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Trainer profile

Mary Ellen Doyle

108 runners in the last 5 seasons · 29 individual horses
As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner yesterday
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2021→)
from 1 Jan 2022
5–108
Wins / Runs
4.6%
Strike rate
n=108
16 (15%)
Placed
1.08
Fair A/E
n=108 · 0.87 incl. margin
+10.38
£1 level stake
n=108 at SP · +9.6%
£66,763
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 20 runners a season, winning with 5% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.08).

Deterministic profile computed from 108 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 22 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Claiming riders: 5%
The read

The yard also reads well over 2m1f – 2m4f (9.1%, n=44). The market has also underrated the yard in Hurdle races: Fair A/E 1.46 across 59 runners (6.8% strike, +44.38 to a £1 stake). The record reads poorly off a 15-30-day break — 0% over 30 runners, 4.6pts below the baseline.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4.6% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
5%+0.4
n=20 · A/E 0.91 · £1 −17.12
New recruits · first run for the yard
20%+15.4
n=5 · A/E 1.80 · £1 −2.12
Debutants · first career start
4.8%+0.2
n=21 · A/E 1.57 · £1 +8.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
20%+15.4
n=5 · A/E 8.95 · £1 +62.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−4.6
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
When favourite
50%
n=2 · A/E 2.13 · £1 +0.88
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
5%+0.4
n=80 · A/E 1.16 · £1 +33.88
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−4.6
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Over 2m1f – 2m4f 9.1% vs 4.6% · n=44
Off a 15-30-day break 0% vs 4.6% · n=30
In Hurdle races 6.8% vs 4.6% · n=59
With claiming riders up 5% vs 4.6% · n=80 · A/E 1.16
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 59 4 6.8% +44.38
Flat 25 0 0% −25.00
Chase 14 0 0% −14.00
NH Flat 10 1 10% +5.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 47 3 6.4% +53.50
Soft 29 0 0% −29.00
Good to Soft 26 1 3.8% −11.00
Heavy 5 1 20% −2.12
Standard (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Wexford 19 2 10.5% −1.12
Cork 12 1 8.3% +17.00
Punchestown 10 1 10% −5.50
Kilbeggan 8 1 12.5% +59.00
Limerick 7 0 0% −7.00
Gowran Park 7 0 0% −7.00
Clonmel 6 0 0% −6.00
Tipperary 5 0 0% −5.00
Listowel 5 0 0% −5.00
Down Royal 4 0 0% −4.00
Killarney 3 0 0% −3.00
Fairyhouse 3 0 0% −3.00
Bellewstown 3 0 0% −3.00
Galway 2 0 0% −2.00
Naas 2 0 0% −2.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 3 1 33.3% 1.55 −0.12
2nd–3rd fav 6 1 16.7% 1.10 −1.50
4th–6th fav 19 0 0% 0.00 −19.00
7th+ in betting 80 3 3.8% 1.78 +31.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
82.2% completed · 73 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 14 64.3% 1 1 3 0 0
Hurdle 59 86.4% 2 0 5 0 1
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Francois (FR)from F Rohaut 25 1 6 2 May 25
Cant Catch Camacho (IRE) 10 0 1 15 Jan 24
Diamond Approach (IRE) 9 0 1 14 Oct 25
Kodihill (IRE) 8 0 1 24 Aug 23
Uppertown Mya (IRE)then Eoin Christopher McCarthy 7 0 1 21 Jul 22
Impakt St Georges (FR) 5 0 0 5 Aug 24
Whatdoyawanttoknow (IRE) 5 1 1 29 Apr 23
Pretty Company (IRE)then Sean Thomas Doyle 4 0 0 29 Aug 23
Haddock De Grissay (FR) 4 0 0 19 Aug 22
Maska Du Morvan (FR)then Tim Vaughan 4 0 0 1 Jul 22
Master Splinter (IRE) 3 0 1 7 Jul 23
Florello Girl (IRE) 3 0 0 23 Aug 22
All 29 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 29 horses listed, 6 arrived from another yard in our archive; 23 had their first archived run for this yard.

9 have since run for another yard; 20 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 1
Only 1 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
00250801200000
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Mr B Dunleavy 20 2 10% −2.12
Gearoid Brouder 12 1 8.3% +55.00
John Shinnick 11 0 0% −11.00
Mr S J Butler 8 0 0% −8.00
Rory Cleary 8 0 0% −8.00
Liam Quinlan 8 1 12.5% +21.00
Conor Stone-Walsh 5 0 0% −5.00
Jack Foley 4 0 0% −4.00
Donagh Meyler 4 1 25% +0.50
Richard Condon 3 0 0% −3.00
Mr E Middleton 3 0 0% −3.00
Nathan Crosse 2 0 0% −2.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2021→
6
Archived wins
£82,138
Prize money
2024
Best season · 2 wins
Demandrivingdouvan (IRE) — Connolly's RED MILLS Irish EBF Auction Maiden Hurdle Wexford · Mar 2023
£11,800
Francois (FR) — Ladbrokes Extra Places On Racing Every Day Hurdle Punchestown · May 2022
£10,915
Howyabud (IRE) — Savills Maiden Hurdle Leopardstown · Dec 2021
£8,850
Notable horses
Francois (FR) Whatdoyawanttoknow (IRE) Howyabud (IRE) Joecooker (FR) If Any Man Can (IRE) Demandrivingdouvan (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Muhtathir (GB) 4% · 1–25
Progeny have won 11.3% of 4,710 runs since 2008 (494 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 7.9% from 967.
Camacho (GB) 0% · 0–10
Progeny have won 8.1% of 9,320 runs since 2008 (596 horses).
Diamond Boy (FR) 0% · 0–9
Progeny have won 12% of 2,271 runs since 2008 (284 horses).
Kodiac (GB) 0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,541 runs since 2008 (1,665 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 252.
Jeremy (USA) 0% · 0–7
Progeny have won 11.2% of 6,724 runs since 2008 (425 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 7.5% from 664. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 16.3% from 147. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7.8% from 743.
Masked Marvel (GB) 16.7% · 1–6
Progeny have won 15.5% of 1,606 runs since 2008 (265 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 19.8% from 283.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 127 · newest first

The latest 50 of 127 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 24 March 2021 to 21 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
21 Oct 26 Navan (IRE) Tullyhill (FR)J: J M Sheridan WTW Willis Towers Watson Maiden14f · Yielding · 12 ran 10th 25/1
26 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) Tullyhill (FR)J: Mr S J Butler M.J. Carroll ARRO Handicap Hurdle20f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran PU 150/1
23 Jul 26 Wexford (IRE) Moses Sport (FR)J: Mr S J Butler Save The Date Ladies Day At Wexford Races Friday 7th August Flat Race16.5f · Good · 14 ran 13th 50/1
10 Jul 26 Cork Mind Eraser (GB)J: Mr S J Butler Follow Us On X Maiden Hurdle24f · Good · 11 ran PU 28/1
29 May 26 Tramore Ice Breeze Baby (IRE)J: J J Slevin Success Days At Kilbarry Lodge Stud Mares Maiden Hurdle21.5f · Good · 10 ran 4th 80/1
14 Oct 25 Punchestown Diamond Approach (IRE)J: John Shinnick William Hill Each Way Extra Challenge Series Handicap Hurdle (0-100)20f · Good To Yielding · 20 ran 11th 18/1
24 Sep 25 Listowel Diamond Approach (IRE)J: John Shinnick Brandon Hotel Handicap Hurdle (0-100)18f · Yielding · 15 ran 8th 14/1
04 Jul 25 Wexford I Give Theorders (IRE)J: Mr B Dunleavy Omnipro Flat Race17f · Good · 14 ran 13th 14/1
02 Jun 25 Listowel Not Now Rodney (IRE)J: Mr S J Butler Beasley Engineering Hunters Chase24f · Good · 15 ran UR 80/1
02 Jun 25 Listowel Diamond Approach (IRE)J: John Shinnick Southern Waste Management Mares Handicap Hurdle16f · Good · 12 ran 3rd 20/1
14 May 25 Tipperary Intenzo (FR)J: John Shinnick Tipperary Town Maiden Hurdle17f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran 13th 9/1
02 May 25 Punchestown Ciel De Neige (FR)J: Mr B Dunleavy Event Power Champion Hunters Chase24.5f · Yielding · 14 ran PU 66/1
02 May 25 Punchestown Francois (FR)J: Mr S J Butler Event Power Champion Hunters Chase24.5f · Yielding · 14 ran PU 100/1
17 Apr 25 Clonmel Diamond Approach (IRE)J: John Shinnick Botanica International Mares Handicap Hurdle (0-100)17f · Good To Yielding · 11 ran 9th 28/1
17 Mar 25 Wexford Diamond Approach (IRE)J: John Shinnick Wexford Mares Maiden Hurdle16f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 10th 14/1
13 Feb 25 Clonmel Diamond Approach (IRE)J: John Shinnick Surehaul Race Day Mares Maiden Hurdle19f · Soft · 18 ran 10th 40/1
03 Dec 24 Clonmel Diamond Approach (IRE)J: Mr S J Butler ClonmelRaces.ie (Q.R.) Maiden Hurdle (Div 1)19.5f · Yielding · 18 ran F 100/1
19 Nov 24 Limerick Diamond Approach (IRE)J: Miss J Townend Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares (Ladies Pro/Am) Flat Race16f · Yielding · 11 ran 4th 20/1
12 Nov 24 Fairyhouse Tracking Treasure (IRE)J: Mr B Dunleavy Fairyhouse Point-To-Point Flat Race16f · Good · 7 ran 7th 66/1
30 Sep 24 Roscommon Diamond Approach (IRE)J: John Shinnick Thomas A. Murray Bar Roscommon Mares Maiden Hurdle20.5f · Yielding · 16 ran 9th 100/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Mary Ellen Doyle's strike rate?
Mary Ellen Doyle has won 5 of 108 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 4.6% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Is Mary Ellen Doyle in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Mary Ellen Doyle's Fair A/E?
1.08, from 108 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 22 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).