5:45 Kempton (AW)

The KTB Fit ranking

1. 1I'm Workin On It KTB Selection68/100

   Form 120443 · Rod Millman · Lewis Edmunds

   I'm Workin On It arrives as a fair performer with an official rating of 86 and a strong record at this venue, having won four times from 14 starts here. He has shown solid form on standard to slow ground with four wins from 12 starts and has won four times at today's 7f trip, though he drops back from a mile last time out. The Rod Millman yard records a 10% strike rate at Kempton from 736 runs, in line with its record elsewhere, while Lewis Edmunds has a 14% strike rate at the track from 292 rides. Dropping in class is another positive and his recent form of 120443 includes several creditable efforts in stronger company. Typically settling in midfield, he should be well placed to take advantage of the muddling pace.

2. 2Blue Prince60/100

   Form 177323 · David Evans · Rossa Ryan

   Blue Prince is a fair handicapper who has been placed on four of his five starts at Kempton without winning, his course form reading 3rd, 7th, 3rd, 3rd, 2nd. He has shown consistent form this year with a string of placed efforts and has won at this trip in the past, though he remains winless on standard to slow ground from three attempts. The David Evans stable operates at a 9% strike rate at the track from 1103 runs, in line with its record elsewhere, while Rossa Ryan has a 14% strike rate at Kempton from 896 rides. Usually held up and producing his effort late, he will need the race to fall right in a tactical affair. His official rating of 84 looks fair on recent placed form.

3. 3Wild Nature60/100

   Form 1-3006 · Michael Attwater · Kieren Fox

   Wild Nature is a fair performer who has won twice from four starts at this track and twice from three on standard to slow ground. He has also won at this trip, though his recent form of 1-3006 is patchy and he now carries an official rating of 83. The Michael Attwater yard has a 5% strike rate at Kempton from 994 runs, below its 7% at other courses, while Kieren Fox has a 9% strike rate at the track from 588 rides. Usually racing handily on or close to the lead, he is well suited to the anticipated pace shape. His two course wins supply encouragement in a race where prominent runners could hold sway.

4. 4Rogue Messiah58/100

   Form -21982 · James Owen · Luke Morris

   Family: half-brother to Little Gem (1 win from 20 runs). The dam has had 1 other runner, a winner.

   Rogue Messiah is a fair three-year-old who has shown consistent placed form at this track, finishing second in both runs here. He has been competitive at this trip without winning and holds an official rating of 87 after seven starts. Half-brother to Little Gem who won once from 20 runs, with the dam also producing another winner. The James Owen stable has a 17% strike rate at Kempton from 125 runs, in line with its overall figure, while Luke Morris has a 9% strike rate at the track from 3394 rides. Usually racing handily on or close to the lead, he should be to the fore in a muddling pace. His placed efforts on standard to slow ground add to his claims.

5. 5Caviar Cowboy57/100

   Form 212545 · James Fanshawe · Daniel Muscutt

   Caviar Cowboy is a fair three-year-old with a solid record here, finishing second twice and fifth once from three starts at Kempton. He has shown he is competitive on standard to slow ground and steps back up to a trip he has won at from five attempts. The James Fanshawe yard operates at a 17% strike rate at the track from 1087 runs, in line with its overall record, while Daniel Muscutt has a 12% strike rate at Kempton from 1102 rides. Usually held up and producing his effort late, he will be looking to come with a late run. His official rating of 82 looks fair on recent placed efforts.

6. 6Siwa Oasis55/100

   Form 754151 · Charles Hills · David Egan

   Family: half-brother to Subtle Beauty (1 win from 6 runs). The dam has had 2 other runners, 2 of them winners.

   Siwa Oasis is a fair three-year-old with a solid recent record that includes two wins in the last four starts. He has already won at this trip and at Kempton itself from just two runs here, half-brother to Subtle Beauty who won once from six runs with the dam also producing two winners.

7. 7City Cyclone53/100

   Form -11185 · Tony Carroll · William Carson

   City Cyclone is a fair performer with a solid record here, winning two of eight starts at Kempton. He has won five times over today's trip from 20 starts but steps up from 6f today, which asks a fresh question.

8. 8Dr Strangelove53/100

   Form 225077 · Oliver Cole · Edward Greatrex

   Dr Strangelove is a fair performer who has won once from four runs at this track and holds a solid record on standard to slow going with one win and two places from three starts. He drops back to 7f today having last run over a mile and is placed but unproven as a winner at the trip from five attempts.

9. 9Port Road52/100

   Form 804635 · Simon Dow · Paddy Bradley

   Port Road is a modest performer who has won twice at this track from 19 starts. He drops back to 7f today having been running over a mile and holds a win at the trip from 12 attempts while stepping up in class.

10. 10Pinatubo's Legacy52/100

    Form 1-3050 · T. J. Kent · Ray Dawson

    Family: half-brother to Mrs Gallagher, a Listed winner (4 wins from 11 runs). The dam has had 8 other runners, 4 of them winners.

    Pinatubo's Legacy is a fair performer who won over this trip on his debut and has an official rating of 81 after five runs. He drops back from 1m today having been well held in stronger company on his last two starts, half-brother to Listed winner Mrs Gallagher.

11. 11Weffaag52/100

    Form 0-3210 · William Haggas · Oisin Murphy

    Family: half-brother to Super Sox, a Listed winner (3 wins from 8 runs). The dam has had 2 other runners, 2 of them winners.

    Weffaag is a fair performer who has shown useful form this year with a win and two placed efforts from his last four starts. He drops back to 7f today having won at the trip earlier in his career, half-brother to Listed winner Super Sox.

12. 12Aigeas44/100

    Form 051910 · Oliver Cole · Kieran Shoemark

    Aigeas is a fair performer who has won twice from four runs at this track including a success on standard to slow ground. He steps up from 6f to a trip he has won over twice before, though his recent form has been patchy.

13. 13Lunario43/100

    Form 001646 · Luke Dace · Isobelle Chalmers(7)

    Lunario is a modest performer who has been in and out of form this year. He has placed without winning in three of his four runs at Kempton and is competitive on standard to slow ground, while his three wins from 13 starts at this trip supply some encouragement.