G. F. Carroll
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 420 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 8% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.07). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 16% (572 rides).
The record is strongest at Sligo (15.3%, n=131), clear of the rider's 8.3% baseline. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 16.3% (n=572, Fair A/E 1.23). Joseph G Murphy supplies 15% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (9.7%, A/E 1.16) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. 50 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Coronation Stakes at Ascot (Jun 2025, £411,573). The standout partner of the record: Lord Massusus (IRE) — 8 wins from 35 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires Jun–Jul.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 8.3% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleBy month
strike by month, lifetimeRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2007→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 7,900 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 7,900 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 21 October 2007 to 6 November 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
KTB’s figures
the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 7 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 9 runs (won 5, 1 did not run) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 9 runs (won 4) · fastest on KTB Speed in 8 runs (won 3, 1 did not run) · to 6 Nov 2026.
Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.
Quick answers
- What is G. F. Carroll's strike rate?
- G. F. Carroll has won 653 of 7,899 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 8.3% (as at 15 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does G. F. Carroll do best at?
- Roscommon by strike rate: 31 wins from 263 rides (11.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does G. F. Carroll ride most for?
- Joseph G Murphy, with 1,202 rides since 2008 — 15% of the total. That pairing has won 116 (9.7%).
- Is G. F. Carroll in form?
- Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 7 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is G. F. Carroll's Fair A/E?
- 1.07, from 7,886 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.