4:07 Galway
The 4:07 at Galway is a 23-runner Kenny Developments Maiden Hurdle over 2m160y on yielding ground. A large field of largely unproven or modest performers lines up, with the KTB Fit ratings highlighting a clear top horse on 63 while the remainder cluster between 54 and 36, underlining the depth of unknowns. The steadily-run, tactical nature of the race on these terms makes positioning and late effort key.
How the race shapes up
With no obvious leader in a 23-runner field the pace is set to be steady and tactical, just as the KTB pace shape indicates. Most principals and field runners are held-up types who will be produced late, so being handy early or timing a run from midfield will be important. The key question is whether any horse can quicken off a slow gallop on yielding ground or whether the race will fall to something that has previously shown its best when the tempo is even.
The KTB Fit ranking
-
1En Or KTB Selection63/100
En Or is a smart performer who has placed twice on yielding ground and has won over today's trip in the past. He has been below form on his last three starts and is stepping back up markedly in distance from 1m2f. His course record reads 9th, 4th, 9th from three runs here while the trainer operates at a 10% strike rate from 442 runs at Galway. The jockey has a 7% strike rate at the track from 73 rides. Usually held up and producing his effort late, he is the KTB Selection with a Fit score of 63.
-
2Rene's Gold54/100
Rene's Gold is lightly raced with just two runs this year and a recent form line of P-89 that offers little encouragement. He has been well held in both starts at this track and steps up in trip today having failed to make an impact over the same distance last time. The trainer has an 11% strike rate from 90 runs at Galway while the jockey has an 11% strike rate at the track from 57 rides. Typically settling in midfield, he remains unproven on yielding ground. His KTB Fit score is 54.
-
3Leva Eagle52/100
Leva Eagle makes his debut for a yard with a modest 3% strike rate at Galway from 89 runs. Pedigree and sales background offer the only pointers here but with data confidence low there is little else to go on. By Wings Of Eagles, who has a 10% overall win rate, the 7 lb claimer takes the ride. He has no course win on record. His KTB Fit score stands at 52.
-
4Morale Boost50/100
Morale Boost makes his debut for Gary McGill who has an 8% strike rate from 12 runs at Galway. The 8-year-old showed nothing in points and a bumper on his only two completed starts so far. By Equiano, who has a 9% overall win rate, with low data confidence the assessment rests mainly on his sales and pedigree background. He has no course win on record. His KTB Fit score is 50.
-
5Misty Valentine50/100
Misty Valentine has shown very little in three starts so far with a recent sequence of P0U. She has been tried twice at this trip without placing and the small sample makes it impossible to know if the yielding ground will suit. The trainer has no recorded runners at Galway. Usually held up and producing her effort late, her KTB Fit score is 50.
-
6Wonderful Everyday49/100
Wonderful Everyday has shown fair form overall but has been below that level on both starts this season. He stays this trip well enough having won over it and has already scored on yielding ground. Mullins has a solid 16% strike rate here from a huge sample while Townend is equally established at the track. Usually held up, his KTB Fit score is 49.
-
7Piper Street49/100
Piper Street has only one run on the board and was well held in it. The yard's modest 4% strike rate at Galway from a big sample offers little encouragement. With such a small sample overall the trip and ground remain unknown quantities. Usually held up, his KTB Fit score is 49.
-
8Firebrand48/100
Firebrand is a smart performer who has run well at this track on both previous visits this season, finishing second and third. He drops back in trip today having been placed without winning at this distance on three of four attempts, while he has also shown he can be competitive on yielding ground. First-time headgear is now tried. Usually held up, his KTB Fit score is 48.
-
9Leva Deva47/100
Leva Deva has shown very little in four starts with a recent P009 sequence that suggests he is struggling to make an impact. He drops back in trip today having failed to make the frame when tried at this distance previously. The trainer has a 0% strike rate from eight runs at Galway. Usually held up, his KTB Fit score is 47.
-
10Getaway Tobin46/100
Getaway Tobin has shown ordinary form at best so far with a string of modest efforts including a latest fourth. He is only lightly raced and the trip looks a fair question after one previous try at it without success. The yard's modest record at Galway adds no encouragement. Usually held up, his KTB Fit score is 46.
-
11Middlethird Marvel45/100
Middlethird Marvel has shown very little in six runs to date and arrives here on the back of two poor efforts. The drop back in trip is an unknown at this stage while the yard's record at Galway is modest. Data confidence is only medium given how lightly raced the horse remains. Usually held up, his KTB Fit score is 45.
-
12Tribal Thunder44/100
Tribal Thunder is a debutant with very little public form to go on. The yard has a modest 6% strike rate from 145 runs at Galway. Pedigree and sales background will carry most of the weight here but overall data confidence remains low. His KTB Fit score is 44.
-
13Minella Maverick44/100
Minella Maverick is a debutant with no racecourse form to go on. The yard's record at Galway is modest at 4% from 137 runs. Pedigree and sales background offer the only pointers here but with low data confidence overall this one is hard to weigh up. His KTB Fit score is 44.
-
14Stary Notions43/100
Stary Notions is a debutant with no racecourse experience and therefore no proven ability. The yard has a 0% strike rate from 25 runs at Galway which adds to the unknowns. Pedigree and sales background will have to carry the assessment here but with low data confidence this one is impossible to weigh up properly. His KTB Fit score is 43.
-
15Its Time For A Run43/100
Its Time For A Run dropped back in trip from 2m3f to an untried 2m today after winning a point-to-point on debut under rules. The small sample of just three career runs means his form is hard to weigh up accurately. Trainer Emmet Mullins has a 15% strike rate from 143 runs at Galway while jockey Donagh Meyler is making his first appearance at the track. Usually held up, his KTB Fit score is 43.
-
16Deeter43/100
Deeter has shown very little so far with a pulled-up effort and a tailed-off finish from his two starts. The yard records a modest 5% strike rate from 37 runs at Galway. Trip and ground both remain unproven on this small sample. Usually held up, his KTB Fit score is 43.
-
17Papanell42/100
Papanell has shown some ability with a placed effort at this trip and another when fourth over course and distance on his penultimate start. He failed to build on that when well beaten on return though and remains lightly raced with only four runs in total. The trainer's modest 3% strike rate from 208 runs at Galway is another negative. Usually held up, his KTB Fit score is 42.
-
18Hometomayo40/100
Hometomayo has shown very little in three starts to date with two pulled-ups and a remote fourth on return. The step up in trip today asks a fresh question of a horse with only a modest career record. Trainer Flannery has a 2% strike rate from 61 runs at Galway while jockey Alan King has limited experience at the track. His KTB Fit score is 40.
-
19Minnatrix40/100
Minnatrix has shown ability on a couple of occasions but his recent form has been poor with a string of lesser efforts. He drops back in trip today having failed to make an impact at this distance on his only previous try. The yard's modest 5% strike rate from 37 runs at Galway adds little confidence here. Usually held up, his KTB Fit score is 40.
-
20You Lift Me Up39/100
You Lift Me Up has shown little in two starts so far, finishing well beaten on both occasions. The yard's modest 4% strike rate from 231 runs at Galway offers no encouragement, while the 7 lb claimer also has a limited record here. With only two runs on the board the trip and ground remain unproven questions. Usually held up, his KTB Fit score is 39.
-
21Mr Caulfield38/100
Mr Caulfield has shown little so far with a pulled-up effort and a bumper win from three starts. He now drops back in trip to a distance he has not tried, which asks a fresh question of him. The trainer's modest 3% strike rate at Galway from 64 runs offers little encouragement. Usually held up, his KTB Fit score is 38.
-
22Blue Nude38/100
Blue Nude has shown very little in four starts to date with a string of heavy defeats. The yard's modest record at Galway adds little encouragement while the jockey also operates at a low strike rate here. Trip has been tried three times without any sign of improvement. Usually held up, his KTB Fit score is 38.
-
23Bridge View Star36/100
Bridge View Star is a useful performer who has shown consistent form without winning in four starts. Dropping back from 2m3f to this shorter trip asks a fresh question and the yard's record here is too small a sample to judge. Only one previous run at Galway yielded a midfield finish. Usually held up, his KTB Fit score is 36.
KTB verdict
En Or stands out clearly on KTB ratings and is taken as the selection. A smart performer with placed form on yielding ground and previous success over the trip, his ability sets the standard even if recent runs have been below par. The main dangers are likely to come from Firebrand, who has run well at the track this season and now tries first-time headgear, and Wonderful Everyday, who brings the strong Mullins/Townend combination along with a win on yielding ground. The remainder of the field largely consists of debutants or horses with modest form, making the race look one for the top of the KTB Fit list.
KTB Selection En Or
This is the narrative read of the 4:07 Galway. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Galway racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Galway results & records page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse is stepping back up markedly in trip from 1m2f?
En Or
Which runner is making its debut for a yard with a 3% strike rate at Galway?
Leva Eagle
Which horse is trying first-time headgear after running well at Galway this season?
Firebrand
Which trainer has a 16% strike rate at Galway from 1183 runs in this race?
W P Mullins with Wonderful Everyday
Which horse won a point-to-point on debut under rules before dropping back in trip?
Its Time For A Run
18+. Analysis and entertainment only — no guarantee of profit. KTB race previews are published for interest and are not betting advice. Only ever stake what you can comfortably afford to lose, and set your own limits. Free, confidential help: the National Gambling Helpline on 0808 8020 133 (GamCare.org.uk); in Ireland, the GamblingCare.ie helpline on 1800 936 725. Self-exclude at any time via GAMSTOP.
More from Kickthebookies