4:35 Chepstow
This Class 2 LSL Racing Chepstow Mile Series Final Handicap brings together a field of 17 at the 1m14y trip on good to soft ground. Several runners are stepping up in class, and the KTB Fit ratings identify a clear top five with Revelance heading the list on 63. The pace shape points to a strong gallop that could leave things late, placing emphasis on those who can produce their effort from off the pace.
How the race shapes up
With two or more habitual front-runners declared, a strong pace is anticipated and the confidence in that read is high. Revelance and Bobby Dassler are both noted as tending to make the running or race prominently, while the remainder of the field is largely made up of hold-up types. This shape raises the likelihood of the leaders coming back to the pack late on, posing the key question of which hold-up horses can time their run to best effect when the race collapses.
The KTB Fit ranking
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1Revelance KTB Selection63/100
Revelance is a fair performer who won over this trip on his only previous visit to Chepstow. He has shown solid form on good to soft ground with one win and a placing from three starts, and his recent 39-761 sequence includes a clear success last time. Both trainer and jockey have strong records at the track with strike rates above 20 per cent. Stepping up in class from a draw of five, his front-running style could see him set or share the pace in a race where that gallop is expected to be strong. Ralph Beckett’s 23% strike rate at Chepstow from 259 runs and Rossa Ryan’s 21% from 208 rides add considerable weight to his claims.
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2Auburn Avenue58/100
Auburn Avenue is a modest performer who has won once from two runs at Chepstow. He has placed at today's trip without winning and the yard has a solid 16% strike rate here from 73 runs. Only one run on good to soft ground brought no win or place. Usually held up and producing his effort late, he looks well suited to the anticipated strong pace that could collapse in the closing stages. John & Rhys Flint’s 16% record at the course from 73 runs is a positive, though jockey William Carson’s 9% strike rate from 254 rides is more modest.
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3Spirit Of The Bay55/100
Spirit Of The Bay is a modest performer who has won three times from eight runs at Chepstow and knows his way around this track. He has won at today's trip but is zero from four on good to soft ground and that lack of success on this surface is a concern. The yard have a solid 16% strike rate here while the 3lb claimer is less proven with a 7% record from 14 rides. His held-up style should be favoured if the strong pace materialises as expected. With recent form of 447213 he arrives in reasonable order but the going remains a question mark.
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4Nakaaha55/100
Nakaaha is a fair performer who has run well here once before when finishing second. Has won three times at today's trip from 12 attempts but showed little on good to soft ground in three previous starts. Trainer's modest 9% strike rate at Chepstow is offset by the jockey's stronger 16% record at the track. Usually held up, he should be suited by the race unfolding with a strong pace that may collapse late. From draw two and with recent form of 556102 he remains capable at this level on his preferred surface.
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5Rating54/100
Rating is a modest performer who has run well enough here in the past, winning once from five starts at Chepstow. Recent form is patchy but the horse has shown he can be competitive on good to soft ground and has won at this trip. Trainer's modest strike rate at the track is offset by the jockey's stronger 19% record from 31 rides here. His held-up run style with medium confidence aligns with the expected strong pace shape. The 3lb claimer could prove useful as this 5-year-old attempts to build on his 155351 sequence.
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6Talis Evolvere52/100
Talis Evolvere is a fair performer who has been generally consistent without winning for some time. He has won on good to soft and at today's trip, though his record from a wide draw at this track is modest. The trainer has a solid 13% strike rate here while the jockey's 3% from 31 rides is weaker.
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7Thanos52/100
Thanos is a modest performer who has won both starts at this track and this trip. He arrives in solid form having won two of his last three starts and the yard has a strong 27% strike rate here. The jockey is less effective at the course and the horse remains unproven on good to soft ground.
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8Bobby Dassler51/100
Bobby Dassler is a limited class performer with a solid course record here including a win from four runs. Has placed four times from six starts on good to soft ground and holds a win at today's trip though his recent form has been patchy. Trainer holds a respectable record at Chepstow while the jockey's small sample prevents any firm read.
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9Redhot Whisper51/100
Redhot Whisper is a limited class performer who has shown better form at this trip, winning once from 14 starts and placing on his last two runs. He has course experience in his favour having won here from two visits and is 2 from 2 on good to soft ground without winning. The trainer holds an 11 percent strike rate from 215 runs at Chepstow while the jockey is operating at 15 percent from 20 rides.
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10Moonhall Lass51/100
Moonhall Lass is a limited performer who has been in and out this year and looks up against it in this higher grade. Has shown some ability at this track when third on her only visit and the yard's record here offers a crumb of comfort. Steps up in trip today having been mostly campaigned over shorter and remains unproven on good to soft ground.
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11Kodi Fire51/100
Kodi Fire is a fair performer who has won once from two runs at Chepstow and has three wins from nine starts at this trip. He has shown solid recent form including a win and a second in his last three outings though he was well held on his only previous run on good to soft ground. The trainer has a 13 percent strike rate from 89 runs here while the jockey records 12 percent from 175 rides.
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12Too Much Trevor50/100
Too Much Trevor is a limited class performer who has won three times from 18 starts at Chepstow and arrives in decent recent form. Steps up to a mile for the first time today having been placed without winning at the trip before, while he has been competitive on good to soft without scoring. Trainer holds a 9 percent strike rate here from 448 runs and the jockey is operating at 12 percent from 34 rides.
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13Eutropia47/100
Eutropia is a modest performer with a solid recent record of 115223 that includes two placed efforts at this trip. Has winning form on good to soft but only one run at Chepstow resulted in a modest third. Trainer and jockey both have established but below-average records at the track.
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14Homeland44/100
Homeland is a limited performer who has been consistent enough to place on his last two starts and has shown he can handle this track with a pair of minor efforts here. He drops back in trip today having been placed without winning at a mile in the past, while the switch to good to soft ground is an unknown. The trainer's modest 4% strike rate at Chepstow is offset by the jockey's solid 12% record at the venue from limited rides.
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15Scarfo42/100
Scarfo is a limited horse who has been busy this year and mixes minor placings with the occasional win. He has won over this trip and at this track from nine runs here, while he has also shown he can be competitive on good to soft ground. The trainer has a solid 9% strike rate at Chepstow from a large sample, though the 7lb claimer has had too few rides at the course to judge.
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16Law Of Design42/100
Law Of Design is a modest performer who has been largely out of his depth in better company of late and arrives with a string of no-impact runs. Only one visit to Chepstow produced a fifth and he has failed to place in two starts on good to soft ground. First-time headgear is now reached for while he tries this trip again having shown nothing at it previously.
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17The Bureau Club39/100
The Bureau Club is a modest performer who has shown some consistency this year but lacks a win. Placed on his only previous visit to Chepstow and has also managed a placing at today's trip, though he has been below form on his last two starts. Trainer has a 0% strike rate from six runs here while the 5lb claimer has an 8% record from 13 rides at the track.
KTB verdict
Revelance stands out as the KTB Selection. A fair performer with a course-and-distance success to his name, he has shown solid form on good to soft and arrives on the back of a clear last-time win. His prominent run style may set the race up nicely if the strong pace does materialise, and the powerful trainer-jockey combination at Chepstow adds further layers to his claims. The main dangers are likely to come from the hold-up brigade given the shape, with Auburn Avenue, Spirit Of The Bay and Nakaaha all capable of running into the frame if the leaders fold as expected.
KTB Selection Revelance
Morning odds
Best available price per runner, captured 00:12 UTC, 31 Aug. These are a morning snapshot and will have moved — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Morning price | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Revelance | 3/1 | Bet365 |
| Auburn Avenue | 12/1 | Midnite |
| Spirit Of The Bay | 12/1 | 7Bet |
| Nakaaha | 12/1 | 7Bet |
| Rating | 12/1 | Bet365 |
| Talis Evolvere | 11/1 | Bet365 |
| Thanos | 11/2 | BetTom |
| Bobby Dassler | 80/1 | 7Bet |
| Redhot Whisper | 12/1 | Midnite |
| Moonhall Lass | 22/1 | William Hill |
| Kodi Fire | 14/1 | 7Bet |
| Too Much Trevor | 14/1 | 7Bet |
| Eutropia | 6/1 | Bet365 |
| Homeland | 18/1 | 7Bet |
| Scarfo | 40/1 | 7Bet |
| Law Of Design | 16/1 | 7Bet |
| The Bureau Club | 20/1 | Bet365 |
This is the narrative read of the 4:35 Chepstow. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Chepstow racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Chepstow results & records page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse is stepping up in class from a prominent position and has course-and-distance form?
Revelance is stepping up in class, tends to make the running or race on the pace, and won over this trip on his only previous visit to Chepstow.
How many runners are stepping up in class in this field?
All 17 runners are stepping up in class.
Which trainer has the strongest strike rate at Chepstow among those represented?
Harry Charlton has a 27% strike rate at Chepstow from 11 runs.
Which horses are noted as unproven on good to soft ground?
Thanos, Moonhall Lass, Homeland and The Bureau Club have no runs on good to soft and remain unproven on the surface.
Who is the only horse in the race wearing first-time headgear?
Law Of Design is fitted with first-time headgear.
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