Gary Halpin
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 130 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 6% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.93). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 13% (135 rides).
Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 13.3% (n=135, Fair A/E 1.12), but in Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 1% (n=105, Fair A/E 0.28). The market has consistently overbet first rides on a horse: 4.7% strike, Fair A/E 0.83 and −547.60 to a £1 stake over 1,244 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. Kevin Prendergast supplies 12% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (6.5%, A/E 0.93). One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Irish Stallion Farms E.B.F. 'Sovereign Path' Handicap at Leopardstown (Sep 2015, £90,000). Seasonally, the rider fires Jun–Jul.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 6.1% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleBy month
strike by month, lifetimeRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2011→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 2,387 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 2,387 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 18 November 2011 to 1 November 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Gary Halpin's strike rate?
- Gary Halpin has won 145 of 2,387 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 6.1% (as at 13 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Gary Halpin do best at?
- Gowran Park by strike rate: 17 wins from 164 rides (10.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Gary Halpin ride most for?
- Kevin Prendergast, with 277 rides since 2008 — 12% of the total. That pairing has won 18 (6.5%).
- Is Gary Halpin in form?
- Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 1 ride, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is Gary Halpin's Fair A/E?
- 0.93, from 2,385 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.