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Trainer profile

Seamus Durack

112 runners in the last 5 seasons · 22 individual horses
As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Jan 2024 91% of runners on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2010→)
from 1 Jan 2022
3–112
Wins / Runs
2.7%
Strike rate
n=112
20 (18%)
Placed
0.37
Fair A/E
n=112 · 0.32 incl. margin
−94.05
£1 level stake
n=112 at SP · −84.0%
£69,166
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 20 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 3% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.37).

Deterministic profile computed from 112 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 15 Oct 2026
The read

The market has consistently overbet the yard over 6f – 7f: Fair A/E 0.24 across 63 runners (1.6% strike, −51.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. The stable star of the record: Alfredo (IRE) — 6 wins from 30 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 2.7% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−2.7
n=24 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −24.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−2.7
n=12 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −12.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−2.7
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−2.7
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−2.7
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
When favourite
14.3%
n=7 · A/E 0.54 · £1 −4.80
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
0%−2.7
n=16 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −16.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 2.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With a new jockey booking 0% vs 2.7% · n=57
In Class 6 0% vs 2.7% · n=32
Over 6f – 7f 1.6% vs 2.7% · n=63 · A/E 0.24
On Standard (AW) going 3.6% vs 2.7% · n=56 · A/E 0.51
In Flat races 2.9% vs 2.7% · n=102 · A/E 0.41
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 102 3 2.9% −84.05
Hurdle 7 0 0% −7.00
Chase 2 0 0% −2.00
NH Flat 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 56 2 3.6% −50.05
Good 20 1 5% −8.00
Good to Firm 12 0 0% −12.00
Good to Soft 11 0 0% −11.00
Soft 10 0 0% −10.00
Heavy 2 0 0% −2.00
Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Lingfield (AW) 16 0 0% −16.00
Kempton (AW) 16 0 0% −16.00
Wolverhampton (AW) 10 0 0% −10.00
Newbury 8 0 0% −8.00
Southwell (AW) 7 2 28.6% −1.05
Chelmsford City (AW) 7 0 0% −7.00
Windsor 6 1 16.7% +6.00
Nottingham 4 0 0% −4.00
Huntingdon 4 0 0% −4.00
Ffos Las 4 0 0% −4.00
Bath 3 0 0% −3.00
Leicester 3 0 0% −3.00
Doncaster 3 0 0% −3.00
Newmarket 2 0 0% −2.00
Goodwood 2 0 0% −2.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 45 1 2.2% −41.25
Class 6 32 0 0% −32.00
Class 4 24 2 8.3% −9.80
Class 3 9 0 0% −9.00
Class 2 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 8 2 25% 0.96 −2.05
2nd–3rd fav 9 0 0% 0.00 −9.00
4th–6th fav 39 1 2.6% 0.36 −27.00
7th+ in betting 56 0 0% 0.00 −56.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Wadi Bani (GB) 20 0 4 18 Nov 23
Phoenix Aquilus (IRE)then Seamus Mullins 19 2 6 24 Jan 24
Twilight Heir (GB)from Michael Bell · then Barry Brennan 12 1 4 10 Nov 22
Ocean Ridge (GB)from Charlie Appleby · then Deborah Faulkner 6 0 1 24 Aug 23
Darkest Dream (GB)from Tim Fitzgerald 6 0 0 21 Jan 23
Sir Thomas Gresham (IRE)from Tim Pinfield 5 0 2 20 May 23
Gasman (IRE)then Charles Hills 5 0 1 23 Jan 23
Prophecy (GB)from Tim Fitzgerald 5 0 0 24 Sep 22
House Of Dragons (GB)from Dominic Ffrench Davis 4 0 0 23 Oct 23
Tomorrow Day (GB)then Mark Usher 4 0 0 2 Sep 23
Volos (IRE)from Stuart Williams 4 0 1 23 May 22
My Lovely Sylv (GB) 4 0 0 4 May 22
All 22 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 22 horses listed, 14 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Tim Fitzgerald (2); 8 had their first archived run for this yard.

10 have since run for another yard, most often for Barry Brennan (3) and Mark Usher (3); 12 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
8001000000800
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Tom Queally 18 0 0% −18.00
Jack Mitchell 9 0 0% −9.00
Shane Kelly 7 2 28.6% −1.05
Cieren Fallon 7 1 14.3% +5.00
Tom Eaves 6 0 0% −6.00
Joe Leavy 6 0 0% −6.00
Pat Cosgrave 4 0 0% −4.00
James Bowen 3 0 0% −3.00
Aidan Coleman 3 0 0% −3.00
Daniel Muscutt 3 0 0% −3.00
Aidan Keeley 2 0 0% −2.00
Thore Hammer Hansen 2 0 0% −2.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2010→
103
Archived wins
£981k
Prize money
2017
Best season · 15 wins
Litigant (GB) — 32Red Casino All-Weather Marathon Championships Conditions Stakes Lingfield (AW) · Apr 2014 · Class 2
£93,375
Pipes Of Peace (IRE) — 32red London Middle Distance Series Final Handicap Kempton (AW) · Nov 2018 · Class 2
£46,688
Litigant (GB) — 32Red Conditions Stakes (Fast Track Qualifier) Lingfield (AW) · Mar 2014 · Class 2
£16,173
Notable horses
Alfredo (IRE) All Talk N No Do (IRE) The Rectifier (USA) Shaolin (IRE) Bohemian Rhapsody (IRE) Synodic (USA)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Oasis Dream (GB) 0% · 0–20
Progeny have won 11.8% of 17,987 runs since 2008 (1,508 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 17.3% from 150. Weakest on Heavy going: 8.5% from 481. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.1% from 790.
Slade Power (IRE) 10.5% · 2–19
Progeny have won 9.5% of 2,936 runs since 2008 (207 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.4% from 125.
Albaasil (IRE) 0% · 0–12
Progeny have won 7.1% of 239 runs since 2008 (15 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 2.9% from 105.
Twilight Son (GB) 8.3% · 1–12
Progeny have won 9.7% of 3,634 runs since 2008 (281 horses).
Lope De Vega (IRE) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 13.8% of 12,119 runs since 2008 (1,097 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 9.3% from 952.
Cracksman (GB) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 11.7% of 1,779 runs since 2008 (231 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 16.5% from 103. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 16.3% from 264. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 8.7% from 379.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,166 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,166 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 17 December 2010 to 27 January 2024.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
27 Jan 24 Kempton (AW) Canimar (GB)J: Tom Queally Unibet's Improved Bet Builder Classified StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard To Slow · 8 ran 8th 50/1
24 Jan 24 Kempton (AW) Phoenix Aquilus (IRE)J: Tom Queally Try Unibet's Improved Bet Builder HandicapClass 5 · 16f · Standard To Slow · 10 ran 8th 25/1
11 Jan 24 Chelmsford City (AW) Lumberjack (GB)J: Tom Queally Ministry Of Sound Concert 31st August HandicapClass 6 · 13.5f · Standard · 9 ran 9th 33/1
10 Jan 24 Kempton (AW) Canimar (GB)J: Tom Queally Try Unibet's New Acca Boosts Classified Stakes (Div 1)Class 6 · 7f · Standard To Slow · 9 ran 9th 66/1
26 Dec 23 Wolverhampton (AW) Canimar (GB)J: Finley Marsh Bet 10 Get 40 At BetMGM Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 12th 80/1
14 Dec 23 Taunton Phoenix Aquilus (IRE)J: James Bowen Blackdown Motor Company Novices' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 3rd 5/1
29 Nov 23 Hereford Phoenix Aquilus (IRE)J: James Bowen Blackmores Building Contractors Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 16f · Good · 10 ran 2nd 6/1
18 Nov 23 Lingfield (AW) Wadi Bani (GB)J: Tom Queally BetUK Take Time Out During SGWeek23! HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 11 ran 11th 12/1
09 Nov 23 Ludlow Phoenix Aquilus (IRE)J: James Bowen Nfu Mutual Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 16f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 3rd 7/1
08 Nov 23 Kempton (AW) Wadi Bani (GB)J: Tom Queally Unibet Support Safe Gambling HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Standard To Slow · 12 ran 7th 12/1
04 Nov 23 Chelmsford City (AW) Wadi Bani (GB)J: Tom Queally Betsi HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 10 ran 4th 11/1
26 Oct 23 Wolverhampton (AW) Wadi Bani (GB)J: Jack Mitchell Best Racing Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 5th 18/1
23 Oct 23 Windsor House Of Dragons (GB)J: Tom Queally Sri Lanka Paradise Island HandicapClass 6 · 10f · Heavy · 9 ran 9th 66/1
04 Oct 23 Kempton (AW) Wadi Bani (GB)J: Jack Mitchell Try Unibet's Improved Bet Builder HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Standard To Slow · 13 ran 7th 11/1
06 Sep 23 Southwell (AW) Wadi Bani (GB)J: Tom Eaves Download The At The Races App HandicapClass 5 · 6f · Standard · 14 ran 13th 33/1
06 Sep 23 Lingfield (AW) Phoenix Aquilus (IRE)J: David Probert Follow AtTheRaces On Twitter HandicapClass 5 · 16f · Standard · 8 ran 6th 66/1
02 Sep 23 Chelmsford City (AW) Tomorrow Day (GB)J: Owen Lewis Alfred Burns Memorial NurseryClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran 4th 22/1
01 Sep 23 Ffos Las Willingly (GB)J: Owen Lewis Prostate Cymru J&D Water Consultants Ltd HandicapClass 5 · 6f · Good To Soft · 4 ran 2nd 17/2
26 Aug 23 Windsor Tomorrow Day (GB)J: Joe Leavy At The Races App Market Movers Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 6f · Good To Firm · 13 ran 9th 250/1
24 Aug 23 Fontwell Ocean Ridge (GB)J: Brendan Powell V2 Rodeo Juvenile Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17.5f · Good · 8 ran 6th 40/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Seamus Durack's strike rate?
Seamus Durack has won 3 of 112 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 2.7% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Seamus Durack's Fair A/E?
0.37, from 112 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 15 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).