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Trainer profile

Camilla Poulton

178 runners in the last 5 seasons · 30 individual horses
As at 3 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 29 days ago
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2019→)
from 1 Jan 2022
9–178
Wins / Runs
5.1%
Strike rate
n=178
22 (12%)
Placed
1.28
Fair A/E
n=177 · 1.09 incl. margin
−65.25
£1 level stake
n=178 at SP · −36.7%
£82,939
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 40 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 5% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.28).

Deterministic profile computed from 178 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 3 Nov 2026
The read

It is weakest at Lingfield (AW) (0% over 39 runners) — the largest sample in the record, and the widest gap. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 0% (n=55, Fair A/E 0.00). The yard also reads well over 1m5f – 2m (8.5%, n=71). The record reads poorly off a 61-180-day break — 0% over 43 runners, 5.1pts below the baseline.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5.1% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−5.1
n=55 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −55.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−5.1
n=18 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −18.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−5.1
n=9 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −9.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−5.1
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
22.2%+17.1
n=9 · A/E 6.83 · £1 +25.00
When favourite
50%
n=2 · A/E 1.31 · £1 +0.25
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
4%−1.1
n=50 · A/E 1.26 · £1 −33.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Off a 61-180-day break 0% vs 5.1% · n=43
At Lingfield (AW) 0% vs 5.1% · n=39
On Good going 0% vs 5.1% · n=37
Over 1m5f – 2m 8.5% vs 5.1% · n=71
Off a 31-60-day break 7.7% vs 5.1% · n=39
In Hurdle races 2.8% vs 5.1% · n=36
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 131 8 6.1% −47.25
Hurdle 36 1 2.8% −7.00
NH Flat 11 0 0% −11.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 81 5 6.2% −52.25
Good 37 0 0% −37.00
Soft 22 3 13.6% +57.00
Good to Soft 17 1 5.9% −12.00
Good to Firm 15 0 0% −15.00
Heavy 6 0 0% −6.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Lingfield (AW) 39 0 0% −39.00
Kempton (AW) 26 1 3.8% −22.50
Lingfield 15 0 0% −15.00
Fontwell 13 0 0% −13.00
Plumpton 9 0 0% −9.00
Bath 7 2 28.6% +39.00
Sandown 7 1 14.3% +22.00
Newbury 7 1 14.3% +2.00
Southwell (AW) 6 4 66.7% +19.25
Windsor 6 0 0% −6.00
Brighton 5 0 0% −5.00
Wolverhampton (AW) 4 0 0% −4.00
Goodwood 4 0 0% −4.00
Uttoxeter 3 0 0% −3.00
Kempton 3 0 0% −3.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 71 4 5.6% −15.25
Class 5 51 3 5.9% −26.50
Class 4 35 1 2.9% −31.50
Class 3 11 0 0% −11.00
Class 2 10 1 10% +19.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 3 1 33.3% 1.11 −0.75
2nd–3rd fav 10 2 20% 1.45 −1.50
4th–6th fav 40 4 10% 1.44 −8.00
7th+ in betting 125 2 1.6% 1.01 −55.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Militry Decoration (IRE)from Dr Jon Scargill 28 3 11 9 Oct 24
Izakaya (GER) 14 2 2 21 Apr 26
Blenheim Lad (IRE)from A Oliver 14 2 3 4 Sep 25
Aced It (IRE)from Joseph Patrick O'Brien 12 1 3 2 Feb 25
Dizziwizzbang (GB)from Phil McEntee 8 0 0 3 Dec 25
Penna Rossa (IRE)from Marco Botti · then Helen Nelmes 8 1 1 28 May 23
Touch Of Thunder (IRE) 7 0 0 24 Mar 24
High Favour (IRE)from J S Bolger 6 0 0 1 Jul 26
Harry Don't Bite (GB) 6 0 0 10 Jun 26
D'ambonnay (IRE) 6 0 0 13 Feb 24
Dream Frontier (GB)from Ed Dunlop 6 0 0 13 Feb 24
Fitzmaurice (IRE)from William Haggas · then Tony Carroll 5 0 0 25 Feb 26
All 30 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 30 horses listed, 20 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Robyn Brisland (2); 10 had their first archived run for this yard.

3 have since run for another yard; 27 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
506700001225015
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Kieran O'Neill 23 2 8.7% −7.50
Charlie Price 19 1 5.3% +10.00
J F Egan 13 1 7.7% +28.00
Jack Mitchell 12 0 0% −12.00
James Davies 9 0 0% −9.00
Gina Mangan 8 0 0% −8.00
Jack Enright 7 1 14.3% +0.50
James Best 6 0 0% −6.00
Christian Howarth 6 0 0% −6.00
Harry Reed 6 0 0% −6.00
Callum Hutchinson 5 0 0% −5.00
Hector Crouch 5 2 40% +0.75
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2019→
13
Archived wins
£120k
Prize money
2024
Best season · 3 wins
Penna Rossa (IRE) — Pinsent Masons Introductory Juvenile Hurdle (GBB Race) Sandown · Dec 2022 · Class 2
£10,406
Militry Decoration (IRE) — Boost Your Acca With BetUK Apprentice Handicap Southwell (AW) · Mar 2024 · Class 5
£6,595
Aced It (IRE) — Unibet 3 Uniboosts A Day Handicap Kempton (AW) · Jan 2023 · Class 4
£6,281
Notable horses
Militry Decoration (IRE) Aced It (IRE) Izakaya (GER) Blenheim Lad (IRE) Noble Glance (GB) Penna Rossa (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Epaulette (AUS) 10.7% · 3–28
Progeny have won 9.1% of 3,067 runs since 2017 (221 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 4% from 173. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5% from 222.
Belardo (IRE) 6.3% · 1–16
Progeny have won 10.2% of 3,730 runs since 2020 (280 horses).
Adlerflug (GER) 14.3% · 2–14
Progeny have won 14.5% of 585 runs since 2013 (108 horses). Strongest on Soft going: 18.6% from 172. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 10.7% from 103.
Churchill (IRE) 14.3% · 2–14
Progeny have won 11% of 4,833 runs since 2021 (462 horses).
Lope De Vega (IRE) 8.3% · 1–12
Progeny have won 13.8% of 12,208 runs since 2014 (1,107 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 9.4% from 960.
Massaat (IRE) 0% · 0–11
Progeny have won 7.7% of 1,215 runs since 2022 (124 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 4.4% from 113. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 3.7% from 134.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 3 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 260 · newest first

The latest 50 of 260 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 8 May 2019 to 5 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
05 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Lost In Wonder (GB)J: Alistair Rawlinson Bet £20 Get £20 With Unibet Handicap StakesClass 6 · 12f · Standard / Slow · 10 ran 10th 200/1
12 Sep 26 Lingfield (AW) Lost In Wonder (GB)J: Alistair Rawlinson Alan Rae Smith Errant Novice Stakes (gbb/gbbplus Race)Class 3 · 12f · Standard · 5 ran 5th 50/1
01 Jul 26 Epsom Downs High Favour (IRE)J: Rose Dawes Betfred 'Follow Us On X' Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 12f · Good · 8 ran 6th 125/1
10 Jun 26 Yarmouth Harry Don't Bite (GB)J: Gina Mangan attheraces.com/ascot Classified StakesClass 6 · 8f · Soft · 10 ran 10th 40/1
10 Jun 26 Yarmouth High Favour (IRE)J: Rose Dawes quinnbet.com HandicapClass 6 · 14f · Soft · 9 ran 9th 80/1
04 May 26 Windsor Lost In Wonder (GB)J: Alistair Rawlinson Daily Prize Wheel At betwright.com Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 10f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 8th 50/1
21 Apr 26 Pontefract Izakaya (GER)J: J F Egan Into The Sky Pontefract Marathon HandicapClass 6 · 21.5f · Good · 7 ran 4th 9/2
27 Mar 26 Lingfield (AW) High Favour (IRE)J: Tyler Heard Make The Move To Midnite HandicapClass 6 · 16f · Standard · 11 ran 10th 66/1
27 Mar 26 Lingfield (AW) Izakaya (GER)J: J F Egan Make The Move To Midnite HandicapClass 6 · 16f · Standard · 11 ran 8th 40/1
25 Mar 26 Kempton (AW) Harry Don't Bite (GB)J: Jack Mitchell Virgin Bet Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 8f · Standard To Slow · 9 ran 7th 40/1
25 Feb 26 Lingfield (AW) Fitzmaurice (IRE)J: Gina Mangan Win 250,000 With BetMGM's Golden Goals Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 7 ran 6th 40/1
25 Feb 26 Lingfield (AW) Harry Don't Bite (GB)J: J F Egan Win 250,000 With BetMGM's Golden Goals Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 7 ran 6th 40/1
10 Feb 26 Lingfield (AW) High Favour (IRE)J: Jack Mitchell Make The Move To Midnite HandicapClass 6 · 12f · Standard · 11 ran 11th 50/1
07 Feb 26 Lingfield (AW) Harry Don't Bite (GB)J: J F Egan Win 250,000 With BetMGM's Golden Goals Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 9th 250/1
21 Jan 26 Lingfield (AW) Harry Don't Bite (GB)J: Gina Mangan Always Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 9th 125/1
20 Jan 26 Southwell (AW) Manny Oh (GB)J: Kieran O'Neill Midnite Aint Your Grandad's Bookie Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 14f · Standard · 9 ran PU 80/1
17 Jan 26 Lingfield (AW) Fitzmaurice (IRE)J: Tyler Heard Midnite Are Upping The Betting Game Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 6f · Standard · 8 ran 7th 80/1
14 Jan 26 Kempton (AW) High Favour (IRE)J: Jack Mitchell Try Unibet's New Smartview Racecards HandicapClass 6 · 12f · Standard To Slow · 12 ran 10th 11/1
07 Jan 26 Lingfield (AW) Harry Don't Bite (GB)J: J F Egan Bet 10 Get 40 With BetMGM Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)Class 3 · 8f · Standard · 8 ran 7th 200/1
07 Jan 26 Lingfield (AW) Fitzmaurice (IRE)J: Dylan Hogan Create Your Bet Builders At Midnite HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 5 ran 5th 80/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Camilla Poulton's strike rate?
Camilla Poulton has won 9 of 178 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 5.1% (as at 3 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Camilla Poulton do best at?
Lingfield (AW) by strike rate: 0 wins from 39 runners (0%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is Camilla Poulton's Fair A/E?
1.28, from 177 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 3 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).