3:15 Bath
A 13-runner Flat class 1 contest over 1m6f at Bath (3:15), on Good going. KTB has scored every runner; the preview below reads the race off those numbers.
How the race shapes up
Two or more habitual front-runners — the pace looks strong and could collapse late, which would favour hold-up horses.
The KTB Fit ranking
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1Pierian KTB Selection58/100
Useful performer who has already won here over a shorter trip from just one run at the track. Steps up to an untested 1m6f today which asks a fresh question though the pedigree and progressive recent form suggest stamina should be there. Haggas has a solid 20% strike rate at Bath while Marquand is operating above expectations with an A/E of 1.07 at the track.
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2Alla Stella57/100
Useful performer who has been consistent this year with a string of placed efforts including two on good ground. Steps up in trip today for a yard that does well at Bath while Luke Morris has a solid if unspectacular record here. First run at the track and the longer distance both ask fresh questions.
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3Peace Belle57/100
Useful performer who has been consistent in recent starts with form figures of 44253. She has won on good ground from three attempts and is dropping back in trip from 2m to 1m6f where she has tried the distance once before without success. Trainer and jockey both operate at a 10% strike rate at Bath.
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4Brilliant Star56/100
Useful performer who has shown a good level of ability in four starts this year. The step up to 1m6f is an unknown at this stage and first-time headgear is now added. Trainer has a solid 17% strike rate at Bath while the jockey's 5% record from a large sample is more modest.
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5Personal Best54/100
Personal Best is a fair performer with a solid recent record of 432133 and has already won twice at this trip from ten attempts. He has been competitive on good ground without winning and holds an A/E close to parity for the yard at Bath. This is his first run here though the stable's overall record at the track is respectable.
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6Venetia54/100
Useful performer who has won twice and placed on good ground.
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7Orchard Keeper53/100
Useful performer who has been consistent rather than progressive this year and finished only midfield in his last two starts.
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8Lady Vivian53/100
Useful performer who has been consistent without winning lately, finishing in the first four on four of her last five starts.
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9Dojin53/100
Dojin is a fair performer with a solid recent record of 112313 that includes three wins.
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10Miss Dolly Rocker51/100
Miss Dolly Rocker is a useful performer who has won twice at Bath from six runs and holds a solid record on good ground with one win and a place from just two starts.
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11Aravalli49/100
Aravalli is a fair 3-year-old with a solid recent record of 141137 that includes two wins this year.
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12Little Dorrit47/100
Useful performer who has been consistent rather than progressive in recent starts.
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13Littlecote40/100
Littlecote has been a model of consistency this year with five placed efforts from six starts and looks fairly treated on that record.
KTB verdict
KTB's top-rated runner is Pierian on a Fit Score of 58/100. On our numbers the main dangers are Alla Stella and Peace Belle.
KTB Selection Pierian
This is the narrative read of the 3:15 Bath. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Bath racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Bath results & records page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which runner does KTB rate highest in the 3:15 at Bath?
Pierian tops the KTB Fit ranking for this race on a score of 58/100.
How many runners are in this race?
13 runners are declared (non-runners excluded).
What is the going for the 3:15 at Bath?
The going is described as Good.
What distance is this race run over?
It is run over 1m6f.
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