Thomas Gerard O'Leary
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sent out around 50 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 9% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.11).
The record is strongest at Clonmel (11.8%, n=34), clear of the yard's 8.5% baseline. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 0% (n=37, Fair A/E 0.00). Phillip Enright rode 27% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (8.8%, A/E 1.49) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also read well over 2m5f – 3m (12.9%, n=62) and off a 31-60-day break (12.5%, n=48). The market has consistently overbet the yard in Hurdle races: Fair A/E 0.65 across 54 runners (5.6% strike, −22.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied. 6 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Tipperary Hurdle at Tipperary (IRE) (Oct 2006, £65,100). Seasonally, the yard fired Jan–Feb.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 8.5% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as headerHorses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 420 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 420 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 6 January 2005 to 10 February 2011.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Thomas Gerard O'Leary's strike rate?
- Thomas Gerard O'Leary has won 18 of 212 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8.5% (as at 11 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Thomas Gerard O'Leary do best at?
- Clonmel by strike rate: 4 wins from 34 runners (11.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for Thomas Gerard O'Leary?
- Phillip Enright, with 57 runners since 2008 — 27% of the total. That pairing has won 5 (8.8%).
- What is Thomas Gerard O'Leary's Fair A/E?
- 1.11, from 212 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.