6:00 Bath
This Class 5 handicap division at Bath over a mile on good ground features an 11-runner field where the KTB numbers highlight a handful of modest performers with strong course records. Albus Anne tops the Fit ratings at 69 and is the clear selection, while Flag Carrier, Eutropia, Dappled Light and Danehill Star complete the principals with scores from 64 down to 53. The race is notable for the high number of Bath winners in the line-up and several horses dropping in class, though the overall standard remains modest.
How the race shapes up
The pace shape points to a lone leader with high confidence, and Danehill Star is the only front-runner in the field, meaning he is likely to get an uncontested lead. Most of the principals, including the selection Albus Anne, Flag Carrier, Eutropia and Dappled Light, are held-up types who will be produced late. The key question is whether the clear leader can dictate and prove hard to peg back or whether the closers, well suited by the good ground, can close the gap in the straight.
The KTB Fit ranking
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1Albus Anne KTB Selection69/100
Albus Anne is a modest performer who has won five times from eight starts at Bath and also has a solid record at this trip with four wins from 16 attempts. Recent form of 167-46 is mixed but the horse has shown enough on good ground with one win and two places from four starts. Dropping in class from draw 1, this 7-year-old is held up and usually produces its effort late. Trainer Jimmy Fox has an above-average 11% strike rate from 91 runs at the track while the jockey has a 50% strike rate at Bath from a small sample of 2 rides.
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2Flag Carrier64/100
Flag Carrier is a modest performer who arrives in decent form after a recent win and consistent placed efforts. This 5-year-old has won over today's trip and showed he can be competitive on good ground, though he is yet to score in this class. Stepping up in class from draw 6, he is held up and usually produces its effort late. Trainer Brian Toomey has a 33% strike rate at Bath from a small sample while Jason Watson has a solid 15% strike rate at Bath from 129 rides, and the pair have combined for a 4/16 record with a positive A/E of 2.10.
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3Eutropia62/100
Eutropia is a modest performer who has won twice at this track from just three runs and looks suited by the return to a mile where she has already scored once. Recent form has been a bit up and down but this 4-year-old remains competitive on good ground with two placed efforts from four starts. Dropping in class from draw 3, she is held up and usually produces its effort late. Both trainer Adrian Wintle and jockey Finley Marsh have solid records here, with respective strike rates of 15% and 14% at Bath.
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4Dappled Light59/100
Dappled Light is a modest performer with a solid record here, winning three of eight runs at Bath. This 6-year-old has been in decent form this year with two wins and two seconds from his last six starts, and the step back up to 1m looks suitable given his six wins from 24 starts at the trip. Stepping up in class from draw 2, he is held up and usually produces its effort late. The trainer holds a 15% strike rate at the track while the jockey is operating at 10%, and he has three wins from 13 starts on good ground.
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5Danehill Star53/100
Danehill Star is a modest performer with a solid recent record of 332351 and two placed efforts from just two runs at Bath. This 5-year-old has won twice at this trip from 18 starts and is competitive on good ground having placed twice from five runs. From draw 10 he is the only front-runner in the field and tends to make the running or race on the pace. Trainer Tony Carroll holds an 11% strike rate here from 867 runs while jockey Marco Ghiani is operating at 15% from 48 rides.
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6Dark Rosa51/100
Dark Rosa is a modest performer who has been consistent enough this year without winning often. She has placed on good ground and scored once at this trip though her only run here was ordinary, with trainer and jockey both having established but modest records at Bath.
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7Station Bar49/100
Station Bar is a modest performer who has won once here at Bath from a single run and also has a win at today's 1m trip. Recent form is mixed and this 3-year-old steps up from 7f today while wearing first-time headgear, with both trainer and jockey operating at a 12% strike rate at the track.
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8Sagremor48/100
Sagremor is a modest performer who has shown bits of ability on his better days but has been below form on his last two starts. This 3-year-old is proven at this trip having placed twice in three attempts and the yard has a fair recent record here, though first time at Bath and only one previous run on good ground leave some unknowns.
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9Mr Tony47/100
Mr Tony is a modest performer who arrives in decent form after a recent win and two placed efforts last season. This 3-year-old has already won at this trip from just two attempts and holds solid course connections through the yard, with the trainer striking at a 17% rate here.
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10Chelio40/100
Chelio is a modest performer who has been consistent without winning, finishing in the first three on three of his last four starts. This 3-year-old steps up to 1m for the first time having been placed at the trip in one previous attempt, which looks a positive on paper, while the trainer has a solid 12% strike rate here.
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11Grimese's Special33/100
Grimese's Special is a limited performer who has failed to build on a placed effort on debut and has looked out of form on his last three starts. This 3-year-old steps up to 1m for the first time today having been well held over shorter, which poses a fresh question, with the trainer having a modest 8% strike rate at Bath and the 7 lb claimer still seeking her first winner here.
KTB verdict
Albus Anne looks to hold the key in a race where the pace is likely to be dominated by one clear leader. The selection has won five times from eight starts at Bath, boasts a solid record at the trip and drops in class with a held-up style that should suit if the leader is reeled in. Recent form has been mixed yet the good-ground record is sound and the trainer-jockey combination adds appeal at this venue. Flag Carrier and Eutropia head the main dangers, both with course form and recent competitiveness, while Dappled Light's record here and Danehill Star's likely uncontested lead cannot be dismissed.
KTB Selection Albus Anne
This is the narrative read of the 6:00 Bath. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Bath racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Bath results & records page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse is most likely to take the uncontested lead?
Danehill Star is the only front-runner in the field and tends to make the running or race on the pace.
How many wins has Albus Anne recorded at Bath?
Albus Anne has won five times from eight starts at Bath.
Which runners are dropping in class?
Albus Anne and Eutropia are dropping in class.
How many course wins does Dappled Light have at Bath?
Dappled Light has won three of eight runs at Bath.
Which horse is wearing first-time headgear?
Station Bar is wearing first-time headgear.
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