4:40 Naas
A 16-runner Flat contest over 0m7f0y at Naas (4:40), on Soft going. KTB has scored every runner; the preview below reads the race off those numbers.
How the race shapes up
No one obviously wants the lead — likely a steadily-run, tactical affair where being handy pays.
The KTB Fit ranking
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1Justiciar KTB Selection55/100
Fair performer who has shown placed form at this trip but has been below that level in three starts this year. Trainer at Naas has a solid 15 percent strike rate from nearly 900 runs while the claiming jockey is operating at a 7 percent strike rate here from a smallish sample. Course connections give some encouragement but the recent form is a clear negative.
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2Elmakaya52/100
Fair performer who has shown consistent placed form at this track, finishing third and second in two runs here. Drops back to 7f for the first time today after racing over a mile last time, which asks a fresh question. Trainer has a solid 12% strike rate at Naas from a big sample while the jockey operates at 9%.
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3Abiding Memory51/100
Abiding Memory is a newcomer with no racecourse form to go on. The pedigree and sales background offer the only clues here and the low data confidence means any conclusions are tentative at best. Trainer G O'Leary has a solid 12% strike rate at Naas while jockey Jamie Powell sits on a modest 4% at the track.
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4Therewillbeglory51/100
Modest performer who has been consistent of late with five consecutive placed efforts including two seconds over this course. Steps up from 6f to 7f for the first time today having already placed at the trip without winning. Trainer records a 6% strike rate from 289 runs at Naas while the jockey is on 8% from 240 rides here.
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5Oracle Of Delphi49/100
Oracle Of Delphi is a debutant with first-time headgear and a wide draw in stall 13. The yard has a solid 10% strike rate at Naas from a big sample while the jockey is operating at a more modest 6% here. With low data confidence the assessment rests entirely on the supplied pedigree and sales background.
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6Wedding49/100
Modest performer who has shown little in three starts so far, finishing seventh on his only visit to Naas.
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7The Hidden Garden48/100
The Hidden Garden showed little on debut over 6f and now steps up in trip as a lightly-raced 3-year-old.
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8Ebaka47/100
Ebaka has only one career run to go on and showed nothing of note at this trip last time.
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9Saoirses Choice47/100
Saoirses Choice has only four career runs and steps back from 2m1½f to an untried 7f, which asks a fresh question of him.
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10Wildlife45/100
Lightly raced with just two modest runs behind him and a low confidence figure attached.
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11Palace Fever44/100
Palace Fever showed little on debut when finishing eighth over this trip at Naas.
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12Moll's Gap43/100
Moll's Gap has been well beaten in both starts so far and remains lightly raced with only two runs on the board.
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13Anaverna43/100
Anaverna has shown very little in two starts to date, both over 6f, and now steps up in trip on soft ground with only a small sample of form to go on.
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14Red Dahlia42/100
Red Dahlia has shown little in two starts to date, finishing seventh on both occasions.
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15Sing Hallelujah42/100
Sing Hallelujah showed only modest form when sixth on debut over this trip.
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16Caislean Ni Cuan42/100
Limited performer who has failed to land a blow in six starts and looks up against it from stall 14.
KTB verdict
KTB's top-rated runner is Justiciar on a Fit Score of 55/100. On our numbers the main dangers are Elmakaya and Abiding Memory.
KTB Selection Justiciar
This is the narrative read of the 4:40 Naas. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Naas racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Naas results & records page. How favourites, trainers, jockeys and the draw have fared here over the last five years is on the Naas racecourse statistics page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which runner does KTB rate highest in the 4:40 at Naas?
Justiciar tops the KTB Fit ranking for this race on a score of 55/100.
How many runners are in this race?
16 runners are declared (non-runners excluded).
What is the going for the 4:40 at Naas?
The going is described as Soft.
What distance is this race run over?
It is run over 0m7f0y.
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