IRE)J: Dylan Johnston Support QME Care Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 22.5f · Soft · 10 ran PU 33/1

28 Mar 24 Wetherby Pats Dream (IRE)J: Craig Nichol Best Odds Guaranteed Daily At Vickers.Bet Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 24f · Soft · 6 ran 4th 8/1

22 Mar 24 Newbury Captain Quint (IRE)J: Craig Nichol Get A Run For Your Money At Betvictor Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 22.5f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 7th 10/1

22 Mar 24 Hexham Wild Polly (IRE)J: Henry Brooke Vickers.Bet Independent Family Owned Bookmaker Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 23.5f · Heavy · 6 ran PU 25/1

19 Mar 24 Wetherby Cliffs Of Dooneen (IRE)J: Ciaran O'Shea Bosch Home Appliances At Maxwell's Northallerton Conditional Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Soft · 7 ran 5th 100/1

16 Mar 24 Newcastle Iwa (FR)J: Craig Nichol Guinness Draught Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 16.5f · Heavy · 5 ran 4th 12/1

10 Mar 24 Kelso Limerick Leader (FR)J: Craig Nichol Rubstic Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 17f · Soft · 7 ran 6th 9/4F

09 Mar 24 Ayr Aazza (IRE)J: Dylan Johnston Virgin Bet Best Odds Daily Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 24.5f · Good · 15 ran 10th 11/2

26 Feb 24 Ayr Wild Polly (IRE)J: Dylan Johnston Coral Mares' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 24.5f · Heavy · 6 ran 6th 10/1

24 Feb 24 Newcastle Iwa (FR)J: Craig Nichol Weatherbys Cheltenham Festival Betting Guide Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 17f · Heavy · 7 ran 4th 40/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Rose Dobbin's strike rate?: Rose Dobbin has won 195 of 1,952 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 10% (as at 30 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Rose Dobbin do best at?: Doncaster by strike rate: 8 wins from 62 runners (12.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Rose Dobbin?: Craig Nichol, with 740 runners since 2008 — 38% of the total. That pairing has won 81 (10.9%).
What is Rose Dobbin's Fair A/E?: 0.93, from 1,949 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.